The ETCCDI workshops: A model for ET-CRSCI? Lisa Alexander Climate Change Research Centre University of New South Wales Sydney, Australia Ist meeting CCl.

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The ETCCDI workshops: A model for ET-CRSCI? Lisa Alexander Climate Change Research Centre University of New South Wales Sydney, Australia Ist meeting CCl ETCRSCI, Tarragona, Spain, 13 th - 15 th Jul, 2011

The workshop “recipe” Based on Asia-Pacific Network (APN) formatBased on Asia-Pacific Network (APN) format Introductory presentations on climate variability and change and climate projections for the region (and the globe)Introductory presentations on climate variability and change and climate projections for the region (and the globe) Presentations by participants on the climate of their countryPresentations by participants on the climate of their country Introduction to statistical techniques and workshop software RClimDex & RHTestIntroduction to statistical techniques and workshop software RClimDex & RHTest “Hands on” analysis - quality control of data and calculation of ETCCDI extreme indices“Hands on” analysis - quality control of data and calculation of ETCCDI extreme indices Presentation of results from each country and region wide analysisPresentation of results from each country and region wide analysis Discussion of resultsDiscussion of results

What are the benefits? Improve quality control, homogeneity and inventories of national, regional and global climate dataImprove quality control, homogeneity and inventories of national, regional and global climate data Increase the capacity of National Weather Services to regularly evaluate climatic change in their country – “capacity development” rather than just “capacity building”Increase the capacity of National Weather Services to regularly evaluate climatic change in their country – “capacity development” rather than just “capacity building” Freely available standard software encourages a consistent approach to climate change analysis across bordersFreely available standard software encourages a consistent approach to climate change analysis across borders Climate indices available via the ET website from previous workshops have improved analysis of:Climate indices available via the ET website from previous workshops have improved analysis of:  climate variability, climate change, climate model validation, detection and attribution studies, climate impacts Participate in multi-national publications which directly inform international processes such as IPCCParticipate in multi-national publications which directly inform international processes such as IPCC

Workshop success at filling in data gaps Changes in warm nights India, Feb 2005 Turkey, Oct 2004 South Africa, Jun 2004 Morocco, Feb 2001 Brazil, Aug 2004 Jamaica, Jan 2001 Guatemala, Nov 2004

Examples of peer-reviewed publications All workshop participants helped to write publications which formed a major part of the observations chapter of the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) of the IPCC in 2007

IPCC AR The workshops have directly led to a much better understanding of global and regional changes in climate extremes This leads to a much greater confidence in projections of climate extremes in the future …but there are still gaps

So... Continuing workshops are essential An ongoing framework to update indices is essential The ETCCDI indices are not so “extreme” The ET-CRSCI can fill this gap to introduce more relevant “impact” indices