Chapter 6 Economic Inequality

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Chapter 6 Economic Inequality GSICS B5KM2003 Yeoju Jung Chapter 6 Economic Inequality 2016.5.24 Tue Development Economics 6.1. Introduction 6.2. What is economic inequality? 6.2.1. The context 6.2.2. Economic inequality: Preliminary observations 6.3. Measuring economic inequality 6.3. Measuring economic inequality 6.3.1. Introduction 6.3.2. Four criteria for inequality measurement 6.3.3. The Lorenz curve 6.3.4. Complete measures of inequality 6.4. Summary Exercises

6.1. Introduction Two reasons to be interested in inequality : 1. philosophical and ethical grounds for aversion to inequality 2. even if not interested in inequality at an intrinsic level, caring about inequality at a functional level (i.e. because it has an impact other economic features, such as growth) Question: How should we think about inequality at a conceptual level? (what is inequality & why does it matter)

6.2. What is economic inequality? 6.2.1. The context 6.2.2. Economic inequality: Preliminary observations 6.2. What is economic inequality? Focus on inequality of income or wealth, not because they represent all differences, but they represent an important component of differences. Short-term vs. long-term considerations: Inequality in current income may be harmless, both from an ethical point of view and from the point of view of their effects on the economy. For example, suppose in society A that some people earn $2000/month while others earn $3000/month and there is perfect immobility. In society B, some earn $1000/month while others earn $4000/month but people exchange jobs every month. At any one point in time, society A shows up as more equal, but in society B average annual earnings are the same for everyone. (2) Personal vs. functional distribution of income: How much people earn vs. how they earn it (rent, interest, wage). Related to the ownership pattern of productive factors (land, capital, labour). Looking at income inequality may mask serious differences, such as the well-being of an unemployed person who receives his income from charity and a person who earns himself the same amount of income. Also, judge whether two middle-class families with the same amount of income should be deemed equal (one receives rent income whereas the other receives wage income). Indicator of resources : Income vs. wealth vs. expenditures If income is chosen as the indicator, it is usually the disposable income. Disposable income: households have available for spending and saving after income taxes have been accounted for. Wealth: defined as net worth, sum of assets (including financial and non-financial assets minus the liabilities of the economic unit : accumulated resources at a given time) Some researchers think that income is an indirect measure of the standard of living and thus prefer to use expenditures as the indicator. Expenditures: include current expenditures (purchases of goods and services, such as food, rent, utilities, entertainment and personal care) and capital expenditures (such as the repayment of the principal on own home, the purchase of investment properties, home improvements and life insurance). income and expenditures are flow variables , wealth is a stock variable. Question: How should we measure inequality?

Should we have weak or strict criteria? 6.3. Measuring economic inequality 6.3.1. Introduction Suppose that there are only two people. If they share a cake 50-50 then the distribution is equal, otherwise it is not. Furthermore, we can easily see that a 40-60 split is more equal than a 30-70 split. However if there are more than two people, then making a judgment becomes hard. How do you compare a 20-30-50 division with a 22-22-56 division? We need a measure that will help us rank different distributions. Question: What properties should a desirable inequality measure satisfy? Should we have weak or strict criteria?

