INEKO Workshop Survey Results Workshop title: Crisis in the Eurozone: Slovak Experiences with the Common Currency Peter Goliaš INEKO Director 22 November.

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Presentation transcript:

INEKO Workshop Survey Results Workshop title: Crisis in the Eurozone: Slovak Experiences with the Common Currency Peter Goliaš INEKO Director 22 November 2013

Source: INEKO survey among 21 workshop participants

Positives vs Negatives Positives: – Lower transaction costs – Stability, elimination of exchange rate risk – Wider base of investors in government bonds in local currency improved condition in refinancing public debt Negatives: – Bailout costs – Uncertainty about further evolution of monetary union with probably further increase of explicit and implicit guarantees of Slovak Republic

Source: INEKO survey among 21 workshop participants

Some comments “Wait for future euro framework (e.g. features of fiscal union, legitimacy of decision making ).” “Do not enter, just make euro second official currency.” “Only enter the eurozone if you want to be part of a European federation in the future, with everything it might entail.” “ As soon as possible should be understood from the perspective that this will still take a few years for all the countries, and for some many years.”

Some comments “With the currency board arrangement, Bulgaria stands nothing to lose in terms of monetary policy, so the positives from joining prevail towards quick accession.” “Hungary, Bulgaria and Romania need to deal with their structural weaknesses and fully liberalise the energy prices before entering the Eurozone. (...) It would be in interest of Poland and Czech Republic to be part of team which will decide on future shape of the Eurozone.” “Most of countries represent small open economies for which at some stage of real convergence is reasonable become member of monetary union. Development in the last years also confirms that room for independent monetary policy is rather limited.”

Source: INEKO survey among 21 workshop participants ST.DEV

Other solutions proposed Educate and inform public regarding the structural changes and risks attached Full implementation of the common market in both goods and services Bank and sovereign debt resolution scheme which would allow debt restructuring with a limited contagion effect Cleaning of the European banking sector

Thank you!