#ARDAne ARDA Next Generation Research 2015 Preliminary results Simon Jaworski, Senior Vice President Leger.

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Presentation transcript:

#ARDAne ARDA Next Generation Research 2015 Preliminary results Simon Jaworski, Senior Vice President Leger

#ARDAne Presentation Outline Study Methodology Questionnaire Content Initial Results Media habits Timeshare perception/advocacy Future purchase intent Vacation planning Messaging Moving forward Final thoughts

#ARDAne Methodology – 3 Stages 1.Qualitative Focus Groups (early 2014) 2.In-Depth Interviews (late 2014) 3.Online Survey –2,438 respondents (Feb 27 th - March 11 th ) 32 minutes, among the following groups of respondents: Age Owners Non-Owners Millennials (22-33) n=302n=607 Younger Generation X(34-44) n=251n=512 Older Generation X (45-54 )n=256n=510

#ARDAne Questionnaire Content Leger, in conjunction with ARDA, developed an online survey instrument comprised of the following sections: 1) Screening/profiling section, 2) General vacation habits, 3) Future vacation planning, 4) Attitudes towards timeshare ownership, 5) Features of a preferred timeshare*, 6) Evaluation of marketing statements related to timeshare**, 7) Future timeshare plans, 8) Media, Internet and Social Media habits, and 9) Demographic section.

#ARDAne Demographics Residence 60% Own Total MillennialYounger Gen X 50% Own 66% Own 65% Own Older Gen X MillennialYounger Gen XOlder Gen X Married 56%65%59% Single 40%22%16% Divorced/Widowed 3%12%25% Children in H/Hold % 48%66%37% Average Income $ $65k$71k$70k

#ARDAne Media Usage (1): Non Owners Millennial (n=607) Younger Gen-X (n=512) Older Gen-X (n=510) Daily Internet Access Primary method of accessing internet

#ARDAne Media Usage (2): Non Owners Millennial (n=607) Younger Gen-X (n=512) Older Gen-X (n=510) Pandora Newspaper Magazines TV/Streaming

#ARDAne Internet Usage Hours Spent Online in a Typical Week (Mean): Non – Owners 49% Personal 28% Professional 23% Social Media/Apps Owners

#ARDAne Social Media Usage Non - Owners Millennial (n=607) Younger Gen-X (n=512) Older Gen-X (n=510) 90%85%78% 68%61%55% 38% 31% 39%27%25% 26%31%29% 22%27%30% 36%22%16% 17%5%4%

#ARDAne Knowledge of Timeshare Owners Non-Owners n=809 n=302 n=251 n=256 n=607 n=512 n=510 n=1,629 Millennial and Younger Gen X Owners claim to be the most knowledgeable about Timeshare, significantly higher than the Older Gen X’ers. However, Non-Owning Millennials are currently behind the curve.

#ARDAne Timeshare Perception (1)

#ARDAne Timeshare Perception (2) Owners Non-Owners n=809 n=302 n=251 n=256 n=607 n=512 n=510 n=1,629 Millennial Owners have the highest positive perception of Timeshare!

#ARDAne Timeshare Perception basis * Multiple responses are allowed: percentages will sum to more than 100% Owners Non-Owners n=809 n=302 n=251 n=256 n=607 n=512 n=510 n=1,629 More than 9/10 Older Gen X Owners form their Timeshare opinions based upon personal experience. Younger Owners are guided much more by their peer groups – friends and family! Non-Owners are more likely to have views based upon friends and family, with ‘mass media’s’ influence still at 24%.

#ARDAne Among Non- Owners, while Older Gen-X are also less likely to be advocates than Millennials and Younger Gen-X, the differences are minimal… Timeshare Advocacy

#ARDAne Timeshare Advocacy (2) Likelihood to Recommend - % (Top 3 Box – 10 point scale) Owners Non-Owners n=809 n=302 n=251 n=256 n=607 n=512 n=510 n=1,629 Current Older Gen X Owners are not the ideal advocates However, Millennial and Younger Gen X Owners need to be the flag bearers for the Timeshares they own and love!

#ARDAne Future Timeshare Purchase

#ARDAne Owners / Non-Owners Future Purchase Intent

#ARDAne Owners Where will they buy Timeshare? Among Owners, the United States is the most preferred location for future timeshare, followed by the Caribbean, Mexico and Europe. Millennials and Older Gen X’ers prefer Europe to Central America!

#ARDAne Non-Owners Future Vacation Plans: Future Timeshares? (Among those interested) Total Owners Millennial Younger Gen. X Older Gen. X Total Non- Owners Millennial Younger Gen X Older Gen X n= , United States 79% 88%  84%  65%  83% 85%  81%  Caribbean 23% 22%  25%  21%  28% 29%  29% 24%  Mexico 14% 18%  11%  12% 14%  10%  Europe 15%16%18%12%18% 22%  16%  14%  Asia 6% 5% 8%  5% 3%  Current Older Gen X Owners are significantly less likely to look for domestic Timeshare purchases. Outside the US, the Caribbean leads the way for a potential future purchase of a timeshare. Similar to Owners, among Millennial Non-Owners, there is a higher interest to purchase a unit in Europe than a location in Mexico. Location of Future Timeshare (Among those who are definitely/probably/somewhat likely to purchase a timeshare in the future)

#ARDAne Non-Owners Future Vacation Plans: How do travel plans differ from 2014? How will 2015 Vacation Plan Differ from 2014 Increase the number of vacations Vacation farther from home Schedule a vacation during off-peak season(s) Have more people in your travel party Obtain a larger place Take a "once-in-a-lifetime" vacation Schedule a vacation during peak season(s) Exactly the same vacation as last year Non-Owners (n=1,629) Millennial (n=607) Younger Gen-X (n=215) Older Gen-X (n=510) Millennials are significantly more likely to expand vacationing in 2015! They are also significantly more likely to want to travel in larger parties, and obtain larger accommodation!

