1 Physician Workforce The following slides contain samplings of various national, state and hospital workforce statistics. The intent is not to supply a complete, cohesive presentation but instead to provide various related information that can be imported and used in any way needed. Perhaps this will provide a quick and easy way to bolster your next presentation about health care workforce challenges. A capable, dedicated, and affordable hospital workforce sufficient to meet demand Prepared 12/08

2 2 Select Specialty Physician Shortages 2005 – 2020 Source: Health Resources and Services Administration. Physician Supply and Demand: Projections to October 2006.

3 National Physician FTE Supply and Demand Projections, Source: Association of American Medical Colleges- Center for Workforce Studies. The Complexities of Physician Supply and Demand: Projections Through November 2008.

4 Source: Health Resources and Services Administration. Physician Supply and Demand: Projections to October Note: HRSA Supply includes total active MDs and DOs. Physicians aged 75 and older are excluded. HRSA Demand includes patient care and non-patient-care physicians. 30% increase in enrollment based on AAMC’s call for enrollment increase by year A 30% enrollment increase in 2015 equates to 5,000 additional enrollments. It is assumed that all 5,000 additional enrollments will graduate from medical school in 2019 and go on to become active physicians. Assuming the increase in enrollment continues in 2016 and all additional enrollments graduate and go on to become active physicians, supply will increase by another 5,000 physicians in 2020.

5 National Physician Demand Projected 2016 Source: United States Department of Labor- Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections

6 Kansas Physician Demand Projected 2014 Source: Kansas Occupational Outlook, Kansas Department of Labor, 2008.

7 While the physician supply in Kansas is expected to increase over the next two decades, the state will likely remain behind most others due to demand trends and expansion plans elsewhere. Source: University of Kansas School of Medicine. Kansas Physician Workforce Report. March 2007.

8 National Average of Physicians per 100,000 Population Source: Association of American Medical Colleges- Center for Workforce Studies. The Complexities of Physician Supply and Demand: Projections Through November 2008.

9 Kansas is below the national average of physicians per capita, especially with the northwest region of the state removed from the calculation. Source: University of Kansas School of Medicine. Kansas Physician Workforce Report. March 2007.

10 Kansas has a mal-distribution of physicians per 100,000 ratio in its six geographic regions, with under service prominent in rural regions (especially the SE and SW regions). Source: University of Kansas School of Medicine. Kansas Physician Workforce Report. March 2007.

11 Source: American Medical Association, Physician Characteristics and Distribution in the US, Number of Physicians by Age National trend data shows a steady increase in the combined average age of physicians in the US.

12 Physician demand will increase exponentially in coming years due to many anticipated retirements. Source: Association of American Medical Colleges- Center for Workforce Studies. The Complexities of Physician Supply and Demand: Projections Through November Distribution of Physician Workforce Under Age

13 A capable, dedicated, and affordable hospital workforce sufficient to meet demand