April 4, 2008 TAC Texas Nodal Market Implementation Program Update Jerry Sullivan.

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Presentation transcript:

April 4, 2008 TAC Texas Nodal Market Implementation Program Update Jerry Sullivan

2 2 Texas Nodal Program UpdateApril 4, 2008 AGENDA Program Status Quality Deferred Items Schedule –CIM Health Check –Single Point Entry –Go-Live Plan Cost

3 3 Texas Nodal Program UpdateApril 4, 2008 Program Status: Nodal Delivery Nodal Delivery status remains amber; health checks starting Cost ScheduleScope / Quality Pending PUCT approval of Budget Fee request filed w/ PUC on 6 Mar 08 Aligned with protocols * TPTF is addressing issue where MPs not in complete agreement, e.g., self-committed resources in DAM. Checkpoints in place to ensure ongoing viability of 12/1/2008 CIM Health Check today EDS 3 and 4 still red (ACE testing and Alarm Processing, respectively) Achieving quality standards to date; upcoming months will be telling Applying increased efforts to identify and resolve defects in pre- FAT and FAT Green * Amber RedAmber Nodal Delivery Legend Red Amber Green Estimate at Complete = <$319.5m Estimate at Complete = < $319.5m + 10% Estimate at Complete = >$319.5m + 10% Go-live = 12/1/08 Go-live = <30 days+ Go-live = >30 days+ Program is aligned with current protocols Program is aligned to previous protocol version Program is not aligned to protocols Current product quality is not sufficient for Nodal launch Most Nodal products currently achieve quality standards All Nodal products currently achieve quality standards

4 4 Texas Nodal Program UpdateApril 4, 2008 Program Status: ERCOT Readiness ERCOT Readiness status is amber ERCOT Readiness Survey to move to monthly updates Transition plans recently developed (Feb. 29) and scheduled for updates in April and June Business Process model was completed and provides a top-down view and low-level operational detail Procedures being developed for each department based on Business Process model; Procedure scorecard in development and available at end of April Steady progress on training Staffing plans developed; recruiting ongoing; timeframes established Staffing metric definition is a codification of long-standing practice, not a new metric

5 5 Texas Nodal Program UpdateApril 4, 2008 Program Status: ERCOT / Market Readiness Engagement [amber] – Still remains an area of concern – Market Participant survey (third round) closed March 31. Results available mid-April. Registration and Qualification [green] Connectivity and Telemetry [green] – Connectivity metrics complete for most MPs. Outliers are new to the program and need to go through EDS process Training [green] – Training metrics will be updated by survey results. Trials Participation [green] – Actively measuring EDS3 and EDS4 trial participation metrics Looking ahead –Readiness Metric for Resource Entity review of Resources to Resource Nodes and Resources to EPS Meters (MP10) is due by April 15, –Numerous metric milestones are upcoming in next two months –Hall of Fame Scorecard and Wall of Shame metrics will be prime motivators –See for schedule of upcoming metricswww.nodal.ercot.com Market Participant Readiness status remains amber

6 6 Texas Nodal Program UpdateApril 4, 2008 Quality - Summary Recent Successes –CRR1 has exited FAT –MMS3 has exited FAT –EMS3B and EMS4.1 have exited FAT Areas of Concern –Lengthy defect resolution time –Late detection of detects exacerbates defect resolution time Mitigation Measures –Passive data center site with live data feed will allow for earlier defect detection –Additional measures (e.g., key vendor resource retention) in progress Nodal Quality effort experienced recent successes but concerns remain

7 7 Texas Nodal Program UpdateApril 4, 2008 Quality Details: Nodal FAT Active Defects by Severity by Project  Overall, active defects are being tracked by project and by classification. Problems areas include: Network Model Management System (NMMS) has 14 Severity 1 defects Outage Scheduler (OS) has 6 Severity 2 defects Congestion Revenue Rights (CRR) has 1 Severity 1 and 5 Severity 2 defects Note - Does not include closed and deferred defects; data as of The relative low number of Severity 1 and 2 defects in FAT is encouraging

