Asia Pacific Aviation Making Flying Even Safer Martin Eran-Tasker Technical Director Association of Asia Pacific Airlines COSCAP-SEA Steering Group Bangkok, China 1 – 2 March 2016

Overview Asia Pacific aviation Safety performance Infrastructure needs Making flying even safer

Asia Pacific Aviation

Aviation: moving the world Source: ICAO, ATAG Air travel delivers global mobility 3.2 billion passengers 9 million people flying per day Carries 35% by value of global trade Goods worth US$ 6.4 trillion Wider social and economic benefits Committed to sustainable growth Outstanding safety record

Source: Combined AAPA + non-AAPA airlines GMT+5 to GMT+12 US$173 billion revenue US$2 billion net profit 1,078 million passengers 767 million domestic 311 million international 17 million tonnes of cargo 6,268 aircraft Asia Pacific carriers overall market share: 31% of global passenger traffic 40% of global cargo traffic Asia Pacific Aviation Data: Financials: 2013 Estimates, Traffic & Fleet: 2014 Estimates

Safety Performance

Unprecedented tragedies Every loss brings human suffering Even though, flying is extraordinarily safe, and getting safer still Industry is delivering continuous improvements in aviation safety performance Despite heightened anxieties, public confidence about air travel remains positive

Safety Performance Trends Source: AAPA Asia Pacific World 1 major accident in 1 million flights 1 major accident in 2 million flights 1 major accident in 3 million flights

Asia Safety Performance Trends Source: AAPA

AAPA Definition of Major Accidents In line with FSF and NTSB, the AAPA defines Major Accident as an event that results in Aircraft destroyed; or Multiple fatalities to passengers and crew; or One fatality and the aircraft is substantially damaged. This includes any aircraft that is missing or inaccessible. In addition to the above, the AAPA includes the following extra criteria for its major accident statistics preparation: Aircraft involved is a western-built commercial jet aircraft of more than 30 passengers or MTOW of 20,000kg Aircraft involved is a western-built commercial turboprop aircraft of more than 19 passengers or MTOW of 15,000kg

Industry Safety Record western-built jet aircraft

Breakdown of Major Jet Accidents in January; Ethiopian Airlines; B F; Ghana Runway excursion 2.24 March; Germanwings; A ; French Alps (150) Impacted terrain at high speed in a controlled descent – Excluded as a deliberate of unlawful interference 3.29 March; Air Canada; A ; Halifax, Canada Significantly damaged due to landing short of the runway 4.31 October; Metrojet; A ; Enroute to St Petersburg (224) Aircraft confirmed to have been brought down by an IED - Excluded as a deliberate act of unlawful interference

Breakdown of Major Jet Accidents in January; West Air Sweden; CRJ-200PF; near Akkajaure, Sweden (2) Lost contact after mayday call, impacted ground 2.2 February; Daallo Airlines, leased from Hermes Airlines; A ; Somalia (1) In-flight explosion after takeoff - Excluded as act of unlawful interference

Turboprop

Industry Safety Record western-built turbojet aircraft

Safety Performance - Turboprops Source: AAPA & IATA

Turboprop Operations Turboprops optimised to serve short haul routes in markets with limited ground infrastructure Turboprop operations represent 20% of industry sectors, but 60% of industry hull losses Growing number of short haul turboprop operators in the Asia Pacific region Different operating environments and infrastructure challenges Turboprop operations require separate focus and attention to prioritise relevant safety initiatives

Safety Focus Airlines operate in a complex and challenging business environment Asian airlines are listed among some of the world’s leading safe airlines Safety requires long term investment and commitment in resources by all stakeholders Greater focus on effective regulatory oversight aligned with agreed ICAO standards Enhanced safety performance relies on transparency, collaboration and cooperation between regulators and industry

Safety Priorities Identified Risk Factors: Controlled Flight into Terrain (CFIT Turboprop) Approach & Landing Loss of Control in Flight Runway Safety (excursions) Non-Adherence to Standard Operating Procedures Human Factors Ground Accidents Focusing on development and implementation of action plans to proactively manage such threats

Latent Safety Conditions Identifying underlying deficiencies in: Regulatory oversight Safety management Management systems Change management SOP and checking procedures Training systems Qualifications and experience levels

Regulatory

Asia Pacific: regulatory perspectives Diverse region: multiple governments and regulators with varying levels of capacity and capability National authorities responsible for effective implementation of ICAO SARPs ICAO “No Country Left Behind” campaign targets 62% level of effective implementation of SARPS by 2017 Some CAA’s are taking punitive action against foreign carriers when their respective authority oversight is found deficient Multiple audits is not the most effective way to enhance the quality of regulatory oversight and aviation safety

Industry high level of safety performance due to coordinated safety activities, sharing best practices and data, lessons learned Many States increasing level of foreign air operator surveillance resulting in punitive sanctions on airlines  Inconsistent/ unharmonised approach  Lack of industry dialogue Keeping pace with industry growth State Safety Program (SSP) Asia Pacific: regulatory challenge Need to strengthen regional collaboration and cooperation to further enhance aviation safety

AAPA

AAPA member airlines

Working relationship with airlines in the region Always open for dialogue on safety

AAPA Outreach Open policy on safety – FOSWG, CaSWG, APTSF, APASS Develop partnerships Efforts based on trust, transparency and partnership Information exchange Benchmarking and sharing of data with safety partners Sharing of best practices Promoting effective communication Forums, Workshops and Working Groups Coordinate with industry groups on common issues Working with the regions regulators and urge for effective regulatory oversight

AAPA approach Open policy on safety – FOSWG, CaSWG, APTSF, APASS Efforts based on trust, transparency and partnership Forums, Workshops and Working Groups Support national safety forums (Malaysia – Indonesia) Outreach to regional ANSPs (Air Nav Indonesia - CAAC) Working with the regions regulators at COSCAP, APRASG and AP DGCA conference to enhance safety Urge for effective regulatory oversight Urge for industry consultation Benchmarking and sharing of data with safety partners Develop guidance and training – Just Culture Outreach to Turbo-prop operators

Airport Focus Runway Safety Safety Management Systems (SMS) Identification and mitigation of airport risks and hazards Wild life management Foreign object damage Ground operations Infrastructure Collaboration and cooperation

Infrastructure Aviation infrastructure must keep pace with rapid traffic growth Chronic congestion and delays already evident in some areas Greater focus on operating efficiency, productivity and cost-effectiveness Government responsibility to coordinate planning and long term investment required Industry ready to play its part Infrastructure is critically important in sustaining growth

Closing Thoughts Aviation is at the heart of global economic development Asian airlines pressing ahead with both customer service and business model innovation Overall prospects for long term growth remain bright but infrastructure planning is a shared challenge Flying is extraordinarily safe, but requires effective regulatory oversight, and close collaboration amongst all industry stakeholders Committed to continuous improvement Keeping air travel safe, secure and convenient

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