What is an economic model ? It is a simplified version of economic reality. Models “abstract” from many features of the real world. We do this to avoid.

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Presentation transcript:

What is an economic model ? It is a simplified version of economic reality. Models “abstract” from many features of the real world. We do this to avoid unnecessary complication--we want to keep things simple.

 Ceteris paribus assumptions enable one to say something about the relationship of X and Y without the intrusion of Z.  Example: How do Pepsi sales (X) respond to a change in the price of Pepsi (Y), ceteris paribus? X = Pepsi Sales( 12-packs) Y = Price of Pepsi per 12-pack $3.25 $    , due to change in X, holding Z (say, the price of Coke), constant 

Positive is what is. Normative is what ought to be ¢ Positive economics attempts to set forth scientific statements--that is, statements subject to verification or falsification. For instance: ¢“ If they raise tuition again at ASU, enrollment will decline.” OR: ¢ “The Christmas season will be a bust because consumers are near their credit limit on charge cards.”

College professors are underpaid I say professors are overpaid Who is right? It is a normative question.

Beware of these pitfalls as you begin to reason about relationships among economic variables  To commit the fallacy of composition is to suppose that what is true in the individual case also holds true for the group. Example: “The best way to leave a burning theater is to run for the exit.”

I washed my spaceship today, and that’s why it rained You’ve committed the post hoc, ergo propter hoc, or “association as causation” fallacy!

à Micro means “small.” à Macro means “large” Micro is focused on individual households and firms, prices quantities of specific goods and services, and the value of economic resources.

By contrast, macroeconomics is concerned with: + Total output of goods and services in the economy per unit of time. + Total employment. + Total income earned (wages, salaries, profits, rental income, interest) per unit of time. + Capacity utilization. + Changes in the average prices of goods and services The micro problem is scarcity. The macro problem is under- utilization of resources