What will be the effects of the increasing energy role of China and India? Section 1 To what extent is the world's energy 'secure' at present ? Energy.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Australia’s Gas markets
Advertisements

Soda Ash Industry Global Overview
World Energy Outlook Dr. Fatih Birol IEA Chief Economist Brussels, 29 April 2014.
Social Movements and Energy Transitions: Lessons for the Clean Energy Movement Bruce Podobnik Department of Sociology Lewis & Clark College
Energy in the Middle East John Ridgway.  Global Energy Outlook  Middle East Outlook Safety of our people – Protection of the environment Agenda.
Asia’s Oil and Gas Outlook Mikkal E. Herberg The National Bureau of Asian Research IPAA 2005 Mid-Year Meeting San Francisco, California June 17, 2005.
International Energy Outlook 2013
1 CEE Areas of Specialization Transportation Construction Geotechnical Structures Environmental Water Resources.
ENERGY. WORLD ENERGY USAGE PER PERSON ENERGY USE AND TYPES FOR LAST 400 YEARS.
1 Petroleum and Natural Gas Situation John C. Felmy Chief Economist and Director Statistics Department American Petroleum Institute
© OECD/IEA NATURAL GAS MARKET REVIEW 2006 Towards a Global Gas Market TOWARDS A GLOBAL GAS MARKET APEx CONFERENCE, Seoul 31 October 2006 Session.
WORLD ENERGY INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
The Economics of Oil Rishabh Sahu. This project examines the various factors responsible for changes in oil prices. The project reviews the statistical.
TOURISM IS THE BIGGEST INDUSTRY IN THE WORLD! BIGGER THAN AUTOMOBILES, DEFENCE, AGRO AND MANUFACTURING.
Commodity Market Outlook WBFI Annual Meeting T. Randall Fortenbery Professor School of Economic Sciences Washington State University.
Asia and Global Oil & Gas Markets and Geopolitics Mikkal E. Herberg The National Bureau of Asian Research Independent Petroleum Association of America.
INSTITUTE OF ENERGY STRATEGY
Wind Energy Supervisor: Prof. Göran Wall By Shahriar Ghahremanian Yulu Mao Yilong Zheng Huijuan Chen Setareh Janbakhsh.
© OECD/IEA 2011 COAL AND CHINA’S CHOICES Jonathan Sinton China Program Manager International Energy Agency Washington, D.C., 12 January 2011.
1973 oil crisis: Yom Kippur War 1979 oil crisis: Iranian Revolution 1990 oil crisis: Gulf War.
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY World Energy Outlook: Key Strategic Challenges Maria Argiri Economic Analysis Division.
US Renewable Energy Markets: Financial Perspective By Michael D. Ware Advance Capital Markets, Inc. Washington Council of Governments Washington, DC June.
China and Its Impact on World Energy Consumption Dan Westbrook.
Fossil Fuel Trends Global population (in millions) Energy demand (quads) North America90120 Latin America35150 Europe
Meeting U.S. Transportation Fuel Demand John Hackworth Joanne Shore Energy Information Administration Energy & Transportation Panel August
WHY DO WE NEED RUSSIA?. GLOBAL RESOURCE TRENDS By the end of the lesson you will; 1.Have reviewed the key consumption and and trends in stock fuels around.
APEC Energy Outlook and Security Issues The 6 th APEC Energy Ministers’ Meeting Manila, the Philippines 10 June 2004 Masaharu Fujitomi President Asia Pacific.
International Energy Outlook 2010 With Projections to 2035.
World Energy Outlook Strategic Challenges Hideshi Emoto Senior Energy Analyst International Energy Agency.
© OECD/IEA 2011 World Energy Outlook 2011 Dr. Fatih Birol IEA Chief Economist Parliament House, Canberra 12 December 2011.
Resource Issues Chapter 14 An Introduction to Human Geography
The Rise of China & India. Rapid Economic Growth in China Economic Growth rates of 9.5% are expected to continue Economic Growth rates of 9.5% are expected.
Asia’s Energy Insecurity: Markets or Mercantilism Mikkal E. Herberg The National Bureau of Asian Research Conference on Remaking Economic Strengths in.
NS3040 Fall Term 2014 Iran Sanctions: No Nuclear Deal.