8 8 Texas Nodal Program UpdateApril 4, 2008 Quality Assurance: EDS Active Defects Per Release by Severity Notes: 1) Data only includes defects identified in EDS testing (i.e., defects that migrated into EDS from FAT are excluded) 2) Data does not include closed or deferred defects 3) Release 8 (Credit, Settlement and Billing) not yet in EDS; no EDS-identified defects in Release 4 (NMMS) Release No EDS active critical (Severity 1 and 2) defects are concentrated in Releases 3, 5, and 9* * State Estimator (SE) tuning, Security Constrained Economic Dispatch (SCED) and Locational Marginal Price (LMP) posting, and Day Ahead Market (DAM), et.al., respectively  Current testing in EDS represents approximately % of code to be tested in EDS  The number of defects associated with remaining EDS testing is expected to increase significantly due to the increasing complexity associated with systems’ integration  Timely fixes to the currently unknown number of defects in the code remaining to be tested in EDS represents a major project challenge.

9 9 Texas Nodal Program UpdateApril 4, 2008 Deferred Items Deferred items fall into one of three different categories –Items to be implemented before go–live, but after 168 hour test –Items to be developed before go–live, and ready for subsequent production release –Items to be deferred to business as usual prioritization, i.e., Project Priority List (PPL) process Currently deferred items will be funded through one or a combination of the following sources/actions: –Existing Nodal budgetary allowance for projects implemented/developed before go-live –Nodal Contingency allowance (as necessary) for projects implemented/developed before go-live –Funding allowance in ERCOT’s 2009 budget for projects implemented post-Go-Live funding sources include specific project allocation and/or general allowance (total of both: ~$18M); includes capital and O&M allocations –Reprioritization of projects in 2009 deferred projects may (or may not) be funded based on project prioritization Newly deferred items will be funded through one of the above identified mechanisms Deferred items are separated into multiple categories with potentially different funding sources.

10 Texas Nodal Program UpdateApril 4, 2008 Deferred Items: Categorization and Description Multiple EDW reports arising from draft NPRRs Market Operations Test Environment (MOTE) Items to be implemented before go–live, but after 168 hour test Items to be developed by Nodal before go–live, ready for subsequent production release Items to be deferred to business as usual prioritization (Project Prioritization List (PPL) process) MMS multiple network models (no capability to currently support separate network models) Settlement & Billing Information only calculations Dynamically scheduled resources incremental and decremental energy offer curves Add API to CRR Web-enabled registration NMMS API upgrade Market Participant Identity Management (MPIM) integration with Siebel Internal facing alarm handling/presentation - control room/EMS Internal facing UIs – Control room/EMS Migration of non-Nodal TML functionality to MIS Migration of content form nodal.ercot.com website to ERCOT.com website Operator Training Simulator Verifiable cost automation Co-optimizing energy and AS for self-committed resources in the DAM Enhancements for Disputes API IMM & ERCOT Market Operations support study tools MMS A/S Deliverability Evaluation Function (DEF) enhancements MMS Weekly RUC enhancements MMS Save Case format enhancement MMC CCT data enhancement MMS credit check performance enhancement Outage scheduler enhancements

11 Texas Nodal Program UpdateApril 4, 2008 Schedule: CIM Health Check The CIM health check was recently completed JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec EDS 1 EDS 2 EDS 3 EDS 4 Today MP Trials & NM Verification SCED & LMP Posting for 6 months ICCP / P2P SE Tuning E1 R2 E2 R3 E2 R4 E3 R5 E3 R6 LFC Testing E3 R7 CRR Testing E4 R9 CMM, DAM & RT Settlements, Verifiable Costs & Disputes DAM, SASM & RUC execution, DAM Stability Test, EECP, DST, Compliance E4 R8 Performance Health Checks – measure of schedule viability Dictated by PRR 727: Market Readiness Certification 168 Hr TestEDS 4Go Live Sequence CIM Integration Defect Go-Live (Go/No-Go) SeptOctNov TAC Meeting: 10/2 ERCOT BoD: 10/21 First Market Notice: 10/31Second Market Notice: 11/21168 Hr Test Start 32 Days to complete Test Business Processes

