Overview of Coffee Market in Japan

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Presentation transcript:

Overview of Coffee Market in Japan 5th , May 2016 By Kanematsu Corporation

Who is KANEMATSU? Corporate Name KANEMATSU CORPORATION Tokyo Head Office 2-1, Shibaura 1-chome, Minato-ku, Tokyo 105- 8005, Japan President & Chief Executive Officer Masayuki Shimojima Established August 15, 1889 (127 years) Paid-in Capital ¥27,781 million Stock Exchange Listings Tokyo Main Business Field Trading in various kinds of commercial products, investment in businesses Number of Offices Domestic: Head office 1, Branches 6, Overseas: 39 Number of Employees Headquarter: 813 Affiliated companies: 6,002 Kanematsu foi fundado pelo Sr. Fusajiro Kanematsu em Kobe Japão no ano 1889, faz 127 anos Mesmo ano que Plocramação República do Brasil pelo Marechal Deodoro da Fonseca no dia 15 de novembro Nossa area de trabalho é trading e investimento. Funcionários 800, em grupo total 6.000

Kanematsu Coffee Team is… KANEMATSU Coffee Team is belonged to the Food Department and formed by 5 traders ( 4 in Tokyo + 1 in Osaka ), and 1 assistant. Our annual import volume is 10,000 tons of coffee green beans. Mainly from Brazil, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Guatemala, Colombia, PNG, and Jamaica etc. Our function is import, storage, and distribute green beans to the roasting companies adding some finance. We do not have our own roasting facility but in many occasion we are dealing roasted beans too, working as a business coordinator.

Overview of Coffee Market in Japan Agenda of this presentation Overview of Coffee Market in Japan 1. BASIC UNDERSTANDING What makes Japanese market unique? 2. STATISTICS Import history, demand by types 3. CONSUMPTION Products, occasion, and players 4. Specialty Coffee in Japan Kanematsu’s Specialty Coffee Sales 5. Future Forecast & Suggestion

Overview of Coffee Market in Japan Agenda of this presentation Overview of Coffee Market in Japan 1. BASIC UNDERSTANDING What makes Japanese market unique? 2. STATISTICS Import history, demand by types 3. CONSUMPTION Products, occasion, and players 4. Specialty Coffee in Japan Kanematsu’s Specialty Coffee Sales 5. Future Forecast & Suggestion

One person, can have lots of ways of consumption 1. BASIC UNDERSTANDING Characteristics in coffee consumption Three factors drive Japanese market unique One person, can have lots of ways of consumption Men or women, young or old one, has possibility of consume various types of coffees. Drip coffee in the morning, canned coffee when driving, espresso after dinner. Convenient stores, vending machines, cafes, many outlets are available in town Many opportunities of purchasing coffee product Due to high competition against retail stores, manufacturer are obliged to make the product cycle shorter Rapid movement on new product launch cycle

- 0.19 + 0.31 + 0.67 Population 1. BASIC UNDERSTANDING 378,000km2 126 million (year 2015) 207 million (year2015) 321 million (year2015) 107 million (year 2050 est) - 0.19 238 million (year 2050 est) + 0.31 388 million (year 2050) est) + 0.67 Japan has one of the most aging population in the world. 60 60 20 20 Birth Rate 1.42 Birth Rate 1.80 Birth Rate 1.86 Data: https://populationpyramid.net/

International Majors Japan Branch 1. BASIC UNDERSTANDING Function of Trading Company In Japan major part of roasters purchase green beans from trading companies. Trading Companies “SHOSHA” Because roasters can enjoy following benefits… Eliminating headache in English communication Hedging risk of Future market and FOREX to Traders Payment, 90 to 120 days after delivery Replacement, if cupping result was bad International Majors Japan Branch

Overview of Coffee Market in Japan Agenda of this presentation Overview of Coffee Market in Japan 1. BASIC UNDERSTANDING What makes Japanese market unique? 2. STATISTICS Import history, demand by types 3. CONSUMPTION Products, occasion, and players 4. Specialty Coffee in Japan Kanematsu’s Specialty Coffee Sales 5.Future Forecast & Suggestion

