Random Variables Lecture Lecturer : FATEN AL-HUSSAIN.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Acknowledgement: Thanks to Professor Pagano
Advertisements

Chapter 12 Probability © 2008 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
Lecture (7) Random Variables and Distribution Functions.
ฟังก์ชั่นการแจกแจงความน่าจะเป็น แบบไม่ต่อเนื่อง Discrete Probability Distributions.
Why can I flip a coin 3 times and get heads all three times?
Random Variables.
Chapter 5 Basic Probability Distributions
Probability Distributions
Chapter 5 Probability Distributions
Probability Mass Function Expectation 郭俊利 2009/03/16
Probability Distributions: Finite Random Variables.
Chapter 9 Introducing Probability - A bridge from Descriptive Statistics to Inferential Statistics.
Chapter 5 Discrete Probability Distribution I. Basic Definitions II. Summary Measures for Discrete Random Variable Expected Value (Mean) Variance and Standard.
Problem A newly married couple plans to have four children and would like to have three girls and a boy. What are the chances (probability) their desire.
McGraw-Hill/IrwinCopyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Chapter 4 and 5 Probability and Discrete Random Variables.
1 CY1B2 Statistics Aims: To introduce basic statistics. Outcomes: To understand some fundamental concepts in statistics, and be able to apply some probability.
Chap 5-1 Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 5 Discrete Probability Distributions Business Statistics: A First.
1 If we can reduce our desire, then all worries that bother us will disappear.
Binomial Distributions Calculating the Probability of Success.
Probability Distributions - Discrete Random Variables Outcomes and Events.
Chapter 5 Discrete Probability Distributions
Random Variables. A random variable X is a real valued function defined on the sample space, X : S  R. The set { s  S : X ( s )  [ a, b ] is an event}.
BINOMIALDISTRIBUTION AND ITS APPLICATION. Binomial Distribution  The binomial probability density function –f(x) = n C x p x q n-x for x=0,1,2,3…,n for.
Binomial Experiment A binomial experiment (also known as a Bernoulli trial) is a statistical experiment that has the following properties:
X = 2*Bin(300,1/2) – 300 E[X] = 0 Y = 2*Bin(30,1/2) – 30 E[Y] = 0.
Binomial Distributions. Quality Control engineers use the concepts of binomial testing extensively in their examinations. An item, when tested, has only.
King Saud University Women Students
Ch 5 Probability: The Mathematics of Randomness Random Variables and Their Distributions A random variable is a quantity that (prior to observation)
Definition A random variable is a variable whose value is determined by the outcome of a random experiment/chance situation.
Probability Review-1 Probability Review. Probability Review-2 Probability Theory Mathematical description of relationships or occurrences that cannot.
Review of Chapter
By Satyadhar Joshi. Content  Probability Spaces  Bernoulli's Trial  Random Variables a. Expectation variance and standard deviation b. The Normal Distribution.
Probability Distributions, Discrete Random Variables
 A probability function is a function which assigns probabilities to the values of a random variable.  Individual probability values may be denoted.
AP STATISTICS Section 7.1 Random Variables. Objective: To be able to recognize discrete and continuous random variables and calculate probabilities using.
Chapter 16 Week 6, Monday. Random Variables “A numeric value that is based on the outcome of a random event” Example 1: Let the random variable X be defined.
Lecture 7 Dustin Lueker.  Experiment ◦ Any activity from which an outcome, measurement, or other such result is obtained  Random (or Chance) Experiment.
Probability and Simulation The Study of Randomness.
MATH 2311 Section 3.2. Bernoulli Trials A Bernoulli Trial is a random experiment with the following features: 1.The outcome can be classified as either.
Business Statistics, A First Course (4e) © 2006 Prentice-Hall, Inc. Chap 5-1 Chapter 5 Some Important Discrete Probability Distributions Business Statistics,
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLES OUTCOMES & EVENTS Mrs. Aldous & Mr. Thauvette IB DP SL Mathematics.
1 Chapter 4 Mathematical Expectation  4.1 Mean of Random Variables  4.2 Variance and Covariance  4.3 Means and Variances of Linear Combinations of Random.
1. 2 At the end of the lesson, students will be able to (c)Understand the Binomial distribution B(n,p) (d) find the mean and variance of Binomial distribution.
2-6 Probability Theoretical & Experimental. Probability – how likely it is that something will happen – Has a range from 0 – 1 – 0 means it definitely.
12.SPECIAL PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS
Discrete Math Section 16.1 Find the sample space and probability of multiple events The probability of an event is determined empirically if it is based.
Chapter Five The Binomial Probability Distribution and Related Topics
Probability Distributions
3 Discrete Random Variables and Probability Distributions
Random variables (r.v.) Random variable
Business Statistics Topic 4
Discrete Probability Distributions
Bluman, Chapter 5.
STA 291 Spring 2008 Lecture 7 Dustin Lueker.
Chapter 5 Some Important Discrete Probability Distributions
Probability Review for Financial Engineers
MATH 2311 Section 3.2.
The Binomial Distribution
Some Discrete Probability Distributions
STATISTICAL MODELS.
Binomial Distribution Prof. Welz, Gary OER –
Quantitative Methods Varsha Varde.
MATH 2311 Section 3.2.
Elementary Statistics
Discrete Random Variables: Basics
Discrete Random Variables: Basics
Discrete Probability Distributions
Discrete Random Variables: Basics
MATH 2311 Section 3.2.
Chapter 11 Probability.
Presentation transcript:

Random Variables Lecture Lecturer : FATEN AL-HUSSAIN

Contents 4-1 Random Variables. 4-2 Discrete Random Variables. 4-3 Expected Value. 4-4 Expectation of a Function of a Random Variables. 4-5 Variance. 4-6 The Bernoulli and Binomial Random Variables. Summary Problems Theoretical Exercises Self –Test Problems and Exercises.

4.3 Expected Value If X is a discrete random variable with probability distribution function P(X=x) then the expectation of X, written as E(X) is defined as

Let X denote a random variable that takes on any of the values −1, 0, and 1 with respective probabilities P{X = −1} =.2 P{X = 0} =.5 P{X = 1} =.3 Compute E[X 2 ]. x01 P(x).2.5.3

Expectation of general / derived function

Definition If X is a random variable with mean μ, then the variance of X, denoted by Var(X), is defined by Var(X) = E [(X − μ) 2 ]

Calculate Var(X) if X represents the outcome when a fair die is rolled

Variances for general / derived function

Look at the experiment which has only two outcomes. such as flipping a coin. Where the possible outcome is either head or tail. Any experiments which has only two outcomes is termed as Bernoulli trials. Examples of Bernoulli trials:  Select one student at random and determine their sexes  Throw a dice and determine the outcome, odd or even  In these experiments, one outcome is termed as success and the other is a failure.  The success is when the event is occurs and failure when it’s not. The probability of success is denoted by p and failure by 1-p = q.

Bernoulli Random P(X)= P for x=1 (success) 1-P for x=0 (failure)

If the Bernoulli trials is repeated n times and the number of success is recorded. The random variable with these number of success is having a Binomial distribution. Example of Binomial distribution:  A fair coin is tossed 10 times and number of head observer is recorded. The random variable in this example is number of head observed.  A fair dice is thrown 5 times and the number of times face showing 6 is observed. The random variable in this case is the number of times 6 is observed.

Binomial Random P(X)= P for x=1 (success) 1-P for x=0 (failure)

A coin is tossed 3 times. find the probability mass function of the number of heads obtained.

A fair dice is tossed 4 times. find the mean, variance and slandered deviation of obtaining the number 6.

If X is discrete random variable which represents the number of times random events occurs in an interval of time on in an interval of space, than X is a Poisson random variable. The number of events occurs is termed as success. Examples of Poisson random variables are.  the number of accidents occurring on certain highway in one month.  the number of telephone calls received from 9.00am to am  the number of misspelled words in one page  the number of bacteria in one liter of water