Housing Demand Ned Murray, Ph.D., AICP FIU Metropolitan Center November 13, 2012.

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Presentation transcript:

Housing Demand Ned Murray, Ph.D., AICP FIU Metropolitan Center November 13, 2012

Broward County: Key Population Trends  Total Population: > 7.7 % from ; < 0.18% since 2008  Working Age Population (20-64): > 12.4% from ; > 1.3% since 2008  Retirement Age Population (65+): > 7.7% from ; < 1.5% since 2008

Broward County: Key Economic Trends  Median Household Income: > by 15% ; < by 7.4% since 2008  Median Family Income: > by 15% ; <by 9% since 2008  Per Capita Income: > by 14% ; < by 6% since 2008

 81% of all business establishments < 10 employees  67% of all business establishments < 5 employees  Median annual average wage all occupations = $32,552  Median annual starting wage all occupations = $19,572 Broward County: Key Economic Facts

Housing Demand Broward County New Building Permits: Source: Reinhold P. Wolff, Inc.-Analysis and table prepared by FIU Metropolitan Center

Housing Demand Broward County Existing Single- Family Homes Sales Data Source: Florida Association of Realtors, 2011-Analysis and table prepared by FIU Metropolitan Center

7 Broward County’s Industrial Base Source: U.S. Census, County Business Patterns. Table created by the FIU Metropolitan Center

8 Broward County Job Loss Source: Florida Agency for Workforce Innovation; Table created by the FIU Metropolitan Center Broward County Total Nonagricultural Employment789,000766,90022,1002.8% Total Private684,900667,80017,1002.5% Goods Producing93,10084,1009,0009.7% Finance and Insurance44,90039,7005, % Construction61,20054,8006, % Financial Activities67,30060,8006,5009.7% Manufacturing31,80029,2002,6008.2% Total Government104,10099,1005,0004.8% Transportation, Warehousing, and Utilities24,40023,4001,0004.1% Retail Trade103,700100,1003,6003.5%

Housing Demand Broward County Employment Base Growth: Data Source: Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity

Housing Demand

 Economic Development = Industrial Development  Targeting Infrastructure Investment  Mixed-use/Transit Oriented Development in Support of Industrial Development  Targeting Public Education and Workforce Development = Formalized and Tailored Re-thinking Economic Development

 What Industry-Mix Do We Want to Achieve?  What Occupation-Mix do We Need to Develop?  Who Should be the Direct Beneficiaries?  Where Do We Target Our Resources?  How Will These Efforts Be Legislated, Promoted and Sustained? Planning and Policy Questions

Understanding Begins with the Economic Base  Knowledge of the Region’s Economic History  Assessment of Current Planning Goals and Objectives  Analysis of Industry and Employment Data  Assessment of the Region’s “Competitiveness”

Fundamental Industrial Policy Considerations  Need to “Find Room for Industry” to Grow and Prosper  Need to Target Industrial Sectors Based on the “Competitive Advantage” Model  Need to Partner and Invest in Local Industries

Industrial Planning Strategies  Industrial Land (Re)Development  Industrial Retention and Expansion  Creation of an Entrepreneurial Environment

Land (Re)Development  Inventory Existing Industrial and Commercial Land and Buildings  Consider New Land for Commercial and Industrial Uses  Target Municipal Service and Public Infrastructure Investments to Older Industrial/Commercial Corridors

Industrial Retention and Expansion  Small Business/Manufacturer Assistance Financial – venture and debt capital Locational – emphasis on start-up locations including incubator facilities Technical – technology transfer programs Marketing – help in expanding customer markets  Creation of Business and Manufacturing Districts

Creating an Entrepreneurial Environment  Create “Formalized” and “Tailored” Workforce Development Programs  Develop and Support Professional Competence Building Throughout The Economic Development Delivery System  Create Small Business Development Offices at County and Municipal Levels Staffed with Trained Industry Specialists and Loaned Executives

Housing Demand FIU -The Metropolitan Center 1101 Brickell Avenue, Suite 200 Miami, FL Tel: