PAWNEE RESERVOIR SIMULATION STUDY Pioneer Natural Resources Co. Performed By Gemini Solutions, Inc. January 2001
Pawnee Prospect Tasks: Create model of one section of the field History match recorded production and pressures Verify history match by predicting actual horizontal well completion rates/flowing pressures Predict future production for current wells Predict production acceleration and incremental recovery from additional horizontal wells
Pawnee Prospect Top of Structure - Section Modeled
Ternary Diagram - gas and water Six layer Model – 95 BCF in area modeled
Core Permeability Distribution No recognizable distribution vertically
Core Permeability Distribution Trend from well to well – northeast to southwest
Pawnee Reservoir – Permeability Variation Permeability Conclusions: There appears to be a general trend from well to well looking at all of the cores No vertical trend identifiable Including vertical stratification would not improve model because distribution is uncertain.
Pawnee Reservoir – Porosity Variation Average porosity for first 100 feet – mapped using core data except: Increased porosity around Tomasek 4
Permeability Field to Match History Match very sensitive to K
History Match Results – Tomasek 1 Match tubing head pressures before fracture job
History Match Results – Tomasek 1 Match buildup at days, tubing head surface pressures after fracture job – add hydraulic fracture
History Match Results – Gordon Albert 1 Match buildup at days and surface pressures during well life
Pawnee Reservoir Future Forecasts Red =Vert. +hor +2 infill Green = Vert. +hor +1 infill Blue = Vert.+hor wells Light Blue =Vert. wells
Pawnee Reservoir Pressure Map Vertical wells only – horizontal wells shut in Poor reservoir sweep and low recovery, maps from years 2001 to 2006
Pawnee Reservoir Pressure Map Vertical wells plus existing horizontal wells – no infill drilling Better reservoir sweep and recovery, maps from years 2001 to 2006
Pawnee Reservoir Pressure Map Vertical wells plus existing horizontal wells – drill Tomasek 7 Good reservoir sweep and recovery, maps from years 2001 to 2006
Pawnee Reservoir Pressure Map Vertical wells plus existing hor. wells – drill Tomasek nd well Best reservoir sweep and recovery, maps from years 2001 to 2006
Pawnee Reservoir Study - Conclusions Permeability field that matches production identified Estimated future recovery to 2022 18 BCF for vertical wells 39 BCF for 1 infill well – Tomasek 7 42 BCF for 2 infill wells Tomasek 7 recovers 6 BCF (4 BCF incremental) Second infill recovers 8.5 BCF (4 BCF incremental) Hor wells accelerate production and provide 24 BCF incremental production
PAWNEE RESERVOIR SIMULATION STUDY Pioneer Natural Resources Co. Performed By Gemini Solutions, Inc. January 2001