1 Quantifying the Digital Divide Prepared by Les Cottrell, SLAC for the Internet2/World Bank meeting, Feb 7, 2005 www.slac.stanford.edu/grp/scs/net/talk05/world-bank-feb05.ppt.

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Presentation transcript:

1 Quantifying the Digital Divide Prepared by Les Cottrell, SLAC for the Internet2/World Bank meeting, Feb 7,

2 Goal Measure the network performance for developing regions –From developed to developing & vice versa –Between developing regions & within developing regions Use simple tool (PingER/ping) –Ping installed on all modern hosts, low traffic interference, Provides very useful measures Originated in High Energy Physics, now focused on DD Persistent (data goes back to 1995), interesting history Monitoring site Remote site PingER coverage Jan 2005

3 World View S.E. Europe, Russia: catching up Latin Am., Mid East, China: keeping up India, Africa: falling behind C. Asia, Russia, S.E. Europe, L. America, M. East, China: 4- 5 yrs behind India, Africa: 7 yrs behind Important for policy makers Many institutes in developing world have less performance than a household in N. America or Europe

4 Loss to world from US 2001Dec-2003  In 2001 <20% of the world’s population had Good or Acceptable Loss performance Loss Rate < 0.1 to 1 % 1 to 2.5 % 1 to 2.5 % 2.5 to 5 % 2.5 to 5 % 5 to 12 % 5 to 12 % > 12 % > 12 %  BUT by December 2003 It had improved to 77%

5 Loss to Africa (example of variability)

6 From Developing Regions As expected Brazil to L. America is good Actually dominated by Brazil to Brazil To Chile & Uruguay poor since goes via US Brazil (Sao Paolo) Novosibirsk NSK to Moscow used to be OK but loss went up in Sep GLORIAD may help Novosibirsk

7 Within Developing Regions In ’80s many Eu countries connected via US Today often communications within developing regions to go via developed region, e.g. –Rio to Sao Paola goes directly within Brazil –But Rio to Buenos Aires goes via Florida And… –NIIT – NSC (Rawalpindi – Islamabad) few miles apart, Route goes via England!!!! Takes longer to go few miles than to SLAC! Doubles international link traffic, increases delays, increases dependence on others Within a region can be big differences between sites/countries, due to service providers

8 Compare with TAI UN Technology Achievement Index (TAI)

9 Collaborations/funding Good news: –Active collaboration with NIIT Pakistan to develop network monitoring including PingER Travel funded by US State department for 1 year –FNAL & SLAC continue support for PingER management and coordination Bad news (currently unfunded, could disappear): –DoE funding for PingER terminated –Proposal to EC 6 th framework with ICTP, ICT Cambridge UK, CONAE Argentina, Usikov Inst Ukraine, STAC Vietnam VUB Belgium rejected –Proposal to IDRC/Canada February rejected Hard to get funding for operational needs (~0.3 FTE) –For quality data need constant vigilance (host disappear, security blocks pings, need to update remote host lists …)

10 Summary Performance from U.S. & Europe is improving all over Performance to developed countries are orders of magnitude better than to developing countries Poorer regions 5-10 years behind Poorest regions Africa, Caucasus, Central & S. Asia Some regions are: –catching up (SE Europe, Russia), –keeping up (Latin America, Mid East, China), –falling further behind (e.g. India, Africa)

11 Further Information PingER project home site – PingER methodology (presented at I2 Apr 22 ’04) – apr04.ppt ICFA/SCIC Network Monitoring report – jan05/ netmon.doc ICFA/SCIC home site –

12 Extra slides

13 Countries covered Sites in 114 countries are monitored Goal to have 2 sites/country –Reduce anomalies Orange countries are in developing regions and have only one site Megenta no longer have a monitored site (pings blocked)

14 View from CERN Confirms view from N. America From the PingER project August 2004.

15 Another view of Improvements Increase in fraction of good sites