CPS Toolik helicopter operations 2016 Dana Truffer Moudra Alaska Project Manager 907.388.2498 Toolik Winter Meeting, January 23, 2016.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Seasonal Climate Forecast Dec – Feb (Issued: November 15, 2012) This Product is Published by the Oregon Department of Agriculture (ODA), in.
Advertisements

What is the impact of ENSO Cycle? Suzanne Fortin.
Agricultural Outlook Forum Crystal Gateway Marriott Hotel February 24, 2012 Brad Rippey Agricultural Meteorologist USDA/OCE/WAOB Washington, D.C.
Global warming and severe weather: hurricanes. Hurricanes and global warming More hurricanes – Warming SST’s (sea surface temperatures) suggest greater.
Note: This product is published by the Oregon Department of Agriculture (ODA), in cooperation with the Oregon Department of Forestry (ODF). Contact: Pete.
Seasonal Climate Forecast (Forecast Method) (Revised: May 26, 2012) This product is published by the Oregon Department of Agriculture (ODA), in cooperation.
PDO/PNA The PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation) is an index derived from North Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies and it has a high correlation to.
Jim Noel Service Coordination Hydrologist March 2, 2012
Matt Masek NWS Meteorologist, WFO North Platte, NE May 25, 2011.
Alan F. Hamlet Nate Mantua Todd Mitchell JISAO/CSES Climate Impacts Group Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering University of Washington ENSO Transition.
Impacts of El Nino Observations Mechanisms for remote impacts.
El Nino and La Nina An important atmospheric variation that has an average period of three to seven years. Goes between El Nino, Neutral, and La Nina (ENSO.
Winter Outlook ( ) Winter Weather Forecast Conference OMSI / Oregon Chapter of the AMS 29 October 2011 Winter Weather Forecast Conference OMSI.
India’s Water Crisis El Niño, Monsoon, and Indian Ocean Oscillation.
Outlook Winter/Spring 2014 John Pendergrast National Weather Service Melbourne, FL
Chapter 7 Ocean Circulation: El Niño
Extreme Events and Climate Variability. Issues: Scientists are telling us that global warming means more extreme weather. Every year we seem to experience.
Climate Variability and Forecasting in the Southeast U.S. David F. Zierden Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies The Florida State University.
What is El Nino and will it end our drought?. What has caused the drought? We have been experiencing drought conditions since September, We've also.
La Nina Springs and Severe Weather in Southwest Michigan Does having a La Nina Impact Severe Weather Frequencies?
Extreme Events and Climate Variability X. William Proenza, Director National Weather Service Southern Region Fort Worth, Texas.
2015 Monsoon Season Outlook Daniel Henz Meteorologist Flood Warning Branch Flood Warning Users Workshop June 24, 2015 Phoenix, Arizona Monsoon t-storm.
Are Exceptionally Cold Vermont Winters Returning? Dr. Jay Shafer July 1, 2015 Lyndon State College 1.
El Niño outlook Eric Boldt Warning Coordination Meteorologist
2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast WeatherBug Forecast April 15, 2010 Hurricane Bill, NOAA.
OCEAN INTERACTIONS WITH THE ATMOSPHERE Niki Henzel & Ron Gabbay.
The La Niña Influence on Central Alabama Rainfall Patterns.
Ocean Circulation: El Niño
Ryan Boyles State Climatologist North Carolina State University Ryan Boyles State Climatologist North Carolina State University
Water Year Outlook. Long Range Weather Forecast Use a combination of long term predictors –Phase of Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) –Phase of Atlantic.
Building Community Resilience in the Face of Increased Vulnerability to Extreme Weather & Water Events Andy Bryant National Weather Service Portland, OR.
“Effects of Pacific Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomalies on the Climate of Southern South Carolina and Northern Coastal Georgia ” Whitney Albright Joseph.
July 25, 2001 presents “Past, Present, and Future” Ed Kieser.
El Nino and La Nina opposite phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle. The ENSO cycle describes the changes in temperature between the ocean.
Georgia Drought Conditions Joel O. Paz The University of Georgia Dept. of Biological and Agricultural Engineering Griffin, GA.
February and March to May Outlooks 2004 For this forecast I tried to be totally objective in selecting analogue years and preparing the forecast without.
El Nino Southern Oscillation. Oceanic Temperatures as a Function of ENSO (Figure obtained from Ch. 4 of An Introduction to Tropical Meteorology, 2 nd.
23rd Annual Winter Weather Forecast Conference
Scott's Winter Forecast ! It’s like looking into a crystal ball… Seriously though; getting the forecast to verify seven days out is hard enough….why.
Winter Outlook ( ) Oregon Museum of Science and Industry AMS Oregon Chapter Meeting 17 November 2012 Oregon Museum of Science and Industry AMS.
El Nino: What’s It All About?
Ocean Currents Please take a copy of the blank ocean currents worksheet on the counter, have a seat, then get out something to take notes on (the back.
BP-77 The Correlation of El Niño-Southern Oscillation to Tornado Occurrence in the Mid-South Thomas L. Salem Jr. and Preston Bradley National Weather Service.
Winter/Spring Outlook Derrick Weitlich National Weather Service Melbourne Central Florida Prescribed Fire Council Annual Meeting September 25,
El Niño-Southern Oscillation Impact on Nitrogen Leaching in North Florida Dairy Forage Systems Victor E. Cabrera*, Peter E. Hildebrand, and James W. Jones.
El Nino 101 and Impacts from Recent El Nino Events Chip Konrad Director of the NOAA Southeast Regional Climate Center University of North Carolina at Chapel.
Ocean Circulation: El Niño El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) El Niño (Spanish for “the Child” in reference to baby Jesus) = warm surface current in.
Drought Update Dealing with Drought Workshop February 12, 2013.
Winter Outlook for the Pacific Northwest: Winter 06/07 14 November 2006 Kirby Cook. NOAA/National Weather Service Acknowledgement: Climate Prediction Center.
What is the impact of ENSO Cycle? Suzanne Fortin Cold season severe weather climatology.
Mike McPhaden--El Niño & La Niña John Lyman--Global Warming Dick Feely--Ocean Acidification The Ocean’s Role in Climate Variability and Change NOAA/Pacific.
User-driven Climate Forecasts in the Southeast U.S. David F. Zierden Assistant State Climatologist Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies The.
Climatology of the Río de la Plata Basin: short and long term variability Mario Bidegain Facultad de Ciencias Universidad de la Republica Uruguay Workshop.
The 2004 Atlantic Hurricane Season and Beyond Chris Landsea NOAA/Hurricane Research Division Miami, Florida, USA January and February 2004 Southern Region.
ENSO El Niño—Southern Oscillation  El Niño (Spanish for “the Child” in reference to baby Jesus) = warm surface current in equatorial eastern Pacific.
U N I T E D S T A T E S D E P A R T M E N T O F C O M M E R C E N A T I O N A L O C E A N I C A N D A T M O S P H E R I C A D M I N I S T R A T I O N CPC.
The unpredictability of GW and El Nino events leading to increasing natural hazards.
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO): What is it?
John Lewis, Senior Forecaster National Weather Service
Daylength Local Mesoscale Winds Chinook Winds (Foehn) Loma, MT: January 15, 1972, the temperature rose from -54 to 49°F (-48 to 9°C), a 103°F (58°C)
Teleconnections.
El Niño and La Niña.
El Nino and La Nina An important atmospheric variation that has an average period of three to seven years. Goes between El Nino, Neutral, and La Nina (ENSO.
2018 Agricultural Climate Outlook
El Nino and La Nina An important atmospheric variation that has an average period of three to seven years. Goes between El Nino, Neutral, and La Nina (ENSO.
El Nino and La Nina.
El Niño-Southern Oscillation
Global Climate Change.
2.3.1(iii) Impacts of El Nino
Impacts of El Nino Observations Mechanisms for remote impacts.
Presentation transcript:

CPS Toolik helicopter operations 2016 Dana Truffer Moudra Alaska Project Manager Toolik Winter Meeting, January 23, 2016 Portland, Oregon

2016 Toolik helicopter overview Small decrease in number of supported projects from last year 2015: 26 projects 2016: 24 projects Small decrease in helicopter hours 2015: 193 flown 2016: 183 in budget Relative economization

Planned 2016 helicopter operations One helicopter for entire season Second helicopter for shorter duration than last year Dates TBD – please provide input Coordination done by one seasonal helicopter coordinator, and PFS full time staff before and after Pollux Aviation will be the likely provider

Additional changes from previous years Helicopter coordinator and CPS Toolik maintenance will share a truck Coordinator will work with Toolik to borrow an on-pad truck on days when maintenance technicians switch CPS will deploy a new VHF repeater NSF will share the Toolik helicopter calendar with the IARPC (Interagency Arctic Research Policy Committee) community

A look at summer weather predictions…. Strong El Nino at present “The consensus forecast indicates that the transition to ENSO neutral is most likely by early summer, and odds of La Nina developing by [Jul Aug Sep] exceed 30%. “ “The largest impact on Alaska's weather from ENSO events occurs during the winter months.” This summer is a transition/neutral period: weather typically uncertain ENSO = El Nino/Southern Oscillation El Nino - the warm phase of the ENSO cycle La Nina - the cold phase of the ENSO cycle _range/fxus05.html

Shorter duration for the second helicopter means increased expectations for the primary aircraft: May require more flexibility with timing of field site access Weather delays may create a longer backlog Researchers and Toolik staff will deal with several coordinators throughout the season, and phone number will remain the same Implications for this season

Thank you! Any questions?