- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS28.11.2012, Regensburg CC-WaterS Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply.

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Presentation transcript:

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg CC-WaterS Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg PROGRAMME Countries participating in the project CC-WaterS Romania Greece Bulgaria AustriaItaly Slovenia Hungary Croatia Serbia W, GW W, G, R R G W, R G R R: research G: government W: waterworks

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg Challenges Drinking water supply is indispensible for social and economic development. Climate Change may have severe effects on water supply. Water suppliers are aware of potential problems induced by Climate Change. To get information on catchment scale ( km²) Adaptation of supply and demand management.

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg Objectives Water ressources availability Safeguarding of a sustainable water supply for citiziens in different european regions till 2100 considering climate change Landuse Those will change according to climate change. Therefore methods will be developed to assess the impacts of those land use changes on water Water Supply Implemantation of measures in order to adapt watermanagemnt to climate and land use changes. The participating partners represent the geographical and meteorological diversity of SEE and show complementary expertise. Three types of partners from 9 countries, representing a multi-sectoral consortium, complement their functions and implement the activities to achieve the project objectives.

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg Target groups Water works The project aims at providing methods and tools for water works in order to help them supplying the clients with drinking water. Governmental Institutions Description of problems and solutions regarding water supply Research Institutions They support the project with scientific and applied input.

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg PROJECT CC-WaterS: Climate Change and Implacts on Water Supply Duration: 36 months partnersfrom 9 countries Total budget: € 4,22 Mio. (85% funding) Main Facts

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg WP3: Climate Change WP6: socio-economic evaluation (risk assessment) Working structure WP4: Water Resources Availability WP5: Land Use and Water Quality WP7: Adaptation Measures

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg Results Climate Change - Meteorological data base available for third parties - Daily and monthly series for precipitation and temperature for for europe - Comparison and evaluation of different regional climate models. - Assessment of the uncertainties

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg RESULTS 1.Expected changes in precipitation until 2050 Bias corrected climate change signal - mean annual precipitation for the period Changes of precipitation until 2050 Figure 14: Bias corrected climate change signal - mean annual temperature for the period changes of temperature until 2050

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg RESULTS changes of precipitation till 2100 Figure 17: Bias corrected climate change signal - mean annual precipitation for the period Figure 19: Climate Change signal [°C] of the annual temperature of the CNRM-ARPEGE model (left side) and RegCM3 (right side) for the period versus Changes of temperature till 2100

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg Results Water Availability - Setup of a transnational hydrological database - Assessment of actual and future water resources considering climate change and climate change induces land use changes. - Assessment of the sensitivity regarding climate change in different regions and different types of aquifers. - Actual water demand vs. actual water resources - Conclusions for socio-economic impacts and water management.

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg Results Water Availability Changes in surface runoff, recharge and renewable water resources Figure 15: Changes in the water resources due to the climate change as percentage of the baseline values (1961 – 1990).

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg RESULTS Ranking of the test areas according to problems in the field of water supply Figure 20: Classification of the test areas according to water availability problems, in particular related to drinking water supply.

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg Results Land Use Activities - Hydrological characterisation of test areas - Analyses of actual land use activities and designing of land use maps. - Compilation of water quality data and analyses of selected parameters regarding possible trends. - Assessment of probable impacts of future land use activities on water quality. - Impact of climate change signals on actual land use activities and generation of land use scenarios. - Analyses and synthesis using the DPSIR method.

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg RESULTS Mountain pasture (Molise) Climate change causes increased load of facel micro organisms. Possible measures: -Change of protection areas -Reduction of cattle or other domestic animals

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg RESULTS Agriculture (Serbia) Climate change causes - Need for intensified irrigation - Increased erosion - Need for increase application of pesticides

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg RESULTS Forestry (Vienna) - xxx

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg RESULTS Urban developement (Ljubljana) Future land use activities in water maangement typical for urban areas are governed by planning policies and are (almost) not dependent from climate change.

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg Socio-economic evaluation – risk assessmet Risk is a possible gap between supply and demand This gap exerts influence on socio, economic and environmental sectors Therefore, water supply has to manage resource allocation

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg Results socio-economic evaluation -Story line for the socio-economic assessment of the status quo and of the future development trends. - Assessment of the water demand of different economic sectors - Assessment of economic impacts on water management caused by climate and land use changes. -Assessment of impacts on environment.

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg Conclusions Socio-Economic Evaluation (Risk Assessment) No Problems: Austria, Slovenia Minor Problems: Leu-Rotunda Plain, RO; Bükk, HU; Aravissos, GR; Struma River BG; Kucevo, RS; Veliko Gradiste, RS; Croatia Significant Problems: Nyirseg, HU; Timis Plain RO

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg Measures - Presentation and mutual exchange of “best practices” - devise different management options for adapted water supply - Assessment and ranking of those management options

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg RESULTS xx Results Vienna Water

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg RESULTS xx Results Vienna Water

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg RESULTS xx Results Nyírségvíz

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg -monograph: comprehensive handbook intended to support water suppliers in their daily work -Reports for detailed further information -General information for broad public -Can be downloaded from: Practical information

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg Project title: Mitigating Vulnerability of Water Resources under Climate Change Follow-up project CC-WARE CC-WARE capitalises and implements results of CC-WaterS on national / regional level. CC-WARE aims at developing an integrated transnational strategy to implement national / regional action plans. The key target group in CC-WARE are national, regional and local authorities responsible in water, forest management and regional development.

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water Supply CC-WaterS 1st Annual Forum EUDRS , Regensburg Thank You