Study Project TRANS-CSP Trans-Mediterranean Interconnection for Concentrating Solar Power (WP02 Scenario) Project for the Research & Development Programme.

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Presentation transcript:

Study Project TRANS-CSP Trans-Mediterranean Interconnection for Concentrating Solar Power (WP02 Scenario) Project for the Research & Development Programme of the German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU) NREA

WP02 Scenario Scope: Develop a sustainable scenario for power generation in Europe taking into consideration the transfer of solar electricity from MENA Result: A well balanced mix of renewables with fossil fuel backup can provide low cost, secure and compatible electricity for Europe. Solar electricity imports can significantly reduce the electricity cost.

Driving Force for Electricity Demand: Growth of Economy

Driving Force for Electricity Demand: Population

Driving Force for Electricity Demand: Electricity Intensity Electricity/Capita [kWh/cap] GDP/Capita [1000 US$ 1996 PPP] Year Fitting Empirical Data of 25 (150) Countries y = a x b

Development of the Per Capita Electricity Demand

Gross Electricity Demand in the Analysed Countries

Plenty Renewable Energy Resources in EUMENA Biomass (1) Wind Energy (30) Geothermal Energy (1) Hydropower (30) Solar Energy (250) In brackets: (Typical Yield in GWh el /km²/y) Every 10 km² in MENA yield 15 million barrels of fuel oil per year in form of solar energy

Economic Renewable Electricity Potentials vs. Demand in EUMENA > Sustainable Mix ?

Parameters for Electricity Cost Calculation in the Scenario

Specific Investment of Power Technologies (Example Spain) Nuclear power: increasing cost of waste disposal and security

CO 2 Capture and Sequestration (CCS) included in fossil fueled generation costs after 2020 CSP in solar only operation Electricity Cost of Power Technologies (Example Spain)

TRANS-CSP: Electricity Generation in Europe 5 resources, mostly imported and limited 10 resources, mostly domestic and unlimited 

TRANS-CSP: Import Dependency vs. Current Trend

TRANS-CSP: Installed Capacity in Europe At any time, peak power demand is covered with an extra 25 % reserve of firm power capacity

TRANS-CSP delivers Power on Demand: Peaking vs. Fluctuating Capacity

A Well Balanced Mix provides Firm Power on Demand Hourly time series modelling of power supply in the TRANS-CSP scenario

A Well Balanced Mix provides Firm Power on Demand required peaking capacity

Renewable Energy Resource Indicators FLh Annual Full Load Hours T HDR Temperature of Hot Dry Rocks in 5000 m Depth DNI Direct Normal Irradiance GTI Global Irradiance on Surface tilted by Latitude

Renewable Electricity Potentials in TWh/y