The Tyndall Centre comprises nine UK research institutions. It is funded by three Research Councils – NERC, EPSRC and ESRC – and also receives some support.

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Presentation transcript:

The Tyndall Centre comprises nine UK research institutions. It is funded by three Research Councils – NERC, EPSRC and ESRC – and also receives some support from the DTI. III Conferencia Cientifica do LBA Brasilia, julho 2004 Integration Novelties: New thinking for Earth System modelling and climate adaptation and mitigation Sarah Cornell and John Schellnhuber Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research (HQ), School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, NR4 7TJ UK

Our Purpose: “To research, assess and communicate from a distinct trans-disciplinary perspective, the options to mitigate and the necessities to adapt to climate change, and to integrate these insights into the global, UK and local contexts of sustainable development.” Tyndall°Centre for Climate Change Research

Advancing the science of integration Developing responses Motivating society

1.Integrating Frameworks 2.Decarbonising Modern Societies 3.Adapting to Climate Change 4.Sustaining the Coastal Zone Tyndall Research Themes

IIAP OPERATOR Stakeholders Problem Space Scientific Community Knowledge Space Interactive Integrated Assessment Process (IIAP) Interface I Surveyor Composer Interface II Demander Responder Rachel Warren, Jonathan Köhler, Alex Haxeltine, John Turnpenny & Tim O’Riordan

IIAP Modular Multi-Purpose Integrated Assessment System Aurion Project Stakeholder Organisations softIAM Framework

CIAM-n Community Integrated Assessment Model Distributed …across a community of n institutions Flexible Modular Linked to interaction with a community of stakeholders Netherlands: ICIS Health module UK: Tyndall Centre MAGICC-SCENGEN or GOLDSTEIN Climate modules Germany: Potsdam Institute ICLIPS impact tool DINAS-coast Global Ecosystem module UK: Tyndall Centre Economics module Emissions

GHG Emissions RICE MIND MAGICC BC Goldstein Famous Crops Food Hydrology ICLIPS tool Impacts Land & Ocean Carbon Cycles Downscalers Scengen ?? Spatial Temporal Extreme event predictors Health: dengue Health: malaria Health: heat stress Ecosystems, Biodiversity Corals Sectoral/regional damage Coarse (global) damage Biomes (simple) Biomes (complex) Extreme outcome predictors CLIMATE TOOLKIT Air Pollution Migration /security Adaptation simulation UK drought algorithms DINAS-coast (sea-level rise) Economy Climate System New Tech E3MG v3 Health: respiratory Housing Transport Population Land use change

Regional Coastal Simulator Photo: National Trust, Joe Cornish / NTPL Physical states Policy options Climate & sea level predictions Habitat states BiodiversitySocio-economics

Cliff recession rate Coastal Simulator answers real-world questions Sediment supply from cliff Profile shape Shore orientation Beach volume and shape Sediment transport rate Wave conditions, sea-level rise and tide

Other Research Highlights Biosequestration CDM for sustainability

Other Research Highlights Biosequestration CDM for sustainability Regional GHG emission inventories Contraction and Convergence

Biosequestration CDM for sustainability GHG emission inventories Contraction & Convergence A-Team: modelling ecosystems Other Research Highlights ‘Win-wins’ in nature conservation for mitigation

What else is going on? Tyndall-PIK – adaptation in north-eastern Brazil

What else is going on? Tyndall-PIK adaptation E-Via

What else is going on? Tyndall-PIK – adaptation in north-eastern Brazil E-Via QUEST Quantifying and Understanding the Earth System 1.Contemporary coupled climate, carbon cycle and atmospheric chemistry 2.Earth system history and dynamics 3.Impacts and human dimensions of global environmental change

Tyndall°Centre for Climate Change Research EARTH SCIENCES