SCIENCE DOESN’T MATTER Inside the UN Global Climate Negotiations

Jim Henson picture

WHAT IS THE UNFCCC*? *United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

DUAL NEGOTIATIONS COP* Purpose: Treaty/agreement with legal force that involves all countries CMP* Purpose: Agree on terms for second commitment period of Kyoto *Conference of Parties to the UNFCCC *Conference as Meeting of the Parties to Kyoto Protocol

ACRONYMS! CBDR – “Common but Differentiated Responsibilities” SBI – Subsidiary Body for Implementation GCF – Green Climate Fund ADP – Ad-hoc working group on the Durban Platform CDM – Clean Development Mechanism REDD+ -- Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation

WHO NEGOTIATES? ANNEX I & II ANNEX I NON-ANNEX OBSERVER STATES Industrialized (OECD* + EIT*) EIT* Developing world & LDCs* *OECD: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development *EIT: Economies in Transition *LDCs: Least Developed Countries

NEGOTIATING BLOCS BASICS – Brazil, South Africa, India, China Umbrella Group – Australia, Canada, Iceland, Japan, Kazakhstan, New Zealand, Norway, Russia, Ukraine, United States LDCs – Least Developed Countries AOSIS – Alliance of Small Island States African Group G77 (+ China) – Developing Countries EU – European Union SIDS – Small Island Developing States OPEC – Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries Environmental Integrity Group – Mexico, South Korea, Switzerland, Liechtenstein, Monaco LMDCs – “Like-Minded Developing Countries”

CONSTITUENCIES YouNGOs - youth RINGOs – research & independent BINGOs – business & industry ENGOs – enviros TUNGOs -- trade unions Indigenous Groups (and more)

Science gives us this – “Climate change threatens irreversible and dangerous impacts, but options exist to limit its effects.” From Nov IPCC Press Release. Negotiating Position POLITICAL CAPITAL TECHNOLOGY and more..

WHAT WOULD YOU DO…. Negotiating Position Tech: Minimal IF YOU WERE A SMALL ISLAND STATE LIKE TUVALU? Support GCF* - Global Climate Fund

WHAT WOULD YOU DO…. Negotiating Position CDM* & Trading IF YOU WERE A TRANSITIONING PETRO STATE LIKE RUSSIA? Opposition CDM* - Clean Development Mechanism

Start to overlay all these narrow windows of what each country is able to do and what it is willing to do, and it’s remarkable that we’ve been able to reach any agreement. Tuvalu Negotiating Position Russian Federation Negotiating Position

WHAT WAS THE POINT OF LIMA? ADP Ad Hoc Working Group on the Durban Platform on Enhanced Action Subsidiary Body Protocol by 2015 Task: A draft text for INDCs Intended Nationally Determined Contributions Mitigation goal Tracking progress Task: Self-reported progress It was our last chance to iron things out before PARIS!

NOVEMBER 12, 2014 Joint Agreement between U.S. and China announced… 14% of emissions covered… …to 50%!

INDCs Picture? *Intended Nationally Determined Contributions

OUTCOMES “Lima Call for Climate Action” Upholds CBDR (same old-same old), but All countries will set mitigation targets (through INDCs)*

THE LONG ROAD TO PARIS This week: Negotiations in Geneva. Loss and damage GCF Contributions Justice, Equity, and other considerations

HOW TO GET INVOLVED RINGOs ( University delegate spots NGOs Side events Adopt a Negotiator (