National Preference Formation and the Question of Influence in the EU Dr. Nathaniel Copsey Aston Centre for Europe UACES, Angers, 4 September 2009.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
EU-Belarus Relations: Short on Carrots, Short on Sticks Mitchell A Orenstein Johns Hopkins University SAIS.
Advertisements

European Institute of Public Administration (EIPA), Maastricht E. Best © EIPA, 2008 The European Institute of Public Administration (EIPA): Learning to.
Planning Step 1: Choosing a Study Theme.
RELEVANT CALLS IN HORIZON2020 FOR THE INSTITUTE FOR FOREIGN AFFAIRS AND TRADE BY MS ZSUZSANNA ANGYAL 18 DECEMBER 2014 REGIONAL CENTRE FOR INFORMATION AND.
Chapter 5: Monetary and Political Union
Theory and practice of EU enlargement outline I. Accession criteria: Legal or political? Political criteria Economic criteria Capability to implement.
Pressure groups and pluralist democracy
THE EU AND ITS NEIGHBOURS Introduction – Seminar Class 1.
Chapter 5 Power, Conflict, and Policy
PICARD 2009 Presentation on research project Cezary Sowinski, Ph.D. student, Warsaw University of Economics, Poland „Exchange rate impact on origin of.
University of Macedonia Regional Development & Policy Research Unit.
AREA STUDIES EUROPEANIZATION; Or, ‘differential Europe’ Esther Versluis.
Perceptions of the Eastern Partnership Dr. Nathaniel Copsey JMWEN and Aston Centre for Europe Aleksanteri Institute/Wider Europe Seminar Helsinki, 10 September.
The EU’s neighbourhood policy – Belarus KATARZYNA PISARSKA POLISH FORUM OF YOUNG DIPLOMATS Genshagen, September 2005.
Explaining the European Union’s Eastern Enlargement.
Developing better exam technique
Borders of Inclusion and Exclusion1 The European Union and Borders of Inclusion and Exclusion James W. Scott Leibniz-Institute for Regional Development.
The Eastern Partnership as an opportunity structure for Georgian ngo’s Thijs Rommens Institute for International and European Policy K.U. Leuven, Belgium.
A joint initiative of the OECD and the European Community, principally financed by the EC. © OECD STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS FOR INTEGRITY IN PUBLIC GOVERNANCE.
RESEARCH QUESTIONS, AIMS AND OBJECTIVES
External policies I: CFSP and Common Commercial Policy. Prof. Andreas Bieler.
Configurations of politico- administrative roles in organisation of public administration reforms. (Inductive approach ) Georg Sootla Professor of Public.
European Union: youth as a thematic region Erik Thijs Wedershoven & Dmitry Savelau.
Institutional Isomorphism in the Slavic Core of the Commonwealth of Independent States A Comparative Analysis of Institutional Change During Post-Communist.
Security Sector Governance and European Integration Pál Dunay Geneva Centre for Security Policy.
National Platforms Effective tool for advocacy Agnese Knabe Project coordinator European Public Health Alliance Civic Alliance – Latvia 17 October, 2006,
The European Neighbourhood Policy: Ukraine & Russia Special Topics in Contemporary European Policies 2 December 2004.
1 How to mobilise political support and public opinion for reform ? The political economy of pension reform Agnieszka Chłoń-Domińczak Presentation is based.
1 Svenska Kommunförbundet och Landstingsförbundet i samverkan TERRITORIAL COHESION AND NATIONAL-REGIONAL PARTNERSHIP for the programming period
Alexander Tabarrok.  Consider the economic growth rates of the major democracies post World War II, say Which countries had the best growth.
 The Balkan Peninsula (Croatia, Serbia, Albania, Montenegro) › Since the collapse of Yugoslavia, ethnic tensions have ravaged the area › Currently, Croatia.
Semester 2 Situation analysis TESL 3240 Lecture 3.
ENP from the Polish perspective. Core aspects of Polish eastern neighbourhood policy Presentation scheme: 1. Political debate: (new dimension of neighbourhood,
Institutions and Culture Health Policy and Public Opinion in the U.S. and Britain By Lawrence Jacobs (1992)
Collaboration – leads us for better result Agnese Knabe Project coordinator European Public Health Alliance Civic Alliance – Latvia 2-3 June, 2006, Legnica,
12 February 2007Lien Verpoest - IIEB Institutional Isomorphism in the Slavic Core of the CIS Lien Verpoest - 2nd PhD seminar 12 February 2007.
