Imagery for the Nation Cost Benefit Analysis Federal Geographic Data Committee Steering Committee Meeting May 23, 2007 Shirley Hall Farm Service Agency, U.S. Department of Agriculture & Bill Burgess National States Geographic Information Council (NSGIC)

Organized effort to acquire imagery over the entire US Organized effort to acquire imagery over the entire US Initiated by National State Geographic Information Council Initiated by National State Geographic Information Council Incorporates current USDA and USGS programs Incorporates current USDA and USGS programs Includes multi-resolution acquisition (6”, 1’, 1- meter) Includes multi-resolution acquisition (6”, 1’, 1- meter) Repeat cycles of 1 to 5 years Repeat cycles of 1 to 5 years Imagery stays in public domain Imagery stays in public domain Consistent national standards (e.g. image type, quality & security concerns) Consistent national standards (e.g. image type, quality & security concerns) Federal government funds standard products Federal government funds standard products What is the Imagery for the Nation Initiative?

Current Components of IFTN Enhanced National Agriculture Imagery Program (NAIP) Enhanced National Agriculture Imagery Program (NAIP) Managed by FSAManaged by FSA 1-meter resolution imagery1-meter resolution imagery Collected during the growing season (leaf-on)Collected during the growing season (leaf-on) Lower 48 States acquired each yearLower 48 States acquired each year HI and insular territories on 3 year cycleHI and insular territories on 3 year cycle AK on 5 year cycle (to be acquired by USGS)AK on 5 year cycle (to be acquired by USGS) Provides for buy-ups (CIR, 4-Band, increased horizontal accuracy)Provides for buy-ups (CIR, 4-Band, increased horizontal accuracy)

Current Components of IFTN USGS managed program USGS managed program Builds on 133 Cities and other programsBuilds on 133 Cities and other programs 6 in. and 1ft. imagery resolution6 in. and 1ft. imagery resolution All areas east of Mississippi River and all counties west of Mississippi River with >25 people per square mile (based on initial design)All areas east of Mississippi River and all counties west of Mississippi River with >25 people per square mile (based on initial design) 3 year cycle3 year cycle 50% cost share on 6 inch collection50% cost share on 6 inch collection Various buy-up optionsVarious buy-up options

Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) Funded by USDA and USGS Funded by USDA and USGS Conducted by Perot Systems Conducted by Perot Systems Managed by a USDA/USGS Steering Committee with NSGIC participation Managed by a USDA/USGS Steering Committee with NSGIC participation USGS: George Lee, Dave Roberts, Jim MauckUSGS: George Lee, Dave Roberts, Jim Mauck FSA: Jim Heald and Shirley HallFSA: Jim Heald and Shirley Hall NSGIC: Bill Burgess and Ted KochNSGIC: Bill Burgess and Ted Koch Follows Federal Capital Planning and Investment Control (CPIC) guidelines Follows Federal Capital Planning and Investment Control (CPIC) guidelines Due at the end of June 2007 Due at the end of June 2007

Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) Second task order is being established to include alternatives analysis for 1 ft. program component Second task order is being established to include alternatives analysis for 1 ft. program component Federally funded 50% coverage every three years over entire US (except AK)Federally funded 50% coverage every three years over entire US (except AK) 50/50 cost share over the nation every 3 years (except AK)50/50 cost share over the nation every 3 years (except AK) Due at the end of June 2007 Due at the end of June 2007

Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) NOTE: The information discussed today and the slides that are presented are preliminary and are subject to change.

Methodology: Overview Conduct Primary Data Collection Construct Cost Element Structure (CES) Methodology Design Phased approach: 1- Analysis and Design 2- Study Execution 3- Presentation of Results Sought qualitative data using the following steps: 1- Guiding Documents 2- Subject Matter Expert (SME) Interviews 3- Industry Research Conduct Secondary Data Collection Evaluate Data & Present Results Sought quantitative data using the following steps: 1- Validate primary data collection via SME surveys 2- Clarify with SME as needed. Evaluated findings: 1- Raw data transferred to Cost Element Structure (CES) 2- Data analyzed and assumptions defined 3- Initial estimate of costs and benefits conducted 4- Findings presented Classified costs using best practices (OMB, USDA, USGS) into the following main categories: Equipment Software Support Services Personnel Promotes consistency among data elements in the current and future states.

General Assumptions Estimates are representative of the survey population only and cost estimation is very conservative Estimates are representative of the survey population only and cost estimation is very conservative The 10-year Life Cycle Cost estimate is for FY07 through FY16 The 10-year Life Cycle Cost estimate is for FY07 through FY16 The quantitative analysis consists of comparing USDA, USGS, and other programs (Fed, State & Local) costs in the Current and Future States. The quantitative analysis consists of comparing USDA, USGS, and other programs (Fed, State & Local) costs in the Current and Future States. “Other Programs (Fed, State & Local)” made up by 643 programs obtained through CBA data collection and NSGIC IFTN Survey. “Other Programs (Fed, State & Local)” made up by 643 programs obtained through CBA data collection and NSGIC IFTN Survey. In the concept of operations the current process for Other Programs (Fed, State & Local) will decrease dramatically in the Future State. In the concept of operations the current process for Other Programs (Fed, State & Local) will decrease dramatically in the Future State.

