Science of the MDGs and Global Sustainability: Identifying Future Goals, Targets and Indicators Anantha Kumar Duraiappah UNU-IHDP

Option 1 To keep the current targets and to extend the deadline Option 2 To keep the current structure while optimizing existing targets and adding new targets with a new deadline Option 3 To replace the MDGs with an entirely new structure The Post 2015 Process: 3 Options

Why a new structure is needed  Weak Performance; Many have no specific targets and/or indicators etc  Key issues but no foundational and conceptual basis  Does not reflect trade-offs and synergies: Sustainability is only in environmental goal.  No distinction of scale  Averages and mis-leading signs

Political Considerations MDGS must be incorporated in post 2015 development process Developing-Developed country dichotomy Resources for monitoring, capacity building

What we have so far SDG Theme Suite 02: Colombia and Guatemala proposal 1.Combating Poverty 2.Changing Consumption Patterns 3.Promoting Sustainable Human Settlement Development 4.Biodiversity and Forests 5. Oceans 6.Water Resources 7.Advancing Food Security 8.Energy, including from renewable sources

What we have so far SDG Theme Suite 03: PrepCom proposal by member states and major groups 1.Green jobs, youth employment and social inclusion 2.Energy access, efficiency, sustainability 3.Food security and sustainable agriculture 4. Water 5.Sustainable cities 6.Management of the oceans, fisheries and other marine resources 7.Improved resilience and disaster preparedness

What we have so far SDG Theme Suite 04: Declaration 64th UN DPI/NGO Conference (2011) PrepCom proposal 2. by Civil Society Organisations (CSO) 1..Sustainable Consumption and Production 10. Green cities 2. Sustainable livelihoods, youth & education 11. Subsidies and investment 3. Climate sustainability12. New indicators of progress 4. Clean energy13. Access to Information 5. Biodiversity14. Public Participation 6. Water15. Access to redress and remedy 7. Healthy seas and oceans16. Environmental justice for the poor and vulnerable 8. Healthy forests17. Basic Health 9. Sustainable Agriculture

What we have so far SDG Theme Suite 05: Proposals in Rio+20 negotiations European Commission non-paper Rio+20 (April 4)8 1.Water 1.Oceans and marine environments 1.Sustainable land management and ecosystems 1.Sustainable Energy 1. Resource efficiency, in particular waste

What we have so far SDG Theme Suite 06The Stakeholder Forum Global Survey conducted a survey of 410 NGOs. 1.Water (97%) 2.Food Security (96%) 3.Energy (93%) 4.Biodiversity (92%) 5.Forests (90%) 6.Climate Change (91%) 7.Education (91%) 8.Health (76.1%) 9.Sanitation (88%) 10. Public participation (88%)

Key Questions Q1. The terms MDGs, SDGs and Global Sustainability Goals have been used quite loosely and inter-changeable in the discourse on the post-2015 development framework. Are the three terms similar, different, complementary or conflicting? And what are the implications for setting goals, targets and indicators and the data needs? Q2. The world is getting much more closely inter-connected and inter- dependent; therefore most of the goals and targets are inter-linked. How can we develop goals, targets and indicators in a manner that acknowledges these inter-connections—some complimentary and others with trade-offs? Do we and can we develop a conceptual framework that might capture these system dynamics and identify the data information required? Q3. How do we develop global goals, targets and indicators that capture explicitly the need for collective action to achieve these targets and how do we resolve the dichotomy between the principle of universality and the principle of subsidiarity and its implications for data collection?

Key Questions Q4. How will spatial and temporal scales across the natural and socio- economic sciences impact the development of a post-2015 development framework and how will this influence the data and information needs? For example, how will data on global environmental indicators as suggested by planetary boundaries reconcile with local, national and regional environmental indicators and subsequently the link with the socio- economic targets, and indicators? Q5. What will be the main challenges in reconciling the data and information needs from the natural and socio-economic systems to ensure comparable concrete, quantifiable and time bound goals, targets and indicators? Q6. What will be the main steps for the scientific community to take in order to contribute to the post-2015 development framework process initiated by the UN?

Key Messages Inter-connectivity and inter-dependence Spatial and temporal Scales: Global goals, targets and indicators need to be aligned with national goals, targets and indicators