Fractiles Given a probability distribution F(x) and a number p, we define a p-fractile x p by the following formulas.

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Presentation transcript:

Fractiles Given a probability distribution F(x) and a number p, we define a p-fractile x p by the following formulas

For a continuous increasing F(x) a fractile is actually the inverse of F(x) For a distribution F(x) with jumps, we can determine fractiles as follows for any

F(x)F(x) x p xpxp In intervals where the distribution is constant, the corresponding fractile is not determined uniquely

Special fractiles x percentile: x th percentile x first quartile x second quartile = median x third quartile

Let, for a discrete random variable, the probability distribution be given by the probability function xixi x1x1 x2x2 x3x3...xnxn pipi p1p1 p2p2 p3p3 pnpn If and we take

Example Calculate the median of a discrete random variable whose probability function is given by the following table xixi pipi We have = 0.37 and = 0.55 so that

Important distributions of discrete random variables  binomial distribution  Poisson distribution

 uniform distribution  normal distribution  chi-square distribution  t-distribution  F distribution Important distributions of continuous random variables

Binomial distribution A binomial experiment has four properties: 1)it consists of a sequence of n identical trials; 2)two outcomes, success or failure, are possible on each trial; 3)the probability of success on any trial, denoted p, does not change from trial to trial; 4)the trials are independent.

Let us conduct a binomial experiment with n trials, a probability p of success and let X be a random variable giving the number of successes in the binomial experiment. Then X is a discrete random variable with the range {0, 1, 2,..., n} and the probability function We say that X has a binomial distribution.

Expectancy and variance of a binomial distribution For a random variable X with a binomial distribution Bi(n,p) we have

Using the identity we can calculate The same identity can be used to calculate D(X)

Poisson distribution Poisson distribution is defined for a discrete random variable X with a range {0, 1, 2, 3,... } denoting the number of occurren- ces of an event A during a time interval if the following conditions are fulfilled: 1) given any two occurrences A 1 and A 2, we have 2) the probability of A occurring during an interval with equals to where c is fixed 3) denoting by P 12 the probability that E occurs at least twice between t 1 and t 2, we have

The Poisson distribution Po(λ) is given by the probability function

The expectancy and variance of a random variable X with Poisson distribution are given by the following formulas

Relationship between Bi(n,p) and Po(λ) For large n, we can write

Normal distribution law A continuous random variable X has a normal distribution law with E(X) = μ and D(X) = σ if its probability density is given by the formula

Standardized normal distribution A continuous random variable X has a standardized normal distribution if it has a normal distribution with E(X) = 0 and D(X) = 1 so that its probability density is given by the formula

Standardized normal distribution law (Gaussian curve)

There are several different ways of obtaining a random variable X with a normal distribution law. For large n, binomial and Poisson distributions asymptotically approximate normal distribution law If an activity is undertaken with the aim to achieve a value μ, but a large number of independent factors are influencing the performance of the activity, the random variable describing the outcome of the activity will have a normal distribution with the expectancy μ. Of all the random variables with a given expectancy μ and variance σ 2, a random variable with the normal distribution N(μ,σ 2 ) has the largest entropy.