The statistic of Import/Consumption 2. STATISTICS Import & Consumption The statistic of Import/Consumption Recent 10 years, anual GB import is 400,000MT in average. 4th largest consuming country after USA, Brazil, & Germany Import Import Metric Ton Unit : metric ton From : All Japan Coffee Association

Top 5 countries of green coffee beans /Japan imports 2. STATISTICS Supplier Countries Top 5 countries of green coffee beans /Japan imports Brazil covers 30% and 2 millions of bags for a decade Metric Ton Unit : metric ton From : Japan import statistics

Purchasing volume of Arabica and Robusta 2. STATISTICS Arabica : Robusta Purchasing volume of Arabica and Robusta Roughly Japan imports Arabica 75% : Robusta 25% 100,000 50,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 500,000 450,000 400,000 2005yr 2006yr 2007yr 2008yr 2009yr 2010yr 2011yr 2012yr Purchasing volume of Arabica and Robusta to entire Import Qty Import Qty Arabica Robusta MT 2013yr 2014yr Unit : metric ton From : Japan import statistics

Overview of Coffee Market in Japan Agenda of this presentation Overview of Coffee Market in Japan 1. BASIC UNDERSTANDING What makes Japanese market unique? 2. STATISTICS Import history, demand by types 3. CONSUMPTION Products, occasion, and players Specialty Coffee in Japan Kanematsu’s Specialty Coffee Sales 4.Future Forecast & Suggestion

Outline of consumption of Regular & Soluble Coffee Regular (Roasted & Ground) Coffee 85% : Soluble 15% MT 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 SOLUBLE COFFEE REGULAR COFFEE 150,000 100,000 50,000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Data From The All Japan Coffee Association

For what usage, is coffee consumed in Japan ? 3. CONSUMPTION Category For what usage, is coffee consumed in Japan ? Each category has volume of 1/3 of total consumption roughly Home consumption 1/3 Café & Restaurant 1/3 RTD (ready to drink) 1/3

Ready to Drink (Canned & Chilled*) 3. CONSUMPTION Coffee Products Coffee Product Types Many coffee related derivative products make Japanese market unique Roasted & Ground Drip Bags Soluble & 3 in 1 PET Bottles Ready to Drink (Canned & Chilled*)

Numbers of Retail locations in Japan 3. CONSUMPTION Numbers of Retailers Numbers of Retail locations in Japan 2,500,000 VENDING MACHINE 44,000 CONVENIENT STORE A SUPERMARKET 39,000 COFFEE SHOP CHAIN 5,500 GAS STATION 33,500 Data: from Website of the Association of each category

Consumption Occasion for Home usage Household Consumption Consumption Occasion for Home usage Super Markets and Department store provides a lot of occasions and varietal product to be chosen for coffee consumers. Super Markets AEON group Seven & I group Uny group 39,000 locations Department store Mitsukoshi / Isetan Group Takashimaya Hankyu / Hanshin Group Sogo etc... 250 locations

Consumption Occasion for Café & Restaurant Out of Home Consumption Consumption Occasion for Café & Restaurant Coffee Shops Fast Foods 1,345 3,300 1,034 1,412 650 588 1,377 199 160 Data: Internet Navar Matome 2012 (http://matome.naver.jp/odai/2133896164731497801), or websiteo of each service provider

Market trend of Drip Machine at Convenient Stores 3. CONSUMPTION A New Movement Market trend of Drip Machine at Convenient Stores Million cups per year 100% 580.1% 988.4% 1191.0% 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 0% 200% 400% 600% 800% 1000% 1200% 1400% 2012 2013 2014 2015 Growth Rate of Drip Machine at Convenient Stores Sales Volume (CUP) Growth Rate of Sales CUP Market Share In Regular Coffee Cunsumption 0.5% 2.8% 4.7% 5.6%

