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Exhibit 1. “Medicare Extra” Benefits vs. Current Medicare Benefits Current Medicare benefits*“Medicare Extra” Deductible Hospital: $1024/benefit period.

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Presentation on theme: "Exhibit 1. “Medicare Extra” Benefits vs. Current Medicare Benefits Current Medicare benefits*“Medicare Extra” Deductible Hospital: $1024/benefit period."— Presentation transcript:

1 Exhibit 1. “Medicare Extra” Benefits vs. Current Medicare Benefits Current Medicare benefits*“Medicare Extra” Deductible Hospital: $1024/benefit period Physician: $135/year Rx: $275/year** Hospital/Physician: $250/year for individuals; $500 for families Rx: $0 CoinsurancePhysician: 20% Physician: 10% Rx: 25% Preventive services: 0% Ceiling on out-of-pocket No ceiling $5,000 for individuals; $7,000 for families Insurance-related subsidies Medicare Savings Programs Low-Income Subsidy Ceiling of 5% of income for low-income beneficiary premiums or 10% if higher income * See http://www.cms.hhs.gov/apps/media/press/factsheet.asp?Counter=2488.http://www.cms.hhs.gov/apps/media/press/factsheet.asp?Counter=2488 ** Under “standard” plan. In 2008, only about 10 percent of national prescription drug plans offer the defined standard benefit. More frequently, plans eliminate the deductible and use tiered, flat-dollar copayments (see http://www.kff.org/medicare/upload/7762.pdf).http://www.kff.org/medicare/upload/7762.pdf

2 New Coverage for 44 Million Uninsured in 2008 National Insurance Connector TOTAL = 60m Medicare TOTAL = 43m 11m22m Medicaid/ SCHIP TOTAL = 42m 10m1m Improved or More Affordable Coverage for 49 Million Insured 2m 7m38m Exhibit 2. Building Blocks for Automatic and Affordable Health Insurance for All Employer Group Coverage TOTAL = 142m Source: Based on analysis in C. Schoen, K. Davis, and S. R. Collins, “Building Blocks for Reform: Achieving Universal Coverage with Private and Public Group Health Insurance,” Health Affairs, May 13, 2008 27(3):646–57, from Lewin Group modeling estimates.

3 Exhibit 3. Distribution of People by Primary Source of Coverage Under Current Law and Building Blocks Framework, 2008 Uninsured 48.3 (16%) Employer 157.9 (53%) Uninsured 3.7 (1%) Employer 141.5 (48%) Current Law (millions) Building Blocks (millions) Medicaid/ SCHIP 37.8 (13%) Medicare 40.3 (14%) Other 13.5 (4%) Medicaid/ SCHIP 42.1 (14%) Medicare 43.0 (16%) Other 7.3 (2%) Total population = 297.8 million New National Connector 60.3 (20%) Source: Based on analysis in C. Schoen, K. Davis, and S. R. Collins, “Building Blocks for Reform: Achieving Universal Coverage with Private and Public Group Health Insurance,” Health Affairs, May 13, 2008 27(3):646–57, from Lewin Group modeling estimates.

4 Exhibit 4. Changes in National Health Spending Under the Building Blocks Proposal in 2008 (in billions) Total Change in Health Spending $15.3 Change in Health Services Expenditures$51.5 Change in utilization for newly insured Change in utilization due to improved coverage $49.0 $2.5 Provider Reimbursement Effects($20.8) Medicare rates for insurance connector Increased Medicaid rates to Medicare levels Provider assessment Payments for uncompensated care Eliminate federal Medicare and Medicaid DSH payments Increased cost-shifting ($22.1) $32.3 ($41.4) $15.4 ($18.8) $13.8 Change in Administrative Costs($15.4) Insured administration Administration of subsidies ($17.7) $2.3 Note: DSH = disproportionate-share hospital. Source: Based on analysis in C. Schoen, K. Davis, and S. R. Collins, “Building Blocks for Reform: Achieving Universal Coverage with Private and Public Group Health Insurance,” Health Affairs, May 13, 2008 27(3):646–57, from Lewin Group modeling estimates.

