1 Dr Gerry Garvey Global Equity Fund Performance: How much is explained by Equity and Currency Factors? DISCUSSANT.

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1 Dr Gerry Garvey Global Equity Fund Performance: How much is explained by Equity and Currency Factors? DISCUSSANT

Discussion of Gallagher, Harmon, Schmidt, Warren G Garvey FOR PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS / QUALIFIED INVESTORS ONLY May 24, 2016

FOR PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS / QUALIFIED INVESTORS ONLY Dataset very interesting. More descriptives Are many funds net long? Include r m as a factor. We know many have plain vanilla Beta Why should currency factors matter? Else we are just factor-mining Maybe start with PCA of alphas. Any obvious currency factor? How would currency factor bets creep into equity book? Seeking yield leads you to high interest rate countries? Some other factor that favours currency momentum? PPP deviations? Suggestions on main topics 3

4 FOR PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS / QUALIFIED INVESTORS ONLY ROE: You use annual IBEI, right? Why not Cash flow instead? Value: Book/Price is cleaner. Or if you use CF as well, don’t use a separate profit factor: CF/P=(B/P)*(CF/B) = (B/P)*ROE*CF/Earnings =… Factor returns: Strong negative correlation between value and ROE + Momentum Hence your value factor return is really value + b 1 *ROE+ b 2 *Momentum Is there peek-ahead in the b’s? Factor measurement issues

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