1.3.1. 2 3 Motivation, Description, and Timeliness Geoinformatics for spatial and temporal hotspot detection and prioritization is a critical need for.

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Presentation transcript:

1.3.1

2

3 Motivation, Description, and Timeliness Geoinformatics for spatial and temporal hotspot detection and prioritization is a critical need for the 21st Century. A declared need is around for statistical geoinformatics and software infrastructure for spatial and spatiotemporal hotspot detection, prioritization, early warning, and sustainable management. A hotspot can mean an unusual phenomenon, anomaly, aberration, outbreak, elevated cluster, critical area. The declared need may be for monitoring, etiology, early warning, or management. The responsible factors may be natural, accidental, or intentional. The five year NSF DGP project has been instrumental to conceptualize hotspot geoinformatics partnership among several interested cross-disciplinary scientists in academia, agencies, and private sector across the nations. Our efforts are driven by a wide variety of case studies of interest to agencies, academia, and private sector involving critical societal issues, such as public health, ecosystem health, ecohealth, biodiversity and threats to biodiversity, emerging infectious disease, water management and conservation, carbon sources and sinks, persistent poverty, environmental justice, crop pathogens, invasive species management, biosurveillance, biosecurity, disease biogeoinformatics, social networks, sensor networks, hospital networks and syndromic surveillance, video mining, early warning, tsunami inundation, remote sensing, and disaster management. Also space-time disease, poverty, pollution, object identification and tracking, early detection, early warning, hotspot trajectories and trends with examples of West Nile Virus, urban poverty patch dynamics, etc. The project emphasis is on development of geoinformatic hotspot system. The system has two methodological components: hotspot detection and prioritization. Our methodology involves an innovation of the popular circle-based spatial scan statistic methodology. In particular, it employs the notion of an upper level set and is accordingly called the upper level set scan statistic system, pointing to the next generation of a sophisticated analytical and computational system, effective for the detection of arbitrarily shaped hotspots along spatio-temporal dimensions. We also propose a novel prioritization scheme based on multiple indicator and stakeholder criteria without having to integrate indicators into an index, using Hasse diagrams and partially ordered sets. It is accordingly called poset prioritization and ranking system. We propose a cross-disciplinary collaboration to design and build the prototype system for geoinformatic hotspot detection and prioritization. The methodological toolbox and the software toolkit developed will support and leverage core missions of several agencies as well as their interactive counterparts in the society. The research advances in the allied sciences and technologies necessary to make such a system work are the thrust of this five year project. The project will have a dual disciplinary and cross-disciplinary thrust. Dialogues and discussions will be particularly welcome, leading potentially to well considered synergistic case studies. The collaborative case studies are expected to be conceptual, structural, methodological, computational, applicational, developmental, refinemental, validational, and/or visualizational in their individual thrust. The proposed short course will provide up-to-date instruction with live examples and illustrations. The proposed workshop will emphasize presentations of case studies from within the region of the workshop, using preferably the methodology and software of the short course. The participants will be encouraged to be in contact with the course instructor before and after the course and the workshop to help formulate and finalize their case studies for presentation and publication. Best case studies will be invited for presentation at the next annual digital government research conference symposium on geoinformatics of hotspot detection and prioritization to be held in San Diego, CA, USA during May 21-24, Publications are planned for special issues of subject area journals and edited monographs.

1.3.4

5 Digital Governance and Hotspot GeoInformatics for Monitoring, Etiology, Early Warning, and Sustainable Managment A collection of white papers prepared for the workshop at dg.o2006 The 7 th Annual International Conference on Digital Government Research San Diego, California May 21, 2006

1.3.6 Digital Governance and Hotspot GeoInformatics for Monitoring, Etiology, Early Warning, and Management Around the World

1.3.7 The five year NSF DGP project has been instrumental to conceptualize hotspot geoinformatics partnership among several interested cross-disciplinary scientists in academia, agencies, and private sector around the world. A declared need is around for statistical geoinformatics and software infrastructure for spatial and spatiotemporal hotspot detection and prioritization. Our efforts are driven by a wide variety of case studies of potential interest to government agencies involving critical society issues, such as public health, ecosystem health, sensor networks, robotic networks, social networks, video mining, homeland security, early warning, and disaster management.

Siena, Italy (October, 2005) 2.Parma, Italy (March, 2006) 3.Hyderabad, India (December, 2005) 4.San Diego, USA (May, 2006) 5.Okayama, Japan (November, 2006, January, 2006) 6.Bangkok, Thailand (November, 2005) 7.Kuala Lumpar, Malaysia (December, 2005) 8.Jakarta, Indonesia (January, 2006, 2007) 9.Jalgaon, India (December, 2006) 10.Banglor, India (December, 2006) 11.Belo Horizonte, Brazil (April, 2007) 12.Nairobi, Kenya (March, 2007) Course Instructor and Workshop Leader: G.P. Patil Short Course and Case Studies Workshops Around the World

1.3.9 [1]Patil, G.P., Geoinformatic Hotspot Systems (GHS) for Detection, Prioritization, and Early Warning. Project hightlights, dg.o2005, Atlanta, Georgia. [2]Patil, G.P. and Taillie, C., Upper level set scan statistic for detecting arbitrarily shaped hotspots. Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 11 (2004), [3]Patil, G.P. and Taillie, C. Multiple indicators, partially ordered sets, and linear extensions: Multi-criterion ranking and prioritization. Environmental and Ecological Statistics 11 (2004), [4]Patil, et al., Upper level set scan statistic system for detecting arbitrarily shaped hotspots for digital governance. Poster presentation, dg.o2005, Atlanta, Georgia. [5]Patil, et al., Geoinformatic surveillance of hotspot detection, prioritization and early warning. Demo, dg.o2005, Atlanta, Georgia [6]Patil, et al., Hotspot geoinformatics for digital governance. Encyclopedia of Digital Government, Ari-Veikko Anttiroiko and Matti Malkia (eds.), (2006, to appear). [7]Patil, et al., Hotspot Detection and Prioritization GeoInformatics for Digital Governance. Digital Government Research Textbook, Larry Brandt, Valerie Gregg, et al. (eds.), (2006, to appear), Springer, New York. [8] Patil, et al., (2006) On PULSE: The Progressive upper level set scan statistic system for geospatial and spatiotemporal hotspot detection. In: The 7 th Annual International Conference on Digital Government Research, San Diego, CA, May 21-24, [9]Patil, et al., (2006) Multicriterian prioritization and differential weights, stepwise aggregration, Hasse diagrams, and Poset cumulative rank frequency operators. In: The 7 th Annual International Conference on Digital Government Research, San Diego, CA, May 21-24, 2006 References

(A project website providing project activities, products, publications, and events.) otspot (Article on the workshop program on hotspot geoinformatics.) (Freeware for circular spatial scan program and information.) (Freeware for academia for Hasse program for Windows.) (Website for the Penn State Center for Statistical Ecology and Environmental Statistics—Home base of the digital government research project for hotspot geoinformatics.) Online Resources

Digital Governance and Hotspot GeoInformatics Research Programs 1.Parma, Italy 2.Jalgaon, India 3.Bogar, Indonesia 4.Yokayama, Japan 5.Bello Horizonte, Brazil 6.University Park, PA, U.S.A.