Global Economic Issues Gregory W. Stutes. Global Village Do we live in a global village? – Do events around the world affect us as quickly as if they.
OIL. Oil company profits Oil companyEstimated net income Financial Times profit predictions BP$4.8 billionUp 85 percent Chevron$3.7 billionRoughly.
Energy Literacy. Energy sources fall into two categories RenewableNon-Renewable.
What is the role of OPEC in the geopolitics of energy?
environmentally sustainable society A Society that satisfies the basic needs of its people without depleting or degrading its natural resources and thereby.
World Energy Outlook 2006 Scenarios for the World and the European Union Presentation to European Wind Energy Conference Milan, Italy, 7-10 May 2007.
Objective – the rising demands for energy guestimate the three divided bar graphs.
© OECD/IEA Mtoe Other renewables Hydro Nuclear Biomass Gas.
Toyako Summit: A Review By Eric Johnston Deputy Editor The Japan Times Presented to: Hokkaido International Business Association July 10 th, 2008.
WORLD ENERGY PICTURE. Figure 1 World Energy Consumption Projections indicate continued growth in world energy use, despite world oil prices that are.
Sustainable Energy Systems The EU “WETO” World Energy, Technology and climate policy Outlook 2030 Domenico Rossetti di Valdalbero European Commission,
European Commission Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs Global Economic Prospects 2009: Commodity Markets at the Crossroads Nathalie.
U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis International Energy Outlook 2013 for Center for Strategic and International.
DRIVING FORCE BEHIND AMERICAN AND WORLD POLITICS.
ENERGY SECURITY AND ENERGY UNION PERSPECTIVES FOR COUNTRY October/20/2015 CSF, Brussels BETTER RESEARCH, BETTER POLICY, BETTER REFORM
© OECD/IEA 2015 Budapest, 19 October © OECD/IEA 2015 Energy & climate change today A major milestone in efforts to combat climate change is fast.
NS4054 “Japan, Southeast Asia, and Australia” Mikkal E. Herberg.
Oil and the Russian Economy by LT Randy Hayes NS4054: Energy Security.
The emerging powers and the majority of the world Geographical Superpowers.
ASIA`S HUNGER FOR ENERGY AUTHORS CLEMENS BACHMANN SIEGFRIED LINDNER THOMAS HAID DATE JUNE 2011 Managing the global energy challenges.
Global Food Trade and Geopolitics. To explain why the growth in global agricultural trade has been limited. To describe the pattern of import and export.
Topic 1= Energy Security The topic is split into 3 key questions: 1.To what extent is the world's energy 'secure' at present ? Energy supply, demand and.
The Energy Issue America faces a major energy supply crisis over the next two decades. The failure to meet this challenge will threaten our nation's economic.
Climate Policy and Green Tax Reform in Denmark Some conclusions from the 2009 report to the Danish Council of Environmental Economics Presentation to the.
What have been the main trends in oil consumption and production over the last 30 years?
Energy Pathways By the end of this lesson you will: Be able to define energy pathways and have a good idea of where these are. Considered the impacts of.
World Regional Geography Unit I: Introduction to World Regional Geography Lesson 4: Solutions to Global Warming Debate.
The rise of BRICs and resource implications of superpower growth Geographical Superpowers.
1 Energy Security Global Issues Seminar Series November 8 th 2006.
1 Office of the Chief Economist Australia’s role in meeting Asian energy demand growth Resources and Energy Economics Ross Lambie General Manager February.
A2 GCE Geography Unit 3 Geographical Superpowers © Geography Department, London Academy.
NS4960 Spring Term 2017 Australia: Energy Policy
Petroleum sector in Turkey Petroleum Engineering 2017
Question 3 - What might the world’s energy future be?
5minutes… collect your thoughts on your gaming time last week Be prepared to share with the class: a) your city and its physical features (ie: landscape,
NS4960 Spring Term 2018 Australia: Energy Policy
Presentation transcript:

