Saving investment spending And financial system
Savings and Investment Spending Identity Saving and investment spending are always equal for the economy as a whole. ▪ GDP =C+I+G+X-IM = Y or Expenditure = Income.
Closed economy No net exports ▪ GDP = C + G + I ▪ Total income = Total spending ▪ What can we do with income? ▪ Spend or save. ▪ GDP = C + S or GDP = Consumption spending (C+G) + savings (S) ▪ If that is the case ▪ Consumer spending (C) + Government spending (G) + Investment spending (I) should = Consumer spending (C) + Government spending (G) + savings (S) ▪ Or C+G+I = C+G+S ▪ So Savings (S) = Investment (I)
Remember Not just households save. Government can save as well Government savings = Tax revenue (T) – Government consumption (G) – transfer payments (TR) ▪ Budget deficit – Government savings is negative. We are spending more than receiving in Taxes. (dissavings) ▪ Budget surplus – Government savings is positive. We are spending less than we are receiving in Taxes. ▪ Balanced Budget – Government savings is 0
National saving Private savings + Government savings So we can say ▪ National savings = investment (I)
The savings Investment spending identity changes in an Open economy. Open economy ▪ Allows money, and goods and services to flow between nations. ▪ Foreign Saving can be used in domestic investments (Inflows) ▪ Domestic saving can be used in foreign investments (outflows) ▪ Net capital inflows ▪ Is the total inflow of funds into a country minus the total outflow of funds out of a country
Net capital inflows can be negative You can also say Net capital inflow (NCI)= Imports (IM) – exports (X) ▪ NCI = Imports-exports ▪ I = (GDP- C- G) + (IM – X) ▪ I = NATIONAL SAVINGS + (IM- X) ▪ I = NATIONAL SAVINGS + NCI
r Quantity of loanable funds = investment S= Supply of loanable funds: comes from those who are savers. National Savings = Private savings + Government Savings + Net capital inflows
Shift in supply for loanable funds Changes in private savings behavior ▪ Private savings increase shift to right ▪ Private savings decrease shift to the left Changes in net capital inflows ▪ Net capital inflows increase shift to the right ▪ Net capital inflows decrease shift to the left. Changes in government borrowing needs. ▪ Can shift either the Demand curve or the supply curve for loanable funds ▪ Government greater demands for loans can shift Demand to the right Supply to the left ▪ Government less need for loans can shift Demand left Or supply right
r = Real interest rate Quantity of loanable funds = investment Demand = D demand for loans :originates from those who want loans. To want a loan one looks at Rate of return. IF Rate of Return > real Interest rate. One is willing to borrow. If Rate of Return < real interest rate one is willing to save
Shifts in the Demand for loanable funds Changes in perceived business opportunities ▪ Changes about belief of payoffs from investments ▪ Greater payoffs shift to the right ▪ Smaller payoffs shift to the left Changes in government borrowing ▪ Government running at a deficit will have a greater demand of loanable funds. Shift to the right ▪ Government running at a surplus will have no need to go to loanable funds market. Shift to the left
When Interest Rates rise Consumers and Business Save more than they spend. Greater incentive to Save then to spend. Earn greater future purchasing power then investing in new projects. So When government’s need for loans pushes interest rates higher “crowding out” occurs. Demand for loans from business and individuals decrease.