New Consumption Occasion at Convenience Stores A New Movement New Consumption Occasion at Convenience Stores Casher A Coffee Dripper HOT or Order Coffee & Get a cup (ice included if you order ice coffee) Drip Coffee by Machine COLD

3. CONSUMPTION A New Movement

Prices of coffee at Convenient store 3. CONSUMPTION Price Comparison Prices of coffee at Convenient store Drip coffee, small size Store Price (JPY) 100 JPY 100 = R$ 3.20 ---------------Comparison------------- JPY 100 = US$ 0.90 =120 =220 =280

Movement of Numbers of Households by type 3. CONSUMPTION Single Serve By 2030, only “single households” to increase A Movement of Numbers of Households by type 1990 2010 2030 Single Parents & Children Couple Single Serve市場 Others 一杯取り ドリップバッグ スティックタイプ National Institute of Population and Social Security Research 2008 Not only capsules, but also the other types of “single serves” might have chance due to availability of many options of products.

Overview of Coffee Market in Japan Agenda of this presentation Overview of Coffee Market in Japan 0. BASIC UNDERSTANDING What makes Japanese market unique? 2. STATISTICS Import history, demand by types 3. CONSUMPTION Products, occasion, and players 4. SPECIALTY COFFEE IN JAPAN Kanematsu’s Specialty Coffee Sales 5. Future Forecast & Suggestion

Market Size of Specialty Coffee in Japan According to the survey of SCAJ, Specialty Coffee covers 7% of its market share of total green bean import Specialty Importers SHOSHAs 28,000 MT 7 % Total 400,000 MT Survey by SCAJ 2014 International Majors

Who uses Specialty Coffee? 4. Specialty Coffee in Japan Users Who uses Specialty Coffee? Other than industrial roasters (total 28,000MT), 10%* of Specialty Coffees go to 4,000 micro roasters. * estimation by KANEMATSU BIG ROASTERS 10% Micro Roasters x 4,000 PRIVATE LABEL ROASTERS MEDIUM SIZED ROASTERS 28,000 MT

Our “COFFEE NETWORK” system 4. Specialty Coffee in Japan E-commerce system of KANEMATSU Our “COFFEE NETWORK” system Delivery within 2 DAYS after the click

Overview of Coffee Market in Japan Agenda of this presentation Overview of Coffee Market in Japan 1. BASIC UNDERSTANDING What makes Japanese market unique? 2. STATISTICS Import history, demand by types 3. CONSUMPTION Products, occasion, and players 4. Specialty Coffee in Japan Kanematsu’s Specialty Coffee Sales 5. Future Forecast & Suggestion

ISSUE 1 that will face : Aging Society 5. Future Demand Forecast Conclusion & Suggestion ISSUE 1 that will face : Aging Society The group of over 60s will grow and their quality requirement will become higher and developed. Brazil, that has varietal production sight, can be able to supply what the society demands. It is important to invest in specialty coffee production technology in order to compete with the other origins of coffee production. ISSUE 2 that will face : Increasing Single Household The category of single serve product will increase from now on, too. Brazil, like it has been for now, will maintain its important role for Japan to supply good volume and stable quality coffee.

QUESTION & ANSWER YUJIRO TAKEI yujiro_takei@kanematsu.co.jp

Appreciation

Mr. SHUNJI NISHIMURA Born in Kyoto/Japan 1910 Settled in Brazil 1932 APPRECIATION Born in Kyoto/Japan 1910 Settled in Brazil 1932 Mr. SHUNJI NISHIMURA Established JACTO 1949 Invention of Coffee harvesting machine 1979

APPRECIATION

Colégio Técnico Agrícola de Pompéia APPRECIATION 2011 Donation to Sao Paulo estate Faculty of Technology 1982 Colégio Técnico Agrícola de Pompéia 2012 Donation to Federation of the Industry School of Industrial Training College of Agriculture & Technology

END YUJIRO TAKEI yujiro_takei@kanematsu.co.jp