Post EU Accession: the End of Public Administration Reform in Baltics?
Polish Presidency EU Energy and Climate Change Priorities July – December 2011.
What Have We Learnt About National Preference Formation in the NMS? Dr. Nathaniel Copsey Aston University Slovak Foreign Policy Association 8 February.
4 th International meeting of the WHO Collaborating Centre for research and training in public health (Lille, France) January 2014 How to promote.
The IEMed has carried out five Surveys of actors and experts with the objective to assess the progress, achievements and shortcomings of Euro-Mediterranean.
MYKOLAS ROMERIS UNIVERSITY. Lithuania Main Facts about Lithuania Lithuania is EU border country on the shore of the Baltic Sea. Neighbouring with Latvia.
EJN From 1998 to Today A pioneer in global networking Fátima Adélia Martins Secretary-General of the European Judicial Network.
A Study of the United States Supreme Can we assume the Supreme Court wants unanimous decisions?
Division of Technology, Industry, and Economics Economics and Trade Branch Incorporating Biodiversity into Trade-Related Integrated Assessments Presentation.
ESRC/NCRM Training Seminar Cross-National Research Challenge, Cooperation and Compromise 1.Scientific and pragmatic rationales for choice of countries,
1 ENTERPRISE POLICY PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT BULGARIA.
EuropeAid 1 A NEW EU RESPONSE TO A CHANGING NEIGHBOURHOOD Suzanne Kodsi Geographical Coordination Neighbourhood South European Commission Director General.
Institutional Isomorphism in the Slavic Core of the Commonwealth of Independent States A Comparative Analysis of Institutional Change in the Post-Communist.
Enlargement and neighbourhood policy. Two key themes The process of acceding to the EU The interaction with the state on the EU’s borders.
Between Determinism and Voluntarism Determinant Factors of Small State Foreign Policy Máté Szalai
Preference Formation and the Integration Strategies of New Member States: the Case of Poland Nathaniel Copsey University of Birmingham, UK Alexander Wochnik.
© 2014 by McGraw-Hill Education. This is proprietary material solely for authorized instructor use. Not authorized for sale or distribution in any manner.
The Choices for Europe: National Preference Formation in New and Old Member States Dr. Nathaniel Copsey European Research Institute University of Birmingham,
52 nd Directors-General Meeting The Czech Republic takes over the Presidency of the EU Robert Ledvinka DISPA Meeting, 4 – 5 June 2009, Prague, Institute.
Organisational Profile.  CEDEM was founded in 1998 in Podgorica, Montenegro as a non-profit association of citizens.  CEDEM was the first organization.
M O N T E N E G R O Negotiating Team for the Accession of Montenegro to the European Union Working Group for Chapter 31 – Common Foreign and Security Policy.
“The Choice for Europe: Social Purpose and State Power from Messina to Maastricht ” An influential work – why? A clear, structured theory. Strong.
The New Member States and the European Neighbourhood Policy Paper Presented to Sida, Stockholm, 17 June 2008 Dr Nat Copsey University of Birmingham.
PowerPoint & Evaluating Resources PowerPoint & Evaluating Resources Mike Spindler & Emma Purnell.
The EU Member States and Relations with Eastern Europe Dr. Nathaniel Copsey European Research Institute, University of Birmingham/JMWEN Presentation to.
A Democratic Audit Framework
European Studies in Ukraine and beyond
Institute for Development Evaluation and Analysis
October 2012 Brussels, Belgium
LITHUANIAN EU PRESIDENCY PRIORITIES
LITHUANIAN EU PRESIDENCY PRIORITIES
Working towards all people living in dignity
Analytical framework for teachers’ trade unions
Policy Processes Slides to support Chapter 17 of The Government and Politics of the European Union, 7th ed., by Neill Nugent.
Presentation transcript:

National Preference Formation and the Question of Influence in the EU Dr. Nathaniel Copsey Aston Centre for Europe UACES, Angers, 4 September 2009

Plan (1) About the ESRC project Research questions; research design (2)Preliminary findings: What we have learnt about the nature of new Member States’ preferences? What we have learnt about the nature of new Member States’ capacity to exercise influence?

