Returns to Style using Style Research’s Markets Analyzer Asia Pacific x Japan x China End February 2011
International Experience Style Investing works Value and Small Cap works long term Best Value Markets – China, Japan and Korea Most markets have small cap premium High beta stocks do not generally perform well
Overview Value works long term – like in other markets – Sales to Price best over 10 years – 4.1% pa xs return Small cap performs better than large cap – Like other markets High Beta does not work – like other markets Nothing works consistently – Top 10 inconsistent over different time periods
Approach Benchmark = market – All stocks with market cap of USD 100 million Analysis after country & sector adjustment – Factor screen within countries and sectors – Eliminates country and sector bias Rebalanced every 6 months – Repriced every month – Includes dividends
Value works
Book Value
Dividend Yield
Earnings per Share
Cashflow per Share
Sales per Share
EBITDA to Price
Growth works sometimes
Return on Equity
Growth in Earnings per Share
Income to Sales
Sales Growth
IBES 12 Month Forward Growth in Earnings per Share
IBES FY1 Earnings Revisions 3M Sample
Other
Market Cap
Beta
Momentum 6 months
Momentum 12 months
Quality
Low Accruals
Debt to Equity
Stability of Earnings Growth
Sustainable Growth Rate
Stability of Sales Growth
Stability of IBES 12 mth Growth Forcast
Returns to Style – last 10 years Quality and Value works! SA, annualised
10 year XS returns
Weight: Market Cap, Rebal 6 mths 4.1% pa
Weight: Market Cap, Rebal 3 mths 4.4% pa
Weight: Earnings, Rebal 6 mths 7.9% pa
overview Value works long term – like in other markets – Sales to Price works best over 10 years Small cap works better than large cap – Like other markets High Beta does not work – like other markets Nothing works consistently – Top 10 inconsistent over different time periods – Rebalance and weighting schemes make a difference