Ag Talk 30 Jan 2003 1 What the Weather Will Bring or Agricultural Weather in Wisconsin Wisconsin Agri-Service Association 9 th Annual Trade Show 30 January.

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Presentation transcript:

Ag Talk 30 Jan What the Weather Will Bring or Agricultural Weather in Wisconsin Wisconsin Agri-Service Association 9 th Annual Trade Show 30 January 2003 Lake Delton, WI Prof. John A. Young & E. J. Hopkins Dept. of Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences University of Wisconsin-Madison

Ag Talk 30 Jan Our Road Map u Introduction u What we have: Current Maps u What we think: Analysis & Forecasts u Who and Where we are

Ag Talk 30 Jan Current Drought Conditions from National Drought Mitigation Center

Ag Talk 30 Jan U.S. Drought Monitor Map from National Drought Mitigation Center u Considers: –Agricultural, Hydrological Drought –Fire Danger u Depends Upon: –Palmer Drought Index (PDSI) –CPC Soil Moisture Model –USGS Weekly Streamflow –Percent of Normal Precipitation –Standardized Precipitation Index –Satellite Vegetation Health Index

Ag Talk 30 Jan Drought Conditions: Since Early November 2002 from National Drought Mitigation Center

Ag Talk 30 Jan December Precipitation From Climate Prediction Center

Ag Talk 30 Jan Current Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI)

Ag Talk 30 Jan Current Crop Moisture Index

Ag Talk 30 Jan Precipitation Needed to Bring PDSI to -0.5

Ag Talk 30 Jan Recent Soil Moisture from CPC

Ag Talk 30 Jan Recent Soil Moisture from CPC

Ag Talk 30 Jan Current 30 Day Precipitation Departure From Midwestern Regional Climate Center

Ag Talk 30 Jan Current Soil Moisture Departure From Midwestern Regional Climate Center

Ag Talk 30 Jan Recent Streamflow (from USGS)

Ag Talk 30 Jan Standardized Precipitation Index for Nov-Dec 2002 ( from NCDC )

Ag Talk 30 Jan History of Statewide PDSI From National Climate Data Center Drought Wet Drought

Ag Talk 30 Jan History of Wisconsin Statewide Precipitation From Moran & Hopkins, 2002 Wet Dry

Ag Talk 30 Jan Monitoring Current Sea Surface Temperatures From Climate Prediction Center

Ag Talk 30 Jan Jet Stream during Dec. 2002

Ag Talk 30 Jan El Niño Winter Temperature Impact

Ag Talk 30 Jan El Niño Winter Temperature Impact

Ag Talk 30 Jan From National Climate Data Center (NCDC) based on 108 yrs. ( )

Ag Talk 30 Jan El Niño Spring Precipitation Impact

Ag Talk 30 Jan El Niño Spring Precipitation Impact

Ag Talk 30 Jan Dec Precipitation Ranks From National Climate Data Center (NCDC) based on 108 yrs. ( )

Ag Talk 30 Jan From National Climate Data Center (NCDC) based on 108 yrs. ( )

Ag Talk 30 Jan Saturday’s Forecast of PDSI from Climate Prediction Center

Ag Talk 30 Jan CPC Soil Moisture Forecast at end of Next Week

Ag Talk 30 Jan CPC Soil Moisture Forecast at end of Next 2 Weeks

Ag Talk 30 Jan LATE WINTER FORECAST From NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Ag Talk 30 Jan THREE MONTH DROUGHT FORECAST From NOAA Climate Prediction Center

Ag Talk 30 Jan THE WISCONSIN STATE CLIMATOLOGY OFFICE your resource for weather and climate information u John A. YoungDirector u Lyle AndersonData Manager u Traci WestphalAsst. Climatologist u Ed HopkinsConsultant UW-Madison Partner: Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences WHO WE ARE

Ag Talk 30 Jan WHERE WE ARE 1225 W. Dayton St., Madison

Ag Talk 30 Jan Climatological Divisions for Wisconsin (NCDC)

Ag Talk 30 Jan Contact u John A. Young Dept. of Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences UW-Madison 1225 W. Dayton 608/ u John A. Young Dept. of Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences UW-Madison 1225 W. Dayton 608/ u Edward J. Hopkins

Ag Talk 30 Jan Useful Links u State Climatology Office u Midwestern Regional Climate Center u Climate Prediction Center (NWS) u National Climate Data Center (NCDC) u Drought Monitor u Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (USDA & NOAA) u NOAA Drought Information Center