About the Project Project set out to examine whether a new Member State – here, Poland – could be an influential Member State in the European Union in the field of relations with the eastern neighbours Focus on upward form of ‘Europeanization’: expanding area of academic enquiry in recent years, new Member States, unlikely power brokers etc. Problematic nature of ‘power’; problems of measurement/causality Thus project examines the capacity of a new Member State to exercise ‘influence’ within the EU Draws on Lukes’ second dimension of power

Assumptions about Influence Capacity of states to exercise influence in EU seen as determined by two factors: (1) intensity with which it holds a given preference and is willing to argue for it (Moravcsik); and (2) its capacity to secure a desired outcome (determined by a number of dependent and independent variables) (see Copsey and Pomorska, 2009)

Main Research Questions What are Poland’s policy preferences in the field of the EU’s relations with its eastern neighbours, and how many of these objectives has it achieved? How are these preferences formed? How successful has the Polish government been in achieving its policy objectives and why?

Sources of Data ‘New data’ comes primarily from in- depth interviews in Warsaw and Brussels with interest groups, foreign policy specialists, officials, ministers, politicians Plus, of course, official documents, reportage etc.

Preliminary Findings: National Preferences I We should be careful in making assumptions about the nature of national preferences based on ‘ideal-type’ models or based on the experiences of old Member States (see Copsey and Haughton, 2009) Of course, in many instances newer Member States may not have a preference at all – not surprising Or they may not know what their national preference should be – this is more surprising Notion of defence of ‘national interest’ without any means of knowing what these national interests truly are Often lack the reliable data (cost–benefit analyses) that could point towards what a preference should be

Preliminary Findings: National Preferences II Above all, we should not assume that the policy-making process resembles, for example, Dahl’s descriptions of pluralism in the United States Consultation with interest groups, such as trade unions, lobbyists, or business confederations remains very underdeveloped In consequence, policy-makers tend to overemphasize ‘catch-all factors’ in explaining why a particular policy has been adopted: i.e. geopolitics, history, security These factors offer ex post justification for a particular action but do not explain why a state ought to have acted in that in the first place Thus the notion of national preferences in the EU-27 requires some thorough re-examination and a revised theoretical framework

Preliminary Findings: New Member States’ Capacity for Influence in the EU Most newer Member States do not have, and may never have, the capacity to exercise ‘influence’ in the way that we understood older Member States to have done in the past Crucially, many newer Member States are not interested in being ‘influential’ let alone ‘powerful’ Poland is, however, different in this respect

Preliminary Findings: New Member States’ Capacity for Influence in the EU Administrative capacity remains the principal weakness – this is also true of many other older Member States - Demoralization of elite segments of civil service - Weakness of coordination of European policy - Failure to foster productive networks between Poles working in Brussels and Warsaw – and occasional active discouragement! Problems of ending conditionality: less willingness to undertake annoying reforms; less willingness to learn from best practice in other Member States and adapt it to match local particularities; time for a ‘rest’ mentality

So has Poland been Influential? Negative influences: veto of discussions on a new agreement with Russia Positive influences: eastern partnership with Sweden Policy learning/adaptation to EU ‘style’ and rhetoric: case of Polish minority living in Belarus, focus on ‘human rights’ or ‘minority rights’ and thus learning to sound European/become ‘good Europeans’ Certainly a very mixed balance sheet, but it is fair to say that there has been a solid degree of adaptation and learning over the first five years of membership – much as one would expect Other weaknesses: political coordination; alliance building; receptiveness of other Member States

Conclusions: Where Next? Remaining project findings will be complete by end of 2009 What may be needed next: - Revised concepts, frameworks and theories to explain better the notion of national preferences and how they are formed - More comparative work on how European policy is made in the newer Member States

More information Copsey and Haughton (2009) ‘The Choices for Europe’. JCMS, Vol. 47, No. 2. Copsey and Pomorska (2010) ‘Poland’s Power and influence’. Comparative European Politics, forthcoming July Copsey and Pomorska (2010) ‘The Influence of the Newer Member States in the European Union’. Europe-Asia Studies. Contact Nat Copsey, Aston Centre for Europe,