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This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could.

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Presentation on theme: "This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could."— Presentation transcript:

1 This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could differ materially due to changes in technology, the development of new supply sources, political events, demographic changes, and other factors discussed herein (and in Item 1 of ExxonMobil’s latest report on Form 10-K). This material is not to be reproduced without the permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation. Global Energy Security Forum Florida International University M. L. Cessna Manager of Global Regulatory Affairs ExxonMobil Gas and Power Marketing November 9, 2010

2 2 Energy Evolution – Emergence to Foothold Global Demand By Fuel Quadrillion BTUs Today, oil and gas meet ~60% of the world’s energy needs – wasn’t always so Significant energy mix changes take decades to gain a foothold – Biomass > Coal > Oil > Gas Alternative fuels will help meet our energy needs (~2% by 2030)   Fossil fuels maintain prominence in fueling global economic growth 18001900200018501950 Biomass Coal Oil Gas Nuclear Other Renewables Hydro

3 3 Global Energy Demand Growth by Fuel 0.7% 2005 2030 0.7% 2.0% 0.4% 2.3% 2.1% 9.9% World Average Growth/Yr. ’05 to ’30 – 1.2% ~300 Energy Savings Quadrillion BTUs Demand Quadrillion BTUs Demand

4 4 Energy Demand by Region Quadrillion BTUs OECD United States Europe OECD Other Quadrillion BTUs Non OECD China India Middle East Other Latin America Africa

5 5 Power Generation Demand Quadrillion BTUs North America Quadrillion BTUs EuropeAsia Pacific Quadrillion BTUs Oil Gas Coal Nuclear Renewables

6 6 Gas Supply and Demand BCFD United States Local Production Unconventional LNG BCFD EuropeAsia Pacific BCFD Conventional Pipeline

7 7 Unconventional Gas – Paradigm Change Outlook for unconventional gas is changing as new information becomes available Source: EIA Annual Outlooks (2000-2010)

8 8 Unconventional Gas Resource Horn River Cook Inlet CBM North Slope CBM Haynesville Marcellus Woodford Fayetteville Powder River Piceance San Juan Barnett Shale Producing Shale Gas Producing CBM Tight Gas, Shale Gas & CBM Basins Producing Tight Gas Major Unconventional Gas Basins Montney Eagle Ford Granite Wash Jonah & Pinedale Resources for ~100 years coverage at current demand Unconventional gas has extended coverage 60+ years Further unconventional gains expected

9 9 US & Canada Unconventional Supply Source: Wood Mackenzie North America Long-Term Gas View, September 2010 By 2020, shale gas plays throughout US & Canada...... offset 7 BCFD decline in conventional supply, and... meet 13 BCFD in projected demand growth, by.... tripling the current level of production to 34 BCFD Conventional & Unconventional Gas Production Shale Gas Production

10 10 Hydraulic Fracturing Source: ExxonMobil

11 11 Conclusion Reliable and affordable energy is essential for economic growth Natural gas will play an increasing role in meeting future demand Sensible policies are needed to realize potential benefits


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