12 Texas Nodal Program UpdateApril 4, 2008 Schedule: CIM Health Check CIM Health check is currently on-going and will be reported to TPTF at end of April. Focus of health check will be on the NMMS, EMS, and MMS systems Further evaluation will be upon process to date, and data issues Largest known risk is the EMS importer delivery date, and ERCOT has escalated to AREVA mgmt.

13 Texas Nodal Program UpdateApril 4, 2008 Schedule: Single Point Entry The first piece of the Go Live sequence, Implementation Single Entry Model, is planned for June 2, 2008 Market Readiness Criteria and additional requirements that ties off to Single Model Entry Go Live: –Network Model tested successfully and delivered (Market Readiness Criteria) –MP Market Trials completed (currently on-going) –Zonal Model conversion to Nodal and validation by ERCOT –ERCOT business process and system readiness complete ERCOT will be working with TPTF, ERCOT staff, TAC, and BoD to obtain certification to comply with Section of the ERCOT Protocols, for Single Model Entry Go Live. If necessary, due to the tight timelines, ERCOT may request an vote from TAC for certification.

14 Texas Nodal Program UpdateApril 4, 2008 Go-Live Plan: Will encompass key activities/actions post the successful completion of the 168-Hr test Key Elements of the plan include:  ERCOT and Market Participant engagement expectations  Communications and ongoing health checks during the go-live period  Phased Staging of production submission during cut-over  Planned regression test of Nodal LFC  Software environment controls (migration freeze)  Contingency planning and guidelines for switch control back to zonal Next StepsTarget Completion Date Complete ERCOT reviewApril 7 th Present to TPTF for VoteMay 5 th Present to TAC for VoteJune 5 th Present to BoDJune 17 th

15 Texas Nodal Program UpdateApril 4, 2008 Schedule: Metric status for each of the Early Delivery Systems (xx) – Number of metrics associated with a particular Release EDS1 – Complete EDS2 – Red resulting from ongoing issues with State Estimator EDS3 – Red resulting from ACE testing. Will return to Yellow if TPTF approves revised testing approach. EDS4 – Mostly unmeasured at this point, but inheriting Red status from recently moved Alarms Processing metric. Commercial Ops metrics being measured are Green Overall Readiness – Yellow due to open issues on telemetry, modeling, and CIM JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec EDS 1 EDS 2 EDS 3 EDS 4 Today MP Trials & NM Verification SCED & LMP Posting for 6 months ICCP / P2P SE Tuning E1 R2 E2 R3 E2 R4 E3 R5 E3 R6 LFC Testing E3 R7 CRR Testing E4 R9 CMM, DAM & RT Settlements, Verifiable Costs & Disputes DAM, SASM & RUC execution, DAM Stability Test, EECP, DST, Compliance E4 R8 168 Hr TestGo Live Sequence (1 EDS, 2 MP) (3 EDS) (5 EDS, 1 MP) (2 EDS, 1 MP) (3 MP) (2 EDS, 2 MP) (12 EDS, 2 MP) (5 EDS, 3 MP) Overall Readiness (15 metrics): Releases No change* in EDS status since last meeting * As of

16 Texas Nodal Program UpdateApril 4, 2008 Cost Element Summary EAC Revised Budget and Forecast remain constant Spending in January* was lower and reversed overrun through Dec. Add’l $1.2 M in contingency earmarked (Testing and MPIM vendor extension) *February actuals not available as of