Company Actuary Role in Mergers and Acquisitions Thomas G. Myers Casualty Actuaries of New England September 26, 2008.

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Presentation transcript:

Company Actuary Role in Mergers and Acquisitions Thomas G. Myers Casualty Actuaries of New England September 26, 2008

Four primary types of transactions: Loss portfolio (reserve) transfer - Risk-adjusted present value of loss runoff. - Not purchasing existing assets and liabilities. Purchase of runoff company (no new business) - Value of assets/liabilities (including reserves) plus profit/loss on declining volume of future premiums. Purchase of active company - Value of assets/liabilities (including reserves) plus profit/loss on future premiums (could be increasing or declining depending on business assumptions). Purchase of renewal rights -Profit/loss on future premiums only. - Not purchasing existing assets and liabilities.

Traditional Actuarial Issues Loss reserve adequacy - Have there been changes in claim practices? - Will acquiring company be able to generate reduced severities? Pricing adequacy - At selling company’s rates - At acquiring company’s rates - Trends in business profile/underwriting quality Persistency - Historic - Future based on business model - Temporary impact of transition

Traditional Actuarial Issues Risk Management - Will acquisition increase or decrease risk profile? - Impact on reinsurance or other risk mitigation strategies/costs. Product Strategy - Retain selling company’s products vs. converting to acquiring company’s products - What are the relative strategic benefits? - Cost of maintaining multiple products vs. conversion impact

Other Ways to Add Value Financial Modeling - Future projected cash flows - Scenario testing - Dynamic Financial Analysis-type modeling Valuing Other Deal Aspects - Assets/Investment Income - Future Expense Assumptions - Growth Assumptions - Other Strategic Implications of Deal

Other Acquiring Company Issues Imperfect Information - Need to understand the data as well as you can - Likely not to get all the data you want - How to make assumptions in the absence of data Tight Timeframes - Need to prioritize issues s

Selling Company Issues How to fairly present the financial/strategic value of the company Construct “data room” - Loss Reserve Triangles - Pricing Studies - Historic loss/persistency results - Risk studies (e.g., PML models) - Rate and underwriting manuals - Significant events that would impact historic results