Income Ranges (in dollars) 6.3. Measuring economic inequality 6.3.2. Four criteria for inequality measurement Anonymity principle it does not matter who receives the income. Permutations of incomes among people should not matter for inequality judgments. This means that we can always arrange the income distribution of n people so that y1 ≤ y2 ≤...≤ yn ,where y is income. For example, if the prime minister trades his income with one of yours, income inequality in your country should not change. 3) Relative income principle only relative incomes is matter, not the absolute levels of these incomes. For example, an income distribution over two people of (500, 1000) has the same inequality as (2000, 4000), and regardless of the currency the incomes are denominated in. Absolute incomes are important determinants of overall economic development. With the relative income principle added, we do not need absolute income information. Formally, we can state this principle as I (y1, y2,...,yn) = I(λy1,λy2,...,λyn) , for every positive number λ. Income Ranges (in dollars) Percentage of the Population 2) Population principle cloning the entire population and their incomes should not change inequality. Population size does not matter, but proportions of the population that earn different levels of income. For inequality measurement purposes, we do not know how many people live in the country or who they are. All that we care about is the percentage of the population earning different levels of income. Formally, we can state this principle as I (y1, y2,...,yn) = I (y1, y2,...,yn; y1, y2,...,yn)   1 2 3 4 1st Distribution 75 125 200 600 2nd Distribution 4) The Dalton principle Let (y1, y2,...,yn) be an income distribution and consider two incomes yi and yj with yi ≤ yj . A transfer of income from the “not richer” individual to the “not poorer” individual will be called a regressive transfer. (The opposite of a regressive transfer is a progressive transfer.) The Dalton principle states that if one income distribution can be generated from another via a sequence of regressive transfers, then the original distribution is more equal than the other. Formally, we say that I satisfies the Dalton principle if, for every income distribution (y1, y2,...,yn) and every transfer δ > 0, I (y1,..., yi ,..., y j ,..., yn) < I (y1,..., yi -δ ,..., y j +δ ,..., yn) whenever yi ≤ yj . 50 200 More equal regressive transfer progressive transfer 25 175 400 400

6.3. Measuring economic inequality 6.3.3. The Lorenz curve In the figure, L2 lies to the right of L1 everywhere, so we would expect an inequality index to indicate greater inequality in the L2 case. The poorest x% of the population will always have an equal or greater share of income under L1 than under L2, regardless of what x is. This is called the Lorenz criterion. Formally, an inequality measure I is consistent with the Lorenz criterion, if for every pair of income distributions (y1, y2,..., yn) and (z1, z2,..., zm) ,I (y1, y2,..., yn) ≥ I (z1, z2,..., zm) , whenever the Lorenz curve of (y1, y2,..., yn) lies to the right of (z1, z2,..., zm) everywhere. Ranking the economic units according to income from the smallest to the largest. Plotting the cumulative shares of units versus the cumulative share of these units in total income. ・ horizontal axis : percentages of the population ・ vertical axis : percentage of total income ・ Lorenz curve : convex shaped curve For example if the (20%, 6%) point is on the Lorenz curve, then this means the poorest 20% of the population receives 6% of total income. This also means that the richest 80% of the population receives 94% of total income. ・ perfect equality : 45 degree line The greater level of inequality : farther the Lorenz curve from the 45°line L1 L2 Inequality measure is consistent with the Lorenz criterion if it satisfies all of the four principles : anonymity, population, relative income and Dalton principles. Therefore, Lorenz criterion captures four criteria in one statement. If the Lorenz curves of two distributions do not cross, then all inequality measures that the Lorenz criterion yield the same ranking of these distributions. If two Lorenz curves cross, then inequality measures that are consistent with the Lorenz criterion may yield different rankings. 45°

6.3. Measuring economic inequality Lorenz curves cross 6.3.3. The Lorenz curve Exercise: Show on a graph that if an income distribution satisfies the Dalton principle (along with the other three principles), it is also consistent with the Lorenz criterion. (Hint: Imagine a regressive income transfer and show how it affects the Lorenz curve.) Question: What happens if Lorenz curves cross? Example: Suppose that a society consists of four individuals with incomes (75, 125, 200, 600). Consider a second income distribution (25, 175, 400, 400). How can we travel from the first to the second?   1 2 3 4 1st Distribution 75 125 200 600 2nd Distribution 50 200 Answer: In this case, the Lorenz criterion does not apply. When there is a Lorenz curve crossing, we cannot go from one distribution to another via a sequence of regressive transfers; we must have at least one progressive transfer. regressive transfer progressive transfer 25 175 400 400 Therefore, the answer will include at least one regressive and one progressive transfer. In other words, it will not be able to compare the two distributions by using the four principles.

