9- 1 Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 9 Using Discounted Cash Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions TOPICS COVERED Identifying Cash Flows.

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Presentation transcript:

9- 1 Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Chapter 9 Using Discounted Cash Flow Analysis to Make Investment Decisions TOPICS COVERED Identifying Cash Flows Discount Cash Flows, Not Profits Discount Incremental Cash Flows Discount Nominal Cash Flows by the Nominal Cost of Capitol Separate Investment & Financing Decisions Calculating Cash Flows Example: Blooper Industries

9- 2 Cash Flow vs. Accounting Income  Discount actual cash flows  Using accounting income, rather than cash flow, could lead to erroneous decisions. Example A project costs $2,000 and is expected to last 2 years, producing cash income of $1,500 and $500 respectively. The cost of the project can be depreciated at $1,000 per year. Given a 10% required return, compare the NPV using cash flow to the NPV using accounting income.

9- 3 Cash Flow vs. Accounting Income

9- 4 Cash Flow vs. Accounting Income

9- 5 Incremental Cash Flows  Discount incremental cash flows  Include All Indirect Effects  Forget Sunk Costs  Include Opportunity Costs  Recognize the Investment in Working Capital  Beware of Allocated Overhead Costs  Remember Shutdown Cash Flows Incremental Cash Flow cash flow with project cash flow without project = -

9- 6 Incremental Cash Flows IMPORTANT Ask yourself this question Would the cash flow still exist if the project does not exist?  If yes, do not include it in your analysis.  If no, include it.

9- 7 Separation of Investment & Financing Decisions  When valuing a project, ignore how the project is financed.  Following the logic from incremental analysis ask yourself the following question: Is the project existence dependent on the financing? If no, you must separate financing and investment decisions.

9- 8 Calculating Cash Flows  Think of cash flows as coming from three elements Total cash flow = + cash flows from capital investments + cash flows from changes in working capital + operating cash flows  Cash Flow from Capital Investments  Almost every project requires some sort of initial investment. This is often capitalized from an accounting perspective. In finance, the investment represents a negative cash flow.

9- 9 Calculating Cash Flows  Operating Cash Flow  Operating cash flow = + Revenue - Costs - Taxes  Methods of Handling Depreciation Method l: Dollars in Minus Dollars Out Method 2: Adjusted Accounting Profits Method 3: Add Back Depreciation Tax Shield

9- 10 Blooper Industries (,000s)

9- 11 Blooper Industries Cash Flow From Operations (,000s) or $3,950,000

9- 12 Blooper Industries Net Cash Flow (entire project) (,000s) 12% = $4,222,350