The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria Nineteenth Board Meeting Geneva Trustee Report May 6, 2009.

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Presentation transcript:

The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria Nineteenth Board Meeting Geneva Trustee Report May 6, 2009

Donor Contributions

Disbursements to Principal Recipients

Transaction volumes

Investment Income 

Investment Climate Recent signs of stabilization in macroeconomic indicators have seen small improvements in higher risk asset markets. Sentiment remains fragile however and markets remain very vulnerable to the return of bad news from the economic and/or financial markets. The World Bank retains a cautious approach at this stage. Returns thus far have been solid.

Credit spreads are tightening… …but remains well off the tight spreads of

US & EU bond yields are off the lows…. …and show signs of stabilization for now.

Volatility has fallen from the highs… …but remains elevated in a historical context.

Summary of Market Returns CYTD March 31, 2009 Equities MSCI World9.57%-40.3%-13.8% S&P 500 Index5.49%-37.4%-8.6% Fixed Income UST 1-5 Index (ML)8.16%8.7%-0.01% US MBS Index (Lehman)6.90%8.5%2.2% US Corporate Bond Index (ML)5.37%-2.6%-2.8% US Lehman Aggregate Index6.97%5.2%0.1% Major Market Indices (Returns in USD)

Global Fund Trust Fund Returns *Note: Q1 09 figure represent estimated annualized returns of 5% based on actual returns of 1.22% for the period January to March Investment returns are annualized for reporting purposes only and should not be construed as an investment return forecast for the remainder of calendar year 2009.

Range of Returns for CY09 Scenario of interest rate movements by end CY09 (from Mar. 31 levels) Est. Portfolio Returns* Up by 100 bps1.27% Unchanged2.06% Down by 100 bps2.46% *Note: Includes non-annualized returns of 1.22% for the 3 months ending Mar 31, If interest rates are more volatile than the scenarios shown here, realized returns may be outside of the range.

Conclusion The portfolio has maintained positive returns, which compares extremely favorably to other asset classes. The World Bank will continue a prudent management strategy for Global Fund assets, focusing on capital preservation. Very modest returns are likely in the current low- yield environment for the least risky assets held in the Global Fund trust fund.

Grant Commitments