Opportunities for Directing Change on the Forested Landscape Doug Lewis, RPF SISCO Winter Workshop February, 2016.

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Presentation transcript:

Opportunities for Directing Change on the Forested Landscape Doug Lewis, RPF SISCO Winter Workshop February, 2016

“Study the Past if You Would Define the Future” Confucius

History Repeats Itself….

Sweden Linder and Ostlund (1998) In Lindenmayer and Fischer (2006)

Northeastern United States

Dry Douglas Fir and Ponderosa Pine forests near Kamloops, BC (Klenner et al. 2008) Glacier National Park (Johnson et al. 1990) Taylor and Carroll ( 2004 )

Source: Hagerman et al. 2010

Parks and Protected Areas in BC, Since 1939

Source: BC Ministry of Forests State of the Forest Report 2010

Kamloops Area Global Forest Change Viewer, University of Maryland No Change Water

Gain ( ) Loss ( ) Loss and gain Forested area Non-Forest Water North Thompson- Wells Gray Park Global Forest Change Viewer, University of Maryland Murtle Lake Blue River Clearwater

CEA Watershed Assessment Results: South Portion of Kamloops TSA Effects: MPB salvage + NRS Activity + Significant historic effects (private land) + Location of forest clearing that interacts with Range use

Moose CEA Results – Moose-Kamloops TSA Likelihood of Population Decline  Associated with:  Predation  Increased access – hunting  Loss of thermal cover habitats

CEA Results-Pine marten-Kamloops TSA Likelihood of Population Decline  Associated with:  Habitat protection in the north  Parks  Mountain caribou recovery  Habitat loss and fragmentation in middle and south of TSA  MPB Salvage harvest Pine Marten Low Moderate High

Results of Cumulative Effects Assessments  Effects on values a result of combined influence of many factors  Impacts often unintended  Forest and other sectors generally compliant  Sometimes not achieving stated objectives for values  Suggests policy and/or regulator review  Clarify Objectives  Evaluate Effectiveness

Opportunities for Defining the Future  Change is not easy.  Opportunities exist for ‘positive’ change  Discuss and choose what those changes should look like to help define the future. When asked; “would you rather work for change or just complain?” 81% of the respondents replied: “Do I have to choose? This is hard.”