Beyond the Heat: A Realistic Look at Global Warming nRonald J. Rychlak nUniversity of Mississippi nSchool of Law.

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Presentation transcript:

Beyond the Heat: A Realistic Look at Global Warming nRonald J. Rychlak nUniversity of Mississippi nSchool of Law

Mississippi College Law Review (1990)

Mississippi-Alabama Sea Grant Consortium, 1990

October 2006

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

Warming Trend Warming Trend

Pretty Stable – Last 125 Years

The “Little Ice The “Little Ice

Rychlak & Case, Environmental Law Oxford University Press (2011)

Swedish Scientist, Svante August Arrhenius developed the theory in 1896 The Global Warming Theory

The CO2 Theory

What is CO2? Clear gas Plants “breathe” it We exhale it It is produced by cars, planes, factories, air conditioning, etc. The bubbles in beer & soft drinks For 30 years, we’ve been trying to get cars to emit only it & water vapor

CO2 concentration is up 30% over last 200 years. From 0.03% of the atmosphere to 0.04% of it.

The “red” part of the last graph

Aliens and Umbrellas Causation Nitrate Inhalants

Manmade emissions of greenhouse gases do not discernibly, significantly and predictably cause increases in global surface and tropospheric temperatures along with associated stratospheric cooling. The benefits equal or exceed the costs of any increases in global temperature caused by manmade greenhouse gas emissions between the present time and the year 2100, when all global social, economic and environmental effects are considered.

Prof. John Cook – survey of 11,000 abstracts. His own abstract said that 2/3 expressed no opinion; of those that did, 97.1% agreed, but later studies found otherwise.

We’ve made mistakes before n1970s Global Cooling nArtic expansion nY2K nHole in the Ozone layer nAlar in apples Time ‘75

Global Warming is extra-hard Science is hard Politics make it harder There’s lots of money involved Activists exaggerate

This site in Marysville, CA has been around for about the same amount of time, but its been encroached upon by growth in a most serious way by micro-site effects.

The location does make a difference!

Satellite Data (1997- Present)

10,000 Years of Global Temperature Change

Past 130 Years Past 130 Years

Temperatures rose 0.17 per decade from 1976 to 1996, mainly in colder parts of the N. hemisphere.

Climategate could well be “the greatest scandal in modern science.” Australian columnist Andrew Bolt.

Investor’s Business Daily: “The most prestigious agencies in the global warming movement were breaking laws, hiding data and making inflated, bogus claims resting on, in some cases, no scientific basis at all.”

Oceans emit 90 billion tons of CO2 every year. Decaying plants & animals throw up another 90 billion tons of CO2. Humans account for 11 billion tons per year. If it is CO2, can we do anything?

nIncreased solar irradiance warms Earth's oceans, which then triggers the emission of large amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. n Habibullo Abdussamatov, the head of space research at St. Petersburg's Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory in Russia An alternative theory – Solar Activity

Solar activity matches temperature change over the last 100 years. It also correlates with the post-war temperature dip, when CO2 levels were rising.

NASA says: “Mars may be going through a period of climate change.” Jupiter, Neptune, and Venus too! Global Warming is not Global – It’s Universal! Global Warming is not Global – It’s Universal!