Meanwhile, Lorenz curves provide Brazil Mexico Korea Taiwan Egypt India United Kingdom United States Kenya Uganda Meanwhile, Lorenz curves provide a clean, visual image of the overall distribution of income in a country. Figure 6.8. Lorenz curve for different counties. Source: Deininger-squire data base; see Deininger and Squire[1996a]

6.3. Measuring economic inequality 6.3.4. Complete measures of inequality Although Lorenz curve is a nice tool to visually examine the degree of inequality, often there is a need to summarize the information in a number. A number is more concrete and quantifiable than a picture. Moreover, this number can be used to make a judgment when Lorenz curves cross. Let us suppose that there are n individuals and m distinct incomes. In each income class j, the number of individuals earning that income is nj. Therefore, Define the overall mean income as

6.3. Measuring economic inequality 6.3.4. Complete measures of inequality (1)Range: ex) (2, 5, 7, 14) (2)The Kuznets ratios: The ratio of the shares of income of the richest x% to the poorest y%. For example, the ratio of the income of the richest 10% to the income of the poorest 40% can tell us something about distribution when more detailed information is not available. The range and the Kuznets ratios are crude but nevertheless useful indicators of inequality when detailed data are not available. (3)The mean absolute deviation: Express average deviation from mean income as a fraction of total income. ex) (2, 5, 7, 14) n= 4 , μ=7 The mean absolute deviation is actually not a very good measure of inequality. It has one serious drawback. The drawback is that it often does not satisfy the Dalton principle. To see this, take two incomes, both either above the mean or below the mean. A regressive transfer between the two (so that both incomes remain either above or below the mean, as before) will leave the mean absolute deviation unchanged. ex) (2, 5, 7, 14) regressive transfer →  (1, 6, 7, 14) n= 4 , μ=7

6.3. Measuring economic inequality 6.3.4. Complete measures of inequality (4)The coefficient of variation: It is the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean. This measure satisfies all four properties, so it is Lorenz-consistent. ex) ① (2, 5, 7, 14) regressive transfer →  ② (1, 6, 7, 14) n= 4 , μ=7, M= 0.5 ① (2, 5, 7, 14) ② (1, 6, 7, 14)

6.3. Measuring economic inequality 6.3.4. Complete measures of inequality (5)The Gini coefficient: Very widely used in empirical work. the ratio of the area between the Lorenz curve and the 45°line to the area of the triangle below the 45-degree line. It takes the differences between all income pairs and totals. “comparisons of two-person inequality” This measure satisfies all four properties, so it is Lorenz-consistent. ex)  (2, 5, 7, 14) n= 4 , μ=7, M=0.5, C=0.31

6.3. Measuring economic inequality 6.3.4. Complete measures of inequality The last two measures of inequality, the coefficient of variation and the Gini coefficient are Lorenz-consistent. Therefore, both are satisfactory according to our criteria. Question: Which one should we use? or why use both measures? Let`s bring the case of Lorenz curves cross. The crucial point is that both measures will give the same ranking, Lorenz curves do not cross. If it is possible for the two measures to give different rankings, the Lorenz curves cross. Therefore, we should not rely on only one measure. Lorenz curves cross ex) 1 2 3 M C G 1 society 12 9 0.27 0.22 2 society 4 14 0.26 0.25 If Gini and CV do not agree, then there is Lorenz curve crossing. If Gini and CV agree, there may or may not be Lorenz curve crossing.

Two ways out of dilemma: 6.3. Measuring economic inequality 6.3.4. Complete measures of inequality Lorenz crossing lost income share Country /date Gini Coefficient of variation Income share of the richest 5% (%) Income share of the poorest 40% (%) Puerto Rico   1953 0.415 1.152 23.4 15.5 1963 0.449↑ 1.035↓ 22.0↓ 13.7↑ Argentina 0.412 1.612 27.2 18.1 1959 0.463↑ 1.887↑ 31.8↑ 16.4↑ 1961 0.434↓↑ 1.605↓↓ 29.4↓↑ 17.4↓↑ Mexico 1950 0.526 2.500 40.0 14.3 1957 0.551↑ 1.652↓ 37.0↓ 11.3↑ 0.543↓↑ 1.38↓↓ 28.8↓↓ 10.1↑↑ Gini and CV disagree In Puerto Rico, both the poorest and the richest lost income share. This is a clear sign of Lorenz crossing. Gini and CV disagree in this case, although a Lorenz curve crossing does not necessarily mean that Gini and CV disagree. In Argentina, in 1953-61, Gini and CV do not agree, therefore there must have been a Lorenz crossing, although the population shares do not show this to us. In Mexico, in 1957-63, Gini and CV agree, but the changes in population shares indicate that there has been a Lorenz curve crossing. Source: Fields[1980]. Note: First arrow indicates a change in inequality from the previous observation; the second arrow indicates the change in inequality from two observations ago. Dilemma: There is no clear reason to prefer one measurement       over the other (Difficulties of measurement) Two ways out of dilemma: 1. To examine our notion of inequality more closely & come up with stricter criteria  2. To realize that human thought and ideas abound with incomplete orderings

