Friday, Feb. 12 Directions: Please come in, grab your FRQ journal on the front table and answer the following questions. Calculate the doubling time for a country who’s growth rate is 7%, and 1.2% Write out the equation for each scenario. What is the difference between crude birth rate and fertility rate? What allows demographers to look at the sex ratio as well as the dependency ratio of country? What is the dependency ratio referring to? A cohort is a term used to identify what? A wealthier country will take on what type of shape? Poorer? Explain.

Demographic transition model Thursday, Feb. 11

Demographic transition model DEFINED: explains the transition from high birth and death rates to low birth and death rates as a country develops from a pre-industrial to an post-industrial economic system.

Stage 1: Low Population Growth Stage 2: High Population Growth Stage 3: Moderate Population Growth Stage 4: Low Population Growth Stage 5: Declining Population Growth

Stage 2: high growth Cape Verde Entered stage 2 of the demographic transition in about 1950, is experiencing rapid population growth. Its population history reflects the impacts of famines and out-migration.

Stage 3: Moderate growth Chile Entered stage 2 of the demographic transition in the 1930s, and it entered stage 3 in the 1960s.

Stage 4: low growth Denmark Been in stage 4 of the demographic transition since the 1970s, with little population growth since then. Its population pyramid shows increasing numbers of elderly and few children.

Stage 5: (-) growth JAPAN CDR > CBR because of an aging population. NIR is less than Zero. Much of Europe is entering this stage. JAPAN

POP PYRAMIDS & DTM

Is the model universally applicable? The model failed to consider, or to predict, several factors and events: Birth rates in MDCs have fallen below death rates causing a population decline. The model assumes that all countries pass through the same 4 stages. Not necessarily true for all of the world’s economies. It is becoming likely that Africa will not become industrialized. The model assumes that the fall in the death rate in Stage 2 happened because of Industrialization. In many countries, the decline in death rate in Stage 3 has been less rapid than the model suggests due to religious/political opposition whereas the fall was more rapid in China following the ‘One Child’ policy. Countries that grew as a consequence of emigration from Europe did not pass through the early stages of the model.

The following 5 slides are population pyramids of different areas on earth. Determine what stage they are in by how they look.

The United States of America Stage 4 The United States of America

Stage 2 Bolivia

The Russian Federation Stage 5 The Russian Federation

Stage 4 Australia

Stage 2 Central America

DTM FINISH Feb. 16

Tuesday, Feb. 16 Directions: Complete the chart below, labeling each axis and identifying the birth rate, death rate, total population, natural increase and stages of the DTM. NO NOTES!

Demographic Transition Model Theory: Fictional Families Activity Create a fictional family for stage 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5? to illustrate the demographic changes that occur over time. Requirements Checklist: Name your fictional family members for each separate stage! Illustrate your fictional families for each stage Where do they live? Explain their lifestyle,  environment,  conditions,  resources, etc. Key terms must be used in your explanations (i.e. IMR, TFR, etc). Also explain what is happening amongst the total population around them. What changes are happening and why?