#ARDAne Non-Owners Future Vacation Plans: Number of trips? 2015 Vacation Planning Mean # Vacations Planned Planning To Visit Florida Planning To Visit California Total Non-Owners (n=1,629) 2.718%11% Millennials (n=607) 3.018%12% Younger Gen-X (n=512) 2.516%12% Older Gen-X (n=510) 2.419%9% Millennial Non-Owners are planning on more vacations than Gen X’ers !

#ARDAne Non-Owners Future Vacation Plans: How they will book? Millennials Younger Gen Xers Older Gen Xers Online travel site 63% 57% 49% Direct (through resort/airline) 37% 44%

#ARDAne Non-Owners Future Vacation Plans: Research/Reviews Millennials Younger Gen Xers Older Gen Xers Read peer reviews (Professional reviews) 50% (27%) 44% (24%) 36% (17%) 75%

#ARDAne Future Vacation Plans: Destination in 2015? Timeshare Owner Timeshare Non – Owner International vacation: Single country International vacation: Multiple countries U.S. vacation: Single state U.S. vacation: Multiple states U.S. vacation: Home state (n=809) (n=302) (n=251) (n=256) (n=1,629)(n=607) (n=512) (n=510) Owners want to go abroad…with Millennials/Younger Gen X headed to multiple countries.

#ARDAne Millennials Younger Gen Xers Older Gen Xers Non-Owners - Communication: How should you contact them? – Most preferred 55% 50% 48% 20% 28% 33% 6% 4% 2%

#ARDAne Non-Owners - Communication: Messaging – QUIZ TIME! A.“You can stay at a quality resort anywhere you choose.” B.“You can save money on future vacations by owning a Timeshare.” C.“Owning a Timeshare will encourage you to vacation more regularly.” D.“Timeshare is your home away from home.”

#ARDAne Non-Owners - Communication: Messaging –Top 5 messages You can stay at a luxurious resort, anywhere you choose Timeshare resorts offer flexible vacationing in a variety of locales around the United States and all over the world You can save money on future vacations by owning a Timeshare You can stay at a quality resort, anywhere you choose Through an exchange program, you can go on different types of vacations every year, including cruises …and amazingly, there was no difference between Millennials and Gen X’ers!

#ARDAne Non-Owners - Communication: Messaging – Bottom 3 messages Owning a Timeshare will encourage you to vacation more regularly Through an exchange program, you can stay at a different resort within the same resort family Timeshare is your home away from home! …and again, there was no difference between Millennials and Gen X’ers!

#ARDAne Future Timeshare - Conjoint 4.99% TOURTOUR Type of Timeshare Number of years Ability to exchange Sleeping capacity Timeshare Brand Awareness Cost to own/buy the Timeshare Interest rate Annual fees Exit strategy Destination Purchase Option – Tour / Online CRITICAL VITAL NECESSARYBASE

#ARDAne Moving forward… 1.Millennial and Younger Gen X Owners are very similar, so treat them that way! 2.These are the Timeshare industry’s biggest advocates. 3.Millennial Non-Owners are their own segment, and they are ready to consider buying Timeshare. 4.The Next Generation are a visual generation. 5.Millennials want to travel the world. 6.Ensure that messaging is on point for the FUTURE market of potential Timeshare owners. 7.Guarantee that booking is easy, and similar to the sites all these younger Non-Owners are used to using now. 8.Mobile is gaining in importance. 9.Everyone is still looking for a vacation deal… 10.…so develop Timeshare products that are going to appeal to either sides of the generation gap.

#ARDAne

2015 Underwriters

#ARDAne

Darla S. Zanini RRP Executive Vice President AIF STATE OF THE U.S. TIMESHARE INDUSTRY Simon Jaworski Senior Vice President Legere

#ARDAne

Industry Overview

#ARDAne Resort Information

#ARDAne Who’s in charge?

#ARDAne Bedrooms

#ARDAne Amenities

#ARDAne Industry Health

#ARDAne Occupancy

#ARDAne Maintenance Fees

#ARDAne Delinquencies

#ARDAne Rental

#ARDAne Revenue

#ARDAne Geographic Performance NORTHEAST PERFORMANCE NortheastOverall % of resorts11%100% Average size (# of units)89128 Average occupancy63.9%78.3% Average maintenance fee$650$880 Source: 2014 State of the Vacation Timeshare Industry: United States Study, produced by Ernst & Young for ARDA International Foundation

#ARDAne Industry Outlook

#ARDAne Construction

#ARDAne Q Performance Sales PerformanceQ1 2014Q1 2015% ChangeTrend Net timeshare sales$1.177 B$1.195 B1.5% Net sales including fee-for-service$1.333 B$1.469 B10.1% Sales MetricsQ1 2014Q1 2015% ChangeTrend Volume per guest (VPG)$2,713$2,9508.7% Close rate15.3%15.7%2.6% Tours503,202526,2034.6% Portfolio PerformanceQ1 2014Q1 2015% ChangeTrend Currency89.9%88.1%(2.0%) Delinquencies10.1%11.9%17.8% Gross defaults2.3%2.5%8.7% Other MetricsQ1 2014Q1 2015% ChangeTrend Average occupancy74.9%76.3%1.9% Capital expenditures$184.1 m$231.7 m25.8.% Source: Q Financial Performance Pulse Report: A Survey of Timeshare & Vacation Ownership Resort Companies, Produced by Deloitte & Touch for AIF

#ARDAne AIF Education

#ARDAne THANK YOU