Market Review Stocks and Commodities at a Crossroads Daryl Montgomery May 19, 2016 Copyright 2016, All Rights Reserved.

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Presentation transcript:

Market Review Stocks and Commodities at a Crossroads Daryl Montgomery May 19, 2016 Copyright 2016, All Rights Reserved

The contents of this presentation are not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any security and are for educational purposes only The New York Investing meetup is not affiliated with the New York Life Insurance Co.

Didn’t Attend New York Investing Meetup Meetings

Regularly Attends New York Investing meetup Always keeps some spending money around

Stocks, Commodities, Currencies, Bonds

Articles Published Since March Meeting 10 articles published on Seeking Alpha. Sign up (it’s free) and follow me so you get the URLs ed to you when articles appear. 04/19/16: “Market Reaction to DOHA meeting is Bullish for Oil” 04/21/16: “Natural Gas Shoots Up As Energy Sector Becomes Increasingly Bullish” Gas Shoots Up As Energy Sector Becomes Increasingly Bullish 04/26/16: “Profiting From Copper And Copper Stocks” 04/28/16: “Currencies Outperforming The U.S. Dollar” Outperforming The U.S. Dollar 05/05/16: “Why Natural Gas Will Turn Bullish” 05/06/16: “Which Technology ETFs Are Best For Investors?” Which Technology ETFs Are Best For Investors? 05/08/16: “Political Shake-Up In Saudi Arabia Has Big Implications For Oil Market” 05/10/16: “Steel Stocks Buckle After Bubble-Like Rally”

Market Summary Brexit vote big news to watch for in June. Fed could become more aggressive Precious metals: overextended, especially miners Energy: Oil OK; gas, alt, uranium challenged Dow, S&P 500 holding up; Nasdaq, RUT weak. Strongest sectors: Utilities, Energy, Materials. Strongest Currencies: Real, Yen, Canadian $ Negative bond yields in Europe and Japan. Watch: Oil, Sugar, Natural Gas, Coffee, Gold, Silver

U.S Stock Indexes Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

Three Sectors Outperforming S&P500 Black S&P500, Blue Energy, Gold Utilities, Red Materials

Three Sectors Underperforming S&P500: Black S&P500, Gold Healthcare, Blue Financials,Red Technology

Dow Industrials: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

S&P500: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Nasdaq: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Russell 2000: One Year Daily 10,40,65-Week lyMoving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

End of U.S. Stocks

Foreign Stocks: Major Indexes Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

UK FTSE: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

German DAX: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Week Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Japan Nikkei: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-WeeklyMoving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

End of Foreign Stocks Majors

Emerging Markets Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

Brazil BOVESPA: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

China Shanghai Composite: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

India SENSEX: One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Russia RSX (RTS): One Year Daily 10, 40, 65-Week lyMoving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

End of Foreign Stocks BRICs

Currencies Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup March 22, 2016

BZF, FXC, FXY Outperforming DXY YTD Black US $, Gold Canadian $, Red Brazilian Real, Blue Japanese Yen

US Dollar DXY: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Euro FXE: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Swiss Franc FXF: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Japanese Yen: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Canadian Dollar FXC: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Australian Dollar FXA: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Brazilian Real BZF: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

End Currencies

Energy – Oil and Natural Gas Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup Feb 23, 2016

Energy Commodities Compared: YTD Daily Black line OIL, Alternative red, Uranium blue, Natural Gas gold

Oil WTI: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Natural Gas: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

PBW Alt Energy: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Uranium Companies URA: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Precious Metals Technical Analysis New York Investing meetup Feb 23, 2016

Precious Metals Compared: YTD Daily Black line gold, Yellow line silver, Red line Platinum, Blue line Palladium

Gold ETF GLD: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Gold Miners ETF GDX One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Silver ETF SLV: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Platinum PPLT: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Palladium PALL One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

End of Precious Metals

10-Year Bond US, UK, Germany, Japan YTD Black: US Treasury; Red Japanese JGB, Gold: UK Gilt; Blue: German Bund

10, 7, 5-Year Treasuries Interest Rates YTD Black line: 10-Year; Gold line 7-Year, Blue Line 5-Year

10-Year Treasury Yield: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

10-Year German Bund Yield: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

10-Year Japanese JGB Yield: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

30-Year Treasury Yield: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

High Yield (Junk) Bonds: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Miscellaneous

Copper JJC: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Coffee JO: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

Sugar SGG: One Year Daily 50, 200, 325-Weekly Moving Averages, RSI, DMI, MACD

The End