Exponential Technologies – Singularity & ExOs Yuri van Geest Founder Singularity University the Netherlands Author Exponential Organizations

Yuri van Geest Founder

Caring (why) will be the next competitive advantage for people & organizations

109+ How will you positively impact 1 billion people in the next decade?

The best vision on the future is peripheral vision

Accelerating Technologies Al Robotics Biotech Nanotech Medicine Neuroscience Energy Computing

EXPONENTIAL GROWTH & THE LAW OF ACCELERATING RETURNS 8 Credit: Ray Kurzweil and KurzweilAI.net

Exponential Technologies Declining Costs Increasing Capabilities

“Software is Eating the World”

Estimated Share of Capex by Industry Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Effects of Singularity / New Disruptive Era: Digitization (1) Dematerialization (2) Demonetization (3) Decentralization / Democratization (4) Explosion of Innovation & Startups Do-It-Yourself Abundance / Solving Grand Challenges Sharing Economy

Audi RS 7 - Autonomous Car

Even more disruptive is the technology behind Bitcoin: Lamassu (Portugal), plans to initially make 15 of its $5.000 Bitcoin Machines, which can turn of 200 types of regular currency into Bitcoins Latest news: German Finance Ministry recognizes bitcoin as currency

Future Disruptors

NANO-MEMS (chips) & PAYMENTS GATX

Qingdao Unique Products - House 3D Printer Based on Graphene glass fiber reinforced plastic: light, strong, conductive, corrosion-resistan http://3dprint.com/7181/china-huge-3d-printer/ http://www.graphene-info.com/graphene-3d-printing

MIT - 4D Printing 4D printed materials morph in response to weather or energy (temperature, humidity, etc.). Possible applications: (Temporary) Buildings Furniture Pipes and Valves

Google & NASA - Quantum Computing http://venturebeat.com/2015/12/08/google-says-its-quantum-computer-is-more-than-100-million-times-faster-than-a-regular-computer-chip/ http://googleresearch.blogspot.nl/2015/12/when-can-quantum-annealing-win.html The D-Wave 2X quantum computer is 100 million times faster than a conventional computer with a proof-of-concept optimization problem. Leaps in Big Data & AI.

$500M DeepMind - Deep Learning acquired by Google for http://deepmind.com http://techcrunch.com/2014/01/26/google-deepmind/ acquired by Google for $500M

Viv Labs - Self-learning AI Assistant http://www.wired.com/2014/08/viv/ New Artificial Intelligence Startup by the people behind Siri. Can analyze different nouns in sentences independently to compile an accurate and useful answer. > Beyond Google Now!

Zero-employee Robot Factories Toyota - Japanese automotive manufacturer Softbank - Japanese telecom & Internet corporation Foxconn - Taiwanese electronics manufacturer Factories with robots creating new robots (STM Machines) Starting Q3/Q4 2016

Graphene - Nano Materials

Titanium Dioxide (TiO2) Nanocoating Benefits: Anti-corrosive Wear-resistant Self-cleaning UV-resistant Hydrophobic Anti-bacterial Deodorization (no scents)

(Exponential) Organizations

“The average half life of a business competency has dropped from 30 years in 1984 to 5 years today”

“89% of the Fortune 500 companies from 1955 are not on the list today

“The average lifespan of an S&P 500 company has decreased from: 67 years (1920’s) to 12 years (today)”

Market Cap to a Billion

What are ExOs?

Definition An Exponential Organization (ExO) is one whose impact (or output) is disproportionally large — at least 10x larger — compared to its peers because of the use of new organizational techniques that leverage exponential technologies.

Attributes

Attributes

How to create ExOs?

Strategies for Corporates

Yuri van Geest Co-Author Exponential Organizations Yuri.vangeest@singularityu.org www.exponentialorgs.com