Carbon cycling and optics in the Gulf of Maine: Observations and Modeling Joe Salisbury Doug Vandemark Janet Campbell Fei Chai Huijie Xue Amala Mahatavan.

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Presentation transcript:

Carbon cycling and optics in the Gulf of Maine: Observations and Modeling Joe Salisbury Doug Vandemark Janet Campbell Fei Chai Huijie Xue Amala Mahatavan Wade McGillis

Goal: Reduce uncertainty in carbon flux estimates in the Gulf of Maine - Air-sea -Land-Coast -Ocean-Coast

Gulf of Maine and associated watersheds (left) UNH monthly transects (right)

Observations

Profilers for IOPs, AOPs, and CTD Infrared CO 2 gas analyzer Flo-thru pCO 2, oxygen, IOPs, GTD, and CTD Fast-rate CO2 equilibrator R/V Gulf Challenger UNH Field Component

Spatial variability in continuous measurements

Temporal (Interannual) Variability: Mean cross-shelf pCO2 for June-July

Air - sea interaction at Wilkinson Basin  pCO 2 (left), net flux (right) Annual flux = 12 to 20 gC/m 2 Range set by K 600 of Wanninkhof (1992) vs. Wanninkhof and McGillis (1999)

Modeling Efforts

Xue et al., CSR, in press

Modeled DIC (top) and Temperature (bottom) variability Mahatavan et al, GBC (2004) OPA model based on [Madec et al. [1999]]

Physical Model Nitrate [NO 3 ] Advection & Mixing Small Phytoplankton [P1] NO 3 Uptake Micro- Zooplankton [Z1] Grazing Ammonium [NH 4 ] Excretion NH 4 Uptake Detritus-N [DN] Fecal Pellet Sinking Silicate [Si(OH) 4 ] Diatoms [P2] Si-Uptake N-Uptake Meso- zooplankton [Z2] Sinking Detritus-Si [DSi] Grazing Fecal Pellet Sinking Predation Lost Total CO 2 [TCO 2 ] Biological Uptake Air-Sea Exchange Dissolution Carbon, Silicate, Nitrogen Ecosystem Model CoSiNE, Chai et al. 2002; Dugdale et al Chai et al., DSR 1996 Iron

SeaWiFS Derived Chlorophyll Modeled Surface Chlorophyll Comparison between Model result and SeaWiFS data, April 2004

SeaWiFS Chlorophyll Climatology April ( )

Time series comparison EMCCWMCC Georges Bank (1) Wilkinson Basin (5) ModelSeaWiFS

High Resolution Circulation Modeling and Remote Sensing

31 20 Gulf of Maine Circulation Model (H. Xue, UMO) Sea Surface Salinity (psu) (3/17/ EST)

8282 Gulf of Maine Circulation Model (H. Xue, UMO) Sea Surface Temp ( o C)

MODIS Assessment of pCO 2 pCO 2 (  atm) (3/17/ EST)

NEM (  g L -1 d -1 ) estimate on 3/17/05 based on modeled alkalinity and DIC B derived by satellite-retrieved pCO 2 and modeled SST and SSS. n=126 RSME= 5.7 (  g L -1 d -1 ), r 2 = Net Ecosystem Metabolism (  g L -1 d -1 ) 3/17/ EST Estimated from: Modeled Alkalinity MODIS pCO2 Modeled DIC

IOP and SST variability versus pCO2 pCO2 retrieval based on classification of optical provinces Carbon and optics

Final comments: Off to a good start - team assembled, growing database of quality measurements Modeling and remote sensing of carbon parameters encouraging Budgets and error estimates forthcoming The end - thanks