Meteorology 415 Fall 2012 Forecast Review Wednesday, October 31, 2012 Johnstown, PA (JST)

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Presentation transcript:

Meteorology 415 Fall 2012 Forecast Review Wednesday, October 31, 2012 Johnstown, PA (JST)

Johnstown, PA Population (2010) City 20,978 Urban 76,113 Metro 143,679

 KJST Z AUTO 25011KT 9SM UP OVC005 01/00 A2956 RMK AO2 SNB36E43 CIG  003V009 SLP030 P T =  KJST Z AUTO 25011KT 6SM -SN BR OVC003 01/01 A2956 RMK AO2 UPE2356SNB2356  CIG 002V008 P0001=  KJST Z AUTO 24010G18KT 8SM -SN OVC003 01/01 A2957 RMK AO2  UPE46SNB2356E11B46 SLP031 P0001 T =  KJST Z AUTO 24011KT 8SM -SN OVC003 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2  UPB0057E35SNE0057B21E23B35 CIG 003V007 SLP035 P0001 T =  KJST Z AUTO 22010KT 5SM -SN BR OVC005 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2 CIG 003V008  SLP037 P T =  KJST Z AUTO 26012G17KT 5SM -SN BR OVC005 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2 CIG 003V007  SLP037 P0002 T =  KJST Z AUTO 25011KT 8SM -SN OVC005 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2 CIG 003V010 SLP036  P0001 T =  KJST Z AUTO 24012KT 8SM -SN OVC005 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2 SLP035 P  T =  KJST Z AUTO 23010KT 8SM -SN OVC005 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2 SLP034 P0001  T =  KJST Z AUTO 24012KT 9SM -SN OVC005 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2 SLP034 P0001  T =  KJST Z AUTO 25011KT 8SM -SN OVC005 01/00 A2958 RMK AO2 SLP034 P  T = Johnstown Observations

Johnstown Surface Map

Johnstown Satellite Imagery

Johnstown IR Imagery

Johnstown Radar

Johnstown Upper Air Analysis

Johnstown Model

Johnstown Verifications

Johnstown – Survey Scores

Johnstown – Career Scores

Up Close and Personal

COMPARE for JST

 Without a defined lifting mechanism and in an oblique upslope flow, precip will be light and visibility will not be that low.  Temperatures go nowhere without advection and especially under a low overcast with a steady wind  Short term forecasts in a steady state pattern is where MOS does quite well. Lessons Learned- Johnstown