Labour Market Update 18 August 2011 Stuart MacMillan

Outline Headline news JSA and worklessness Impact on specific groups Findings from NLW analysis Outlook for the rest of the year

Headline News This month JSA increased by 558 (4.5%) claimants to 12,359 Similar increase across Scotland: 4.3% Angus 8.2%, Inverclyde 7.8%, Fife 7.8%, Renfrewshire 5.9% IB/ESA claimants continues to fall But total benefit claimants is on the up Less people in employment now than last year

Number of Job Seeker Allowance claimants

Impact on specific age groups

Total out of work benefit claimants

Craigneuk (Wishaw) 38.8% Pather/Gowkthrapple 29.5% Mossend 27.1% North Motherwell 26.7% Kirkwood 25.4% Carbrain East 25.1% Whinhall 25.1% Shawhead 24.9% Airdrie Central 24.7% Croy 24.6% Areas with highest and lowest levels of benefit claimants Moodiesburn East 12.1% Calderbank 11.9% Chryston 11.1% Condorrat North 10. % Condorrat Central 9.9% Balloch West 9.2% Balloch East 8.9% Tannochside 8.6% Ladywell 6.7% Westerwood 6.4% Highest Lowest North Lanarkshire average: 18.1%; Scottish average: 14.2%

Individuals leaving JSA to find work

Vacancies notified at Jobcentre Plus

North Lanarkshire’s Working Engagement Profile

North Lanarkshire’s Working Supported Assisted into work Conversion rate Conversion rate IB/ESA Claimants %38% JSA1, %36% Short term JSA (less than 6 months) %42% Long term JSA (more than 1 year) %28% Lone parent %36% Long term workless (over 1 year) %31% JSA for less than 1 year %39% MCMC %35% Overall3,1701,23339%35%

North Lanarkshire’s Working Barriers to employment for young people

North Lanarkshire’s Working Barriers to employment for older people

The importance of qualifications

Summary Unemployment at its highest level for several years All groups affected, but around youth unemployment given priority Recent pickup in vacancies Strong North Lanarkshire’s Working performance Economic outlook remains very bleak: growth likely to be low Threat of recession remains: inflation high but wages kept low Likely to be a jobless recovery Major spending cuts agenda when investment is needed most