Enterprise Approach Used In Cost Estimating Presented by SCEA 2004 National Conference Lisa Stevenson ESC/GAX Robert Nelson MCR, LLC
Overview Background Enterprise Approach Estimate Results Lessons Learned Cost Estimate Team Members – Linda BlackwellOasis – Janet WentworthUSAF – Bob NelsonMCR 2
Background Problem Statement Air Force must meet Mode S requirements – 2005 Eurocontrol mandate for Mode S 46 aircraft types 5,000 aircraft – 2008 US military requirement for Mode 5 3
Background Mode S Secondary Surveillance Radar –Airborne beacon that sends out signals identifying flight number, location, attitude, heading, etc. –Used by air traffic control – includes ground radars –Signal is used by the Traffic Alert and Collision Avoidance System –Mandated for use by all aircraft operating in Europe starting in
Background Mode S con’t 30 minute timeline during day EUROCONTROL Mandates Elementary Surveillance (ELS) by March 2005 Enhanced Surveillance (EHS) by March Civil Interrogators 167 Military Interrogators Charts per Eurocontrol 5
Background Eurocontrol Mandate Elementary Surveillance (ELS) 2005 deadline – Flight Number – Selective Interrogation Codes Enhanced Surveillance (EHS) 2007 deadline – Selected Altitude (by autopilot) – Airspeed – Magnetic Heading – Roll Angle – Track Angle/Angle Rate Chart per Eurocontrol 6
Background Mode S/5 Equipment Examples of Mode S/5 Aircraft Equipment: –Transponders (Example Shown) –Interrogators (MS/5) –Crypto appliqués (M5) –Control panels (Example Shown) APX-119 APX-118 w/Control Panel 7
Background Platforms CombatMobilitySpecial Ops Based in or potentially rotated to Europe Fly frequently in Europe Fly seldom or never in Europe or still in development A-10 F-15 F-16 HH-60G RC-135 MC-130H/P MH-053M/J B-1 B-2 B-52 E-3 E-4 E-8 EC-130H F-117 RQ-4 U-2 C-5 C-17 C-32 C-40 C-130J C-130 other KC-10 VC-25 AC-130H/U EC-130E/J HC-130H/N/P MC-130E CV-22 F-22 F-35 RQ-1 X-45 (UCAV) YAL-1 (ABL) C-12 C-22 C-38 C-141 UH-01N C-9 C-20 C-21 C-37 C-130E KC-135 Group 8
Background Enterprise Approach 9 Establish a multiple office/capability team to accomplish this very complex cost estimate tasking Extend beyond individual expertise and experience to − Develop and apply a common methodology − Decrease enterprise risk
Background Enterprise Partners Electronics Systems Center –Global Air Technical Expertise – Mode S Estimate Review and Coordination –Strategic Reconnaissance / Computer Resources Support Group Technical Expertise – Mode 5 Aeronautical Systems Center –Aging Aircraft Aircraft Integration Expertise –SPO & Financial Management Estimate Review and Coordination Air Mobility Command/ Air Combat Command / Air Staff –Integration Roadmap Coordination 10
Enterprise Approach The Overall Process Programmatic Requirements Mode S/5 Technical Requirements Acquisition GR&A CES Project Offices Develop Estimate Technical & Cost Consistency Review Refine Estimate Briefing Preparation Brief Acquisition Authority Brief Decision Makers 11
Estimate Process Technical Consistency Technical solutions to required upgrade Specifications – for transponder Integration level (Elementary / Enhanced) Upgrade path definition 12
Estimate Process Consistency Common Cost Element Structure –Development Hardware (aircraft kit) Software (modify flight S/W) Test, Systems Engineering Operational Testing –Production Procurement (Mode S and A/C kits) Installation (Mode S and A/C kits) Test, Systems Engineering 13
Estimate Process Consistency con’t Common Ground Rules & Assumptions –Schedule/priority to meet mandate –Estimate confidence –Economic – constant year, inflation factors 14
Estimate Process Consistency con’t Mode S transponder is an iGATM catalog item Knowledge of analogous integrations Various approached could be used to estimate aircraft changes, software modification and in- particular by the newer aircraft (F-22, F-35) Reviewed by ASC/ESC cost estimators who understood the technical requirements 15
Estimate Process Consistency con’t Aircraft specific integration requirements defined by each SPO based on: –Mode S/5 technical specifications –Mode 5 crypto development schedule –Requirements to integrate to EHS 16
Estimate Process Coordination Constant interface and contact required among Enterprise participants −Provided by ASC to ensure that each SPO acted in a timely manner Multiple stakeholders have multiple priorities Warfighter capability has a higher priority 17
Estimate Results Cost Breakdown Total Mode S/5 Mode S ELS Un-funded Mode S EHS/5 Un-funded Un-funded Mode S/5Funded Mode S Mode S ELS Un-funded Mode S EHS/5 Un-funded EHS M5 18
Estimate Results Fielding Plan Sand-Chart Aircraft Qty 19
Estimate Results The Final Briefing Estimate briefed to Assistant Secretary of the Air Force for Acquisition in Nov 2003 –Focus on Mode S Integration –Time-phased costs –Fielding plan Briefing accepted –Offices directed to work the immediate costs and to budget requests for FY-06 and beyond 20
Lessons Learned Insure consistent understanding of GR&A Insure understanding of technical approach Allow estimator to define methodology. Review for consistency and compliance Keep to the schedule 21