1. Energy Emergency, Climate Crisis: Another Transition is Possible Presentation for “Energy Emergency: Developing Trade Union Strategies for a Global Transition” Roundtable October 10, 2012 NYC District Council of Carpenters Sean Sweeney, Ph.D. and Lara Skinner, Ph.D.

2. Energy Transition and the Green Economy Global Labor Institute “A transition to a green economy is in the end inevitable…” UN Secretary General Ban Ki–Moon 2008

3. Global Renewables Investment Global Labor Institute

4. Global Energy Investment Global Labor Institute $302B $237B Source: UNEP Division of Technology Industry and Economics (2012, June 11). Global investment in renewable energy powers to record $257 billion

5. Global Labor Institute 98 countries and 20 sub-national authorities have RE targets or standards Obama-led green investments created 990,000 jobs Policies for Renewable Energy (RE)

6. Renewables in Germany Global Labor Institute

7. Renewables in China Global Labor Institute

8. The Energy Transition is NOT Happening

9. Energy Expansion, Not Transition Global Labor Institute

10. Renewable Energy Generation Business as Usual = Catastrophic Climate Change (C3 Scenario) Most countries + less than 5%

11. Renewable Energy Under Siege Global Labor Institute unemployment line Job Losses in Wind and Solar: Spain, China and the United States Renewable Energy companies in trouble

12. A New Era of Fossil Fuels Global Labor Institute “When I was in Davos in January (2010), the energy discussion was all about renewables growth in megawatts. Soon after I was in Singapore and the discussion was all about coal and power generation, talked about in gigawatts. It was like living on two different planets.” Fatih Birol pic --- Fatih Birol, IEA Chief Economist

13. Carbon Capture and Nuclear Power Global Labor Institute Nuclear power? Losing ground to fossil fuels Carbon Capture and Storage? Not happening

14. Global Labor Institute Shale Gas Undercutting Renewable Energy

15. If governments honor their existing commitments…. Global Labor Institute …..fossil fuels will still be 74% of the energy mix in 2035 World Energy Outlook, 2011

16. Market-based policies are not working “Rio+20 is about scaling- up and accelerating the Green Economy transformation already manifest in most if not all countries across the globe.” -- Remarks by Achim Steiner to the Second Trade Union Assembly on Labour and the Environment, “Rio+20”, June 12, 2012 Photo: ITUC

17. lobal Labor Institute What’s Behind the Failure? “Our view in the U.S. is that it (a binding climate agreement) is not a necessary thing to happen right now.” Bankok, April 7, 2011 Todd Stern, United States Special Envoy for Climate Change

18. GREEN JOBS INITIATIVE An opportunity for unions to have the voices heard? …Or a means to cut off new ideas, strategies, and movement building?

19. Global Labor Institute The 2 Degrees Pathway

20. Another Energy Transition is Necessary Global Labor Institute Welcome to the Discussion!

21. There is an Energy Emergency 1.The Three RISINGS => Climate & Environmental Crises  Fossil fuel demand  Greenhouse gas emissions  Harmful pollution 2.Fossil fuel corporations’ power grows 3.Attacks on workers and unions have intensified 4.More energy ≠ More access

22. Fossil Fuel Use is Expanding Rapidly  Currently, fossil fuels meet ≅ 80% of world energy demand.  Fossil fuels will meet the majority of energy demand through 2035.  We are in serious danger of ‘carbon lock-in.”  Fossil fuel corporations are advancing ‘extreme energy’ agenda.

23. Shares of energy sources in total global primary energy supply in 2008. IPCC Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation, 2012

24. Global energy demand increases by 1/3 from 2010 to 2035. IEA World Energy Outlook 2011

25. Share of coal in China’s total energy demand is over 50% in 2035. IEA World Energy Outlook 2011

26. Fossil fuels are not running out IPCC Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation, 2012

27. Carbon is ‘Locked-In’ Without Major Changes  4/5’s of the total energy- related CO 2 emissions is already ‘locked-in’ by our existing infrastructure.  Must take action by 2017 or there will be no room for additional infrastructure unless it’s zero-carbon. (IEA)

28. Fossil Fuel Corporations’ Extreme Energy Agenda – Far Riskier for Workers, Communities & Environment  Tar Sands Oil  Shale gas “fracking”  Mountaintop removal and surface coal mining  Deep sea / Artic oil drilling

29. Emissions Have Increased Dramatically from 1970 – 2010, Largely From Fossil Fuels IEA CO 2 from Fossil Fuel Combustion Statistics, 2011

30. Current emissions trends will lead to a catastrophic 6°C (11°F) of warming National Climatic Data Center, NOAA

31. Political Target = Keep warming below 2°C What we really need = 1.5°C Now=392PPM CO 2 Target=350PPM CO 2 C

32. Impact of 0.8°C Warming is Far Worse Than Scientists Expected

33. Fossil fuel corporations’ power is growing, making it harder to protect workers, communities and the environment. Carbon Tracker Initiative

34. Under Attack – Workers and Communities  Many workers lack rights & union representation  Health & safety issues  Production up, employment down  Companies closing union operations, reopening non-union.

35. More Fossil Fuels, More Emissions ≠ Energy Equity United Nations Development Program and World Health Organization, 2009