5 Exhibit 5. Health Expenditure Impact of Building Blocks Without System Reforms by Sector, 2008–2017 Source: C. Schoen et al., Bending the Curve: Options for Achieving Savings and Improving Value in U.S. Health Spending, The Commonwealth Fund, December 2007. Data: Lewin Group estimates. * Selected options include improved information, payment reform, and public health.

6 Exhibit 6. Health Expenditure Impact of Building Blocks with System Reforms by Sector, 2008–2017 Annual Net Impact: Building Blocks Approach Plus Savings Options* Cumulative Net Impact $ Billions2008200920102011201220132014201520162017 2008- 2012 2008- 2017 National Health Expenditure –$30.8–$53.3–$79.2–$108.3–$135.7–$165.8–$196.6–$227.3–$261.0–$296.0–$407.3–$1,554.0 Federal Government $31.3$27.4$22.5$16.6$13.2$10.9$9.1$8.6$8.1$9.9$111.0$157.6 State and Local Government –$14.3–$18.6–$23.3–$28.6–$34.0–$39.9–$45.8–$51.8–$58.4–$65.1–$118.8–$379.8 Private Employers $23.5$20.6$17.5$14.1$10.9$6.3$1.6–$2.6–$7.1–$12.4$86.6$72.4 Households–$71.4–$82.8–$95.7–$110.3–$125.9–$143.3–$161.6–$181.5–$203.7–$228.1–$486.1–$1,404.3 Source: C. Schoen et al., Bending the Curve: Options for Achieving Savings and Improving Value in U.S. Health Spending, The Commonwealth Fund, December 2007. Data: Lewin Group estimates. * Selected options include improved information, payment reform, and public health.

7 Exhibit 7. Cumulative Impact on National Health Expenditures (NHE) of Building Blocks Approach Plus Selected Health System Reform Options Dollars in billions Note: Selected individual options include improved information, payment reform, and public health. Source: C. Schoen et al., Bending the Curve: Options for Achieving Savings and Improving Value in U.S. Health Spending, The Commonwealth Fund, December 2007. Data: Lewin Group estimates. Savings to NHE

8 Exhibit 8. Savings Can Offset Federal Costs of Insurance for All: Federal Spending Under Two Scenarios Dollars in billions * Selected options include improved information, payment reform, and public health. Source: C. Schoen et al., Bending the Curve: Options for Achieving Savings and Improving Value in U.S. Health Spending, The Commonwealth Fund, December 2007. Data: Lewin Group estimates of combination options compared with projected federal spending under current policy.

9 Exhibit 9. Features of Building Blocks + System Reform and Presidential Candidates’ Approaches to Health Care Reform Building Blocks/ System Reform ClintonMcCainObama Coverage Expansion Aims to cover everyone XXX Individual requirement to have insurance XX Children only Employer shared responsibility XXX Group insurance “connector” XXX Medicare/public plan option for < 65 XXX Subsidies/tax credits for low- to moderate income families XXXX Regulation of insurance markets XXX Improves Medicare benefits for > 65 and buy-in for older adults X Medicaid/SCHIP expansion XXX System Improvements Expanded use of Health IT XXXX Medical effectiveness research XXXX Pay providers for performance XXXX Reduced Medicare Advantage payments XXX Negotiated Medicare Rx prices XXX Primary care and care coordination XXXX Source: S. R. Collins and J. L. Kriss, Envisioning the Future: The 2008 Presidential Candidates’ Health Reform Proposals, The Commonwealth Fund, January 2008.

10 Exhibit 10. Total National Health Expenditures, 2008–2017 Projected and Various Scenarios * Selected individual options include improved information, payment reform, and public health. Source: C. Schoen et al., Bending the Curve: Options for Achieving Savings and Improving Value in U.S. Health Spending, The Commonwealth Fund, December 2007. Data: Lewin Group estimates. Dollars in trillions

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