Income and Energy CIA & UN China USA China India.

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Presentation transcript:

Income and Energy CIA & UN China USA China India

Income and Life China USA China India CIA & UN

Energy and Population CIA & UN

Energy and Population CIA & UN India China USA Iran Greece Venezuela Japan Russia

Population Growth < 1.0 % % % % > 3.0 % No information

Energy Sources 44% petroleum 26% natural gas 25% coal 2.4% nuclear power 2.5% hydroelectric power 0.2% renewable (non-hydro) 80-90% fossil fuels

Fossil Fuel - CO 2 - Global Warming Mann & Jones 2003; IPCC

Global Warming – Projections IPCC 2007 (relative to ) Global Solutions Regional Solutions

Summary on Energy - Outlook 2030 Energyeconomic development Year 2030:population 23% higher (8 billion - ~1% /yr) energy needs 60% higher most of the growth: developing countries carbon-dioxide emissions: will rise Resources:adequate to meet demand geographic mismatch between source and consumption energy infrastructure: major needs poorest people: remain deprived of modern energy services C-dependency global warming Sustainable energy system: technological breakthroughs (production and usage) reducing energy consumption International Energy Agency

Fossil fuels: 95% in 2003 … 85% of the increase by 2030 finite, but far from exhausting them 2/3 of the increase will take place in developing countries Conventional oil: demand: grow 1.6% per year peak after 2030 (if necessary investments are made) Gas:demand double by 2030 plentiful proven reserves Coal:share will drop… but will continue key role Nuclear:worldwide capacity increase slightly – its share will decline Renewable: some increase – share remain limited International Energy Agency Summary on Energy - Outlook 2030

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