OILSEED & WHEAT OUTLOOK: 2015/16 Scott Sindelar Minister-Counselor United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agriculture Service

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Presentation transcript:

OILSEED & WHEAT OUTLOOK: 2015/16 Scott Sindelar Minister-Counselor United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agriculture Service Presented for GLOBAL GRAIN, FOOD & FEED 2015 (G2F2)

Macro-Economic Indicators Sluggish Global Economic Growth

Macro-Economic Indicators Sluggish Global Economic Growth Strengthening Dollar

Macro-Economic Indicators Sluggish Global Economic Growth Strengthening Dollar Lower Petroleum Price

Macro-Economic Indicators Sluggish Global Economic Growth Strengthening Dollar Lower Petroleum Price Rising Stock Levels

Macro-Economic Indicators Sluggish Global Economic Growth Strengthening Dollar Lower Petroleum Price Rising Stock Levels Falling Agriculture Commodity Prices

Macro-Economic Indicators Sluggish Global Economic Growth Strengthening Dollar Lower Petroleum Price Rising Stock Levels Falling Agriculture Commodity Prices Rising U.S. Feed Demand

Soybeans Drive Oilseed Production Gains

Rising Rapeseed Offsets Declines in Cottonseed Production

Soybean Exports Rise with Larger Supplies

Soybean Exporter Crush Expands with Larger Supply

Soybean Stocks Grow in Exporter Countries Global Soybean Exporter Ending Stock Million Tons

Growing Supplies Push Prices Lower

Soybean Meal to Lead Trade Growth

Global Wheat Production Exceeds Consumption MMT

Exporter Stocks Projected to Tighten, Except for the United States MMT Others are: Argentina, Australia, Canada, EU, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Ukraine.

Global Trade Drops MMT

Rising Global Wheat Trade Fails to Benefit U.S. Market Share U.S. Market ShareMMT

Wheat Prices Under Pressure by Large Supplies $/MT FOB

EU Surpasses United States as Top Wheat Exporter MMT

Wild Cards Export policies Argentina Russia Ukraine Southern Hemisphere Production Argentina Australia