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www.eia.gov U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis Net energy analysis: a policy analysis perspective Net Energy Analysis Workshop Global Climate and Energy Project Stanford University April 1, 2015 | Palo Alto, CA by Howard Gruenspecht, Deputy Administrator
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Improvements in energy intensity largely offset impact of growth in GDP leading to slow growth in energy use 2 U.S. primary energy consumption quadrillion Btu Source: EIA, current thinking History Projections 2013 36% 18% 27% 8% 1% 33% 10% 18% 29% 8% 1% Nuclear Petroleum and other liquids Natural gas Coal Renewables (excluding liquid biofuels) Net energy analysis: a policy analysis perspective April 1, 2015 2025 35% 19% 27% 8% 9% 1% Liquid biofuels 2040
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Growth in electricity use slows, but electricity use still increases by 24% from 2013 to 2040 3 U.S. electricity use and GDP percent growth (rolling average of 3-year periods) Source: EIA, current thinking Structural Change in Economy - Higher prices - Standards - Improved efficiency Projections History 2013 Period Average Growth__ Electricity use GDP 1950s 9.8 4.2 1960s 7.3 4.5 1970s 4.7 3.2 1980s 2.9 3.1 1990s 2.4 3.2 2000-2013 0.7 1.9 2013-2040 0.8 2.4 Net energy analysis: a policy analysis perspective April 1, 2015 Gross domestic product Electricity use
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CO 2 emissions per dollar of GDP decline faster than energy use per dollar of GDP reflecting the shift to lower carbon fuels 4 energy and emission intensity index, 2005=1 Source: EIA, current thinking HistoryProjections 2013 Carbon dioxide emissions per 2009 dollar GDP Energy use per 2009 dollar of GDP Energy use per capita 2005 Net energy analysis: a policy analysis perspective April 1, 2015
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Exergy data from GCEP Net energy analysis: a policy analysis perspective April 1, 2015 5
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Exergy data from GCEP Net energy analysis: a policy analysis perspective April 1, 2015 6
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For more information Net energy analysis: a policy analysis perspective April 1, 2015 7 U.S. Energy Information Administration home page | www.eia.govwww.eia.gov Annual Energy Outlook | www.eia.gov/aeowww.eia.gov/aeo Short-Term Energy Outlook | www.eia.gov/steowww.eia.gov/steo International Energy Outlook | www.eia.gov/ieowww.eia.gov/ieo Monthly Energy Review | www.eia.gov/merwww.eia.gov/mer Today in Energy | www.eia.gov/todayinenergywww.eia.gov/todayinenergy State Energy Profiles | http://www.eia.gov/statehttp://www.eia.gov/state Drilling Productivity Report | http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/drilling/http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/drilling/
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Exergy data from GCEP Net energy analysis: a policy analysis perspective April 1, 2015 8
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Exergy data from GCEP Net energy analysis: a policy analysis perspective April 1, 2015 9
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