1. 1 The People of the San Joaquin Valley Hans Johnson Public Policy Institute of California johnson@ppic.org

2. 2 The People of the San Joaquin Valley  Demographic trends  Economic characteristics  Looking ahead

3. 3

4. 4 Central Valley Population 1900-2010 San Joaquin Valley: 4 million in 2010

5. 5 Comparisons of Population Change 1970 population = 100

6. 6

7. 7 Accommodating Urban Development Scenario: Continued Urban Growth

8. 8 Accommodating urban development Scenario: Continued Urban Growth

9. 9 Prime Farmland Conservation Scenario Severely Constrains Growth

10. 10 Prime Farmland Conservation Scenario Severely Constrains Growth

11. 11 Ethnic Composition of Valley Sub-Regions

12. 12 Immigrants come to the SJ Valley from all over the world Leading Countries of Origin Mexico 591,049 Philippines 48,154 India 42,890 Central America 33,928 Laos 20,150 China 12,953 Thailand 11,309 Vietnam 10,771 Portugal 10,483 South America 9,455 Cambodia 8,980 Africa 7,153 Iran 6,845 Canada 6,041 Korea 5,567 Pacific Islands 5,126

13. 13 The People of the San Joaquin Valley  Demographic trends  Economic characteristics  Looking ahead

14. 14 Educational attainment levels are low

15. 15 Unemployment rates are high 12.7 12.710.3

16. 16 Growing Apart: Regional Per Capita Income Relative to State (100 = State PCI; 1969-2009) Source: Hans Johnson, PPIC, based on US Bureau of Economic Analysis data

17. 17 The People of the San Joaquin Valley  Demographic trends  Economic characteristics  Looking ahead

18. 18 Policy Issues  Rapid growth of a diverse population  Educational and income inequities reinforced through migration  Worker training and economic development to retain high skill workers

19. 19Opportunities Education is the key to economic well-beingEducation is the key to economic well-being The valley has a youthful populationThe valley has a youthful population Programs and policies that affect youth are most promisingPrograms and policies that affect youth are most promising

20. 20 The People of the San Joaquin Valley Hans Johnson Public Policy Institute of California johnson@ppic.org

21. 21 Population Projections for the San Joaquin Valley

22. 22 Poverty rate, 2005 Very High (20+) High (15-19.9) Moderate (10-14.9) Low (<10)