What will be the effects of the increasing energy role of China and India? Section 1 To what extent is the world's energy 'secure' at present ? Energy demand, supply and security Aims of this lesson:

From the Spec: 1.3: Demand for energy is growing globally, and at regional and local scales, especially in developed and emerging economies such as China and India We need to examine: Trends in global energy supply and demand by source, type of economy and economic sector 1.4: Energy security depends on resource availability (domestic and foreign) and security of supply, which can be affected by geopolitics, and is a key issue for many economies. We need to examine: An awareness that there is little excess capacity to ease pressure on energy resources and therefore energy insecurity is rising particularly for finite resources.

Read the viewpoints and consider why the ideas are held and by whom.

Preventing India's energy from being stolen from its grid would improve efficiency. Getting China to cut back on coal is crucial. Shirong Chen, China editor, BBC News: "What if China got all this clean coal technology and their economy would develop even faster? What would happen to the big economies like the USA and India?" Meanwhile, there's a dark horse coming up on the outside in the race, New Energy. China is aggressively developing solar and India’s Suzlon is one of the world leaders in wind. China’s goal is to get 15% of its electricity from New Energy by India intends to get 10% by And nobody is taking any kind of interest except a business interest. Viewpoints

Ironically, "clean" coal technology growth in China is being stymied by Western interests' fear of giving the booming Chinese economy that competitive leg up. Both China and India have nuclear energy programs and the rest of the world is more than a little uneasy about them. Australia just announced it will not sell uranium to India because India is not a signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Pact. Viewpoints

Leaders in the U.S. Senate last month rejected a commitment to get 15% of U.S. electricity from New Energy by 2020 on the grounds that many south-eastern states could not meet that standard. Tennessee, Alabama and Mississippi aren’t capable of doing what India and China are doing? Viewpoints

What changes are coming? Why? What will be the impacts? The following slides are just an overview Use the articles to answer the questions in detail – present how you wish

WHAT Energy demand growth in China and India is driving world markets and shows no sign of letting up. Despite recent agreements between the 2 countries, competition for supplies is heated. WHEN - In 1993, China did not import oil. By 2030, it will import as much as the U.S. - By 2030, India’s oil imports will be greater than those of Japan or the European Union.

WHERE - In Beijing and Delhi, the race for oil deals in Latin America, Central Asia and Africa is a critical concern. - China seems less inhibited about doing business with governments shunned by the West like Iran, Burma and Venezuela. WHY - China’s economy is based on manufacturing, India’s is strongly service-based. This makes China even more energy-hungry. - India’s more open, democratic political system puts it at a disadvantage. e.g. A nuclear deal is being blocked in India by anti- U.S. politics while China is expanding nuclear plans at the government leadership’s will. But neither country will get more than 4% of its power from nuclear in Both India and China are developing wind, biomass, solar and hydro-electric energy resources. - India has enormous undeveloped hydroelectric resources.

China’s and India’s net oil imports are expected to jump to 19.1 million barrels a day in 2030 from 5.4 million barrels in 2006, more than what the United States and Japan now import. By 2030, global oil demand is expected to reach 116 million barrels a day. The use of coal, made attractive by oil and natural gas prices, is expected to rise 73 percent in the next 25 years, mostly because of Chinese and Indian use. The share of natural gas is projected to increase modestly while electricity use doubles.

China & India convert energy into wealth (BTUs per $1.00 of GNP) at only about 25% the efficiency of the USA or European Community KEY VARIABLES: MOST POPULOUS/WEALTHIEST NATIONS

This projection from the U.S. Energy Information Administration shows that China’s energy consumption could nearly double in the next twenty years, and virtually all of this new energy will come from coal. Sources from

Energy Security – what factors affect this? Resource availability –both domestic and foreign Security of supply This can be affected by geopolitics and is a key issue for many economies. You looked at this last lesson) As there is little excess capacity (little to spare) to ease pressure on energy resources, energy insecurity is rising –particularly for the non-renewable resources. The key energy issues for individual countries are the 3 S’s – sustainability, security, and strategy

Task Read through the pages and answer the following questions Produce an annotated map showing the distribution and availability of energy resources in China Create a flow chart/spider diagram to show the reasons for China’s energy insecurity Create a second diagram to show the steps which China is taking to tackle this energy insecurity What problems has China’s increasing demand foe energy created in the short term? What are the long-term consequences? Compare the energy security of China with Japan (see table on page 21)What are the similarities/ differences?