1. WIND ENERGY Is there a Latvian Master Plan? CHRISTIAN KJÆR Chief Executive Officer European Wind Energy Association SSE Riga, 4 December 2008 © EWEA/L. Benoist

2. WHAT IS THE EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION? EWEA is the voice of the wind industry, actively promoting the utilisation of wind power in Europe and worldwide. Resources are focussed on lobbying, communication and policy activities, and responding to enquiries from our member organisations.

3. MORE THAN 500 MEMBERS FROM OVER 45 COUNTRIES Manufacturers covering 90% of the world wind power market Component suppliers Research institutes National wind and renewables associations Developers Electricity providers Finance and insurance companies Consultants Contractors This combined strength makes EWEA the world's largest and most powerful wind energy network

4. EUROPE HAS ALSO MAINTAINED ITS POSITION AT THE FOREFRONT OF THE GLOBAL SCENE Source: Global Wind Energy Council Annual installed capacity by region (2003-2007, MW)

5. THE GLOBAL WORLD MARKET IN THE NEXT FIVE YEARS Source: Global Wind Energy Council

6. WIND IS SIMILAR TO OTHER POWER SOURCES 16 years of global wind energy development (1991-2006) compared to the first 16 years of nuclear development (1961-1976) Source: EWEA Pure Power report

7. IN EUROPE, WIND POWER IS ONLY SECOND TO GAS Source: EWEA and Platts PowerVision Net power capacity additions 2000-2007 (EU-27, MW) WIND HAS BECOME A MAINSTREAM PLAYER

8. … AND WAS EVEN # 1 LAST YEAR Source: EWEASource: EWEA Pure Power report, Platts PowerVision Net capacity additions/reductions in 2007 (MW) WIND HAS BECOME A MAINSTREAM PLAYER

9. WIND ENERGY IS SET TO COVER A MAJOR SHARE OF EU ELECTRICITY DEMAND … Source: EWEA Rising energy demand and contribution from wind power 2000 20072020 Two decades to install 0.9% of EU electricity demand Demand: 2,577 TWh Accelerating pace: reaching 3.7% end 2007 Demand: 3,243 TWh 11.6%-14.3% despite growing demand Demand: 4,107 TWh Meeting between 20.8% and 28.2% of the EU need Demand: 4,503 TWh 2030

10. THE PANORAMA IN EUROPE: THREE PIONEERING COUNTRIES + SECOND WAVE Source: EWEA End 2007 total installed capacity (MW)

11. A SECOND WAVE OF COUNTRIES IS EMERGING … Source: EWEA Germany, Spain and Denmark's share of EU market 2000-2007 (MW)

12. EWEA’S WIND POWER SCENARIOS GW

13. … PROMISING FURTHER EXPANSION 3.7%5%8%21%12%16% Source: EWEA GW 200720102015202020152030 Electricity share

14. THE SECTOR'S GROWTH WILL BE SUPPORTED BY OFFSHORE WIND'S TAKE-OFF Source: EWEA

15. .. AND OF NEW GENERATING CAPACITY Source: EWEA Pure Power report

16. WIND INDUSTRY TARGET FOR THE EU-27 IN 2020 Installed capacity % of EU electricity demand % of new generating capacity % of total installed capacity Avoided CO 2 emissions Annual avoided fuel cost Annual avoided CO 2 cost Total wind power investment  180 GW, incl. 35 GW offshore  11.6% to 14.3% (depending on 2020 demand)  32% (2011-2020)  18.1%  328 Mt of CO 2 = 160 million cars off the road  €20.5 billion  €8.2 billion  € 120 billion (2011-2020)

17. THE RENEWABLES DIRECTIVE  Sets mandatory national targets for renewable energy shares of final energy consumption in 2020, including a 10% renewables in transport target  Sets interim targets  Requires national action plans from Member States stating how they intend to reach their targets  Requires reduction of administrative and regulatory barriers to the growth of renewable energy, improvements in information and training and in renewables’ access to the grid  Creates a sustainability regime for biofuels

18. THE MEMBER STATES EFFORT SHARING National overall targets for the share of energy from RES in final consumption of energy in 2020 2020 target Share of energy from RES in 2005 Source: European Commission draft proposal for a Directive on the promotion of the use of energy from renewable sources 20% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% BBGCZDKDEEIRLGREFICYLVLTLHMNLAPLPROSISKFINSGB PL

19. How to reach the target From 15.2% to app. 35% RES-E 2005 Eurostat2020 Target WIND BIGGEST CONTRIBUTOR TO THE TARGET IN TERMS OF ELECTRICITY GENERATION Source: EREC Renewable Energy Technology Roadmap – 20% by 2020, November 2008 and Eurostat From 10.2% to app. 25% 2005 Eurostat2020 Target RES-H Wind power 34.8% Hydro 28% Photovoltaic 13.1% Biomass 18.1% Geothermal 2.3% Ocean 0.4% Solar thermal 3.1% 2020 RES-E From 1.05% to app. 10% RES for transport 2005 Eurostat2020 Target

20. RES CONTRIBUTION TO EU ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION UP TO 2020 Source: EREC Renewable Energy Technology Roadmap – 20% by 2020, November 2008, Eurostat 2005 and 2006 App. 35% Wind Hydro Photovoltaic Biomass Geothermal Solar thermal elec. Ocean Total Share of RES 2010 Projections (TWh) 176 360 20 135 10 2 1 704 19.7% 2006 Eurostat (TWh) 82.0 357.2 2.5 89.9 5.6 - 537.2 16.0% 2005 Eurostat (TWh) 70.5 346.9 1.5 80.0 5.4 - 504.3 15.2% Energy source 2020 Target (TWh) (%) 477 384 180 250 31 43 5 1,370 34.8 28 13.1 18.3 2.3 3.1 0.4 100

21. By 2030, global GHGs could more than double due to the rising use of fossil fuels The Stern report estimated that 1% of global GDP per annum is required to be invested in order to avoid the worst effects of climate change It also stated that failure to do so could risk global GDP being up to 20% lower than it otherwise might be THE PRICE OF INACTION By 2030, oil imports are predicted to rise from 76% to 88% while gas imports from 50% to 81%, compared to the year 2000 For every $20 increase in the price of oil, the cost of Europe's gas imports rises by €15bn annually The oil price increases of the past few years added €45bn to the EU annual gas import bill By comparison, the EU invested €11bn in wind energy in 2007

22. EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY CONFERENCE 2009 16-19 March 2009 Marseille, France

23. Heavy reliance on imports/ vulnerability to unpredictable but most likely higher prices Competition with rest of the world for the depleting conventional fuels Unbelievable environmental cost Security of supply Competitiveness Sustainability PURE POWER ON THE HORIZON A MAJOR OPPORTUNITY www.ewea.org