1 ©2010 HP Confidential Waste 2020 – an outlook into the next decade Dr Kirstie McIntyre Environmental Compliance Manager, EMEA

About HP Fortune 9 – U.S. Fortune 32 – Global 321,000 employees 145,000 sales partners 210,000 service partners 88,000 retail locations Simplifying technology experiences around the world

About HP HP’s powerful portfolio

Electronic waste - now Results so far from the WEEE directive approx. 1,850,000 t have been collected in 2008 by WEEE ‘systems’, high recycling rates have been achieved (> 90% for IT) 1.4 miol t WEEE Forum Members, 350 kt ERP, 100kt other systems

Waste Electronics- now Results so far approx. 1,850,000 t have been collected in 2008 by WEEE Systems = approx. 30% of what has been sold..... where is the rest ?

Where is the rest ? There is almost no E-waste with business customers second hand use for IT > % ‘Waste’ Electronics- now

Graph showing Price Development of PCs All PCs follow this curve (smaller spot sample than from notebooks) Retirement Discarding In press to Journal Industrial Ecology ‘Waste’ electronics - now

Discarding Graph showing Price Development of Laptops Retirement In press to Journal Industrial Ecology ‘Waste’ Electronics- now

Where is the rest ? There is almost no E- waste with enterprise customers Collection and treatment of E-Waste can be a profitable business ‘Waste’ Electronics- now

Treatment Consumer Take-Back Systems Municipal Collection Retail Collection Learnings: Waste Flows in the Netherlands Source: Witteveen+Bos, Onderzoek naar complementaire afvalstromen voor e-waste in Nederland, 10 April 2008 ‘Waste’ Electronics- now

Treatment (domestic) Scrap Dealers 3.6kg (19.5%) Consumer 18.5 kg Take-Back Systems Municipal Collection Retail Collection Retailers 3kg (16.2%) 14.8 kg Scrap sold by Municipalities 2.5kg (14%) Source: Witteveen+Bos, Onderzoek naar complementaire afvalstromen voor e-waste in Nederland, 10 April kg 100% 31% 80% Waste Bin 2kg (11%) Learnings: Waste Flows in the Netherlands ‘Waste’ Electronics- now

… this sculpture by Henry Moore, worth approx. 400,000 € was stolen for a scrap value of 30,000 € Learnings: Side Effects of high scrap prices ‘Waste’ Electronics- now

? Waste electronics Future Developments

1. Challenging products disappear 2. Raw material price increase ?  Prices for recycling materials 3. Recycling technology Future Developments Waste electronics

When is the last time you saw a CRT Monitor in operation? (Almost) no CRT Monitors in WEEE (after 2012) CRT-TV phase out will take longer CFC-Fridges phase out perceptible 1. Challenging Products disappear Waste electronics

2. Raw Material Prices: influencing factors a.Demand b.Natural resources c.Technology developments d.Substitution e.Recycling Waste electronics

a. Demand for Raw Materials World PopulationPopulation with income to buy electronic products / cars Billion Demand for raw materials will increase... by ??% in 20xx German Ministry of Environment, 2009 Waste electronics

b. Natural Resources Example: Copper Minimum Metal Content in Ore * % % 2009<1 % * for profitable mining for 1 ton of copper, 7 times more ore needs to be processed compared to 100 years ago Energy cost is a major element now.... Waste electronics

c. Technology developments New Products require more rare materials (Tantalum, Germanium...) Waste electronics

c. Technology developments New Products require more rare materials (Tantalum, Germanium...) Other industries will compete for the same raw materials as the electronics industry Waste electronics

What do all these cars have in common ?

... a kg battery... equivialent to 2,000 – 3,500 laptop batteries

By 2020, 9% of cars on the road (~ 7 mil) will be powered by electricity. Most of them by the same kind of batteries used for laptops. Source: c. Technology developments Waste electronics

7 mil electrical cars will require a similar amount of materials to produce batteries for 7,000,000,000 Laptops 400kg/car, 0.4 kg/laptop c. Technology developments Waste electronics

Many more industries are competing for the same raw materials (e.g. Solar Flat Screens) c. Technology developments Waste electronics

Smart Engineering will be able to -reduce material use -use other materials c. Technology developments Waste electronics

HP Lab project: replace copper lines with optical lines Copper that’s never mined… 2012: Servers Annual savings: 13 TeraWatt hours of electricity 2017: Servers + Chips Annual savings: 110 TWh of electricity Reduce the need to mine / smelt copper.... within computers / in chips d. Substitution Waste electronics

e. Recycling - Raw material prices In the mid term, raw material prices will increase to a level of > 2008 By then, collecting all e-waste will be a profitable business which will attract small entrepreneurs... the mine above ground... Waste electronics

Treatment (domestic) Scrap Dealers Up to 90% Consumer Take-Back Systems Municipal Collection Retail Collection e. Recycling – waste flows in the future Waste electronics

Consequences Even if we wanted to, scrap dealers (informal sector) cannot be stopped from collecting and trading E-waste. They will provide a better service to consumers and will be more responsive to new market developments Waste electronics

Manufacturers will need to take care of their suppliers‘ sources of raw materials Consequences Waste electronics

Future legislation needs to be based on completely different paradigms than current WEEE Consequences Waste electronics

Consequences Future legislation should focus on ensuring that high treatment standards are applied (in a competitive environment). Result must be highest material yield and lowest impact on society/environment. (no back-yard recycling). Collection handled by many small companies making money by selling e-waste. Waste electronics

Consequence for you.... in 2030, you might only get a new computer if you return an old one..... Waste electronics

Thank you for your attention !