Qatar National Development Planning 1 Statistics as the Evidence Base Dr Richard Leete Director, Department of Social Development (DSD) and Ms Badria Ali Mohammad Senior Researcher, DSD Ministry of Development Planning and Statistics Doha 10 December 2013

Qatar National Development Planning Presentation Themes Qatar’s National Planning Framework Results Chain and Monitoring Progress Human Rights Perspective Qatar’s New Measures of Well-being Frontier Statistical Possibilities Conclusion

Qatar National Development Planning Critical importance of quality, timely and disaggregated statistics for every stage of the planning cycle Qatar’s National Planning Framework Underpinned with solid evidence base Qatar National Vision 2030 Defines national development goals National Development Strategy 2011 – 2016 Mid-term Review 2013 Learns lessons and realigns sector and national initiatives Sector Strategies 2011 – 2016 Defines priority sector initiatives Defines priority national initiatives for achieving QNV 2030 goals 1

Qatar National Development Planning  Process indicators such as # qualified teachers and curricula changes  Outcome indicators such as examination results and attainment levels Data Required at All Stages of Results Chain If – then  If project activities are undertaken as planned then outputs will be produced  If project outputs are produced then NDS outcomes are likely to follow  If NDS outcomes are achieved then they will contribute towards QNV goals 2 Inputs Activities Project Outputs Deliverables NDS Outcomes QNV GOALS Process Indicators Under control of implementation agency Theory of change Outcome Indicators

Qatar National Development Planning Monitoring for Development Results What, why and how Why do we monitor?  To get regular feedback on implementation progress, detect implementation problems, and improve performance  To ensure we are on track to achieve expected project results at all levels What are key questions for monitoring?  Are project outputs being produced as planned & are they contributing to desired outcomes & goals?  Have we specified appropriate indicators? How do we use monitoring information?  To learn lessons and report on progress

Qatar National Development Planning Tracking Progress in Achieving Results Illustrative example Budgets, human resources CEDAW and CRC ratified and complied with Procure services Collect and review data Drafting legislation Training programme Create hotline Number of reported cases of domestic violence reduced Increase in % of women who feel that domestic violence has decreased Comprehensive domestic violence prevention, protection and support system established An early child neglect and abuse detection mechanism established Increased awareness of harmful effects of domestic violence New policy and legislation on child abuse implemented Reduced family violence  Develop a sound social structure with effective public institutions and active civil society organisations Budget allocated and spent for each activity Results chain Indicators of progress (Baselines and targets) Indicators of progress (Baselines and targets) QNV Goal NDS Outcome Outputs (Deliverables) Activities (Tasks) Inputs What results are we aiming to achieve

Qatar National Development Planning Illustrative Examples of Tracking Progress Towards QNV 2030 goals - targets and monitorable indicators QVN 2030 Development GoalsIndicators for Monitoring Progress Human Development Pillar – An Educated Population QNV 2030 Goal 5 A world-class educational system that equips citizens to achieve their aspirations and to meet the needs of Qatar’s society Target 1: Qatar’s students’ school performance in international tests ranked in line with mean of top 10 OECD countries  PISA, TIMSS, PIRLS test scores  Net enrolment in K-12 schooling by level and sex Social Development Pillar – Social Care and Protection QNV2030 Goal 13 An effective social protection system for all Qataris that ensures their civil rights, values their contribution in developing their society, and ensures an adequate income to maintain a healthy and dignified life Target 1: Incidence of relative poverty (half median household equalized income) below 5 percent of Qatari households  Percentage of low income Qatari household  Gini coefficient

Qatar National Development Planning Ensuring Quality Data For evidence base planning and monitoring  Data users ­Can only assess data quality indirectly by checking internal consistency ­Comparing same variable derived from different data sources ­Through trend analysis  Data producers ­Need to check quality and reliability of statistics ­Systematic validation assessments of data quality through in- house checks and validation controls Meta data on concepts and methodologies used should follow international standards

Qatar National Development Planning  Data users ­Can give greater focus to disadvantaged communities through focus on relevant indicators that support an inclusive approach to sustainable development  Data producers ­Can advance agenda on right to development through adopting human rights principles, such as disaggregating basic indicators according to sex, age, nationality, geographic location Indicators From a Human Rights Perspective Qatar’s 4 th NHDR on theme – The Right to Development 3 Human development and human rights two sides of same coin

Qatar National Development Planning New Measure of Well-being for Qatar For monitoring progress towards QNV 2030 goals Emerging Complementary Approach International policy focus shifting to include indicators of well-being of individuals and nations – New and innovative methods to monitor well-being and happiness are being devised by international agencies, countries and NGOs – National well-being measured through many domains of people’s lives, attitudes and aspirations using traditional and non-traditional data sources Traditionally Countries measured well-being merely in terms of income growth. But size and growth of GDP reflects aggregate economic performance and is not necessarily a good measure of individual or national well- being ― low income groups may not always benefit ― and increasing GDP growth is unsustainable if depleting natural resource base 4

Qatar National Development Planning Objective and Subjective Well-being Measures Statistical agencies need to facilitate collection, validation and dissemination of data Individual National  Based on external evaluation using measurable criteria, mainly from household surveys such as –Personal income –Whether employed –Other personal and household characteristics  How well country is doing in terms of well-being of its population –Mainly based on socio- economic indicators  How individuals think and feel about their lives in terms of self reporting on life as a whole, and on domains such as family and work –Can include the individual’s actual feelings, such as pain, worry, pleasure and respect  Information based on aggregation of self-reports of individuals –May not be comparable across different cultures, although interesting to compare sub-groups  National well-being measure provide information to policy makers and citizens about social and economic progress Qualitative Subjective Indicators of Well-being Quantitative Objective Indicators of Well-being Level

Qatar National Development Planning  Major challenges in developing measures of well being include: ­ What indicators or domains to combine when using either objective or subjective data, and what weights to assign the components ­ Reconciling expert and key stakeholder opinions on what is well-being and how best it should be measured ­ Collecting the required data on a regular annual basis High-levels of Life Satisfaction But Qataris more satisfied than non-Qataris

Qatar National Development Planning New Data  Citizen report cards – users’ giving feedback on public service performance in terms of quality and access, eg education and health  Social audits – stakeholders assessments of industry’s social and environmental benefits and impacts Frontier Data Possibilities Statistical agencies to explain and set quality standards for planning Big Data  Disciplining increasing volumes of micro information captured through transactions and digital interactions  Improving efficiency and quality of service delivery in health education and environment sectors by monitoring and tracking individual level data  For example, enhancing individual student performance through individual assessments, including interactions with teachers, through analysis of data trails  Enhancing participation and accountability  Utilising new huge computing capacity for in-depth analysis at individual level in different domains 5

Qatar National Development Planning What we measure and monitor is what we strive to achieve Conclusion 6