Source: https://en. wikipedia

Poor getting poorer Rich getting richer

6.4. Summary ・ Measurement of inequality in the distribution of wealth or income ・ Functional distribution VS Personal distribution ・ 4 criteria 1) Anonymity principle 2) Population principle 3) Relative income principle 4) The Dalton principle ・ Lorenz curve ・ Complete measures of inequality Range, Kuznets ratios, mean absolute deviation, coefficient of variation, Gini coefficient (agree with the Lorenz ranking) ・ Lorenz curves cross → disagree coefficient of variation & Gini coefficient ・ Incomplete measurement → We may not have direct information regarding the underlying Lorenz curves, but good for making a provisional judgment about the direction of change in inequality.

Are the following statements true, false, or uncertain? In each case, back up your answer with a brief, but precise explanation. Exercises(9) False (a) The Kuznets ratios satisfy the Dalton transfer principle. An example of a Kuznets ratio is the ratio of the income share of the richest 20% of the population to the poorest 60% of the population. Now suppose that there is a transfer of income from relatively poor to relatively rich within the poorest 60%. Then it is clear that the Kuznets ratio will remain unaltered. (b) If the Lorenz curve of two situations do not cross, the Gini coefficient and the coefficient of variation cannot disagree. True Both these measures satisfy the Dalton transfers principle. This means that when there are dis-equalizing or equalizing transfers, the measures go up or down respectively. But when two Lorenz curves do not cross, there must have been either a sequence of equalizing transfers, or a sequence of dis-equalizing transfers, so that the two measures must have reacted in the same direction. False (c) If a relatively poor person loses income to a relatively rich person, the mean absolute deviation must rise. A regressive transfer between the two will leave the mean absolute deviation unchanged. (d) The Lorenz curve must necessarily lie in the lower triangle of the diagram bounded by the 45°line at the top and the axes at the bottom. True The Lorenz curve cannot go above the 45° line at any point. For if it did, it would mean that the poorest x% of the population is earning more than x% of total income, which is a contradiction.

The ethical principles of inequality measurement – anonymity, population, relative income, and transfers – are enough to compare any two income distributions in terms of relative inequality. False These principles do allow us to make judgements when Lorenz curves cross, or equivalently, when there is a sequence of Dalton transfers all going in the same direction. When opposing Dalton transfers occur, we need a way to compare the strengths of these opposing transfers. This is not possible with the ethical principles stated here. Thus, for instance, the Gini and the coefficient of variation, which are both consistent with all these principles, nevertheless disagree with each other in their comparison of inequality across pairs of income distributions. True (f) If everybody`s income increases by a constant dollar amount, inequality must fall. Imagine that the original income distribution is (y1, y2,...,yn), written in ascending order. Now it is (y1 + 100, y2 + 100,...,yn + 100). Using the relative income principle, rescale the new situation so that it has the same mean income: to do this, you simply multiply all new incomes by the fraction , where µ was the mean income of the original income distribution (why?). Therefore the rescaled income for person i is just Note that y’i goes up relative to yi, if yi was less than mean income, goes down relative to yi if yi had exceeded mean income, and stays unchanged if yi had been precisely at mean income. This means that we have a set of Dalton transfers from relatively rich (those above the mean in this example) to relatively poor (those below the mean in this example), which means that inequality must have fallen (by the Dalton principle).

Thank you for your attention GSICS B5KM2003 Yeoju Jung 2016.5.24 Tue Development Economics Thank you for your attention