Inputs for the CBA “In-person” interviews and web-based survey of Federal, state, local and private sector “In-person” interviews and web-based survey of Federal, state, local and private sector Program costs from FSA and USGS for current and future states Program costs from FSA and USGS for current and future states NSGIC’s 2006 Imagery for the Nation Survey helped to validate and increase sample population. NSGIC’s 2006 Imagery for the Nation Survey helped to validate and increase sample population.

IFTN CBA Data Collection Tools Primary Data Collection Tool Conference Calls / Face-To-Face Interviews Completion date of 31 January 2007 Secondary Data Collection Tool Sent via web link in Completion date of 31 January 2007 QuestionnaireSurvey

CBA Interviews and Surveys In the data collection phase, the IFTN CBA Team conducted 43 interviews and distributed 42 surveys to Subject Matter Experts from: Federal, State and Local Governments Imagery Vendors Private Industry

Supplemental Data Collection IFTN CBA Survey – February 2007 IFTN CBA Survey – February 2007 Wanted additional information about total number of current ortho programs.Wanted additional information about total number of current ortho programs. Wanted more complete cost figures.Wanted more complete cost figures. Solution: Solution: Integrate the IFTN survey data with the NSGIC survey data to arrive at a baseline for nationwide production costs.Integrate the IFTN survey data with the NSGIC survey data to arrive at a baseline for nationwide production costs.

About the NSGIC Survey Data NSGIC Survey – April 2006 NSGIC Survey – April 2006 NSGIC conducted survey via the online survey tool SurveyMonkey tm.NSGIC conducted survey via the online survey tool SurveyMonkey tm. 1,887 respondents encompassing Government, Private Sector, Academia, Associations, etc. completed the survey.1,887 respondents encompassing Government, Private Sector, Academia, Associations, etc. completed the survey. Aimed at obtaining qualitative and quantitative data for orthoimagery programs.Aimed at obtaining qualitative and quantitative data for orthoimagery programs.

Adding the NSGIC Survey Data Exported raw data from NSGIC Survey to Excel Exported raw data from NSGIC Survey to Excel Scrubbed data Scrubbed data Eliminated duplicate responsesEliminated duplicate responses Sorted respondents into the following three categories: Federal, State and LocalSorted respondents into the following three categories: Federal, State and Local Filtered out Private Sector, Academia, etc. from analysis Filtered out Private Sector, Academia, etc. from analysis Results of Sort: Results of Sort: Federal: 20 of 52 respondentsFederal: 20 of 52 respondents State: 102 of 345 respondentsState: 102 of 345 respondents Local: 491 of 888 respondentsLocal: 491 of 888 respondents

Adding the NSGIC Survey Data Defined cost parameters for each group. Defined cost parameters for each group. NSGIC cost data was presented in ranges.NSGIC cost data was presented in ranges. i.e. $200,000 - $300,000 i.e. $200,000 - $300,000 The maximum numbers from each range chosen for each cost category, according to best practices.The maximum numbers from each range chosen for each cost category, according to best practices. Less than $25,000 = $25,000 Less than $25,000 = $25,000 $25,000-$50,000 = $50,000 $25,000-$50,000 = $50,000 Greater than $400,000 = $400,001 Greater than $400,000 = $400,001

Adding the NSGIC Survey Data Created a Histogram for each group to better understand the distribution & frequency of the responses. Then solved for the mean of each group. Created a Histogram for each group to better understand the distribution & frequency of the responses. Then solved for the mean of each group. Incorporated the mean into the Cost Element Structure for the Baseline Production Costs. Incorporated the mean into the Cost Element Structure for the Baseline Production Costs.

Quantitative Benefits Statistical Analysis NSGIC Survey This is an example of the State histogram which allowed the IFTN CBA Team to look at the distribution of responses across each cost category. Subsequent histograms include Federal and Local stakeholder groups.

Quantitative Benefits Statistical Analysis NSGIC Survey Upon completion of the histogram, the IFTN CBA Team applied Descriptive Statistics to the analysis. This provided greater metrics in determining the baseline costs for State programs. This analysis was further extended to the Federal and Local stakeholder groups.

What We Found Responses from the CBA data collection effort were consistent with those from the NSGIC survey Responses from the CBA data collection effort were consistent with those from the NSGIC survey The IFTN CBA survey results and the NSGIC survey results provided consistent price estimates for local, state, and federal agencies The IFTN CBA survey results and the NSGIC survey results provided consistent price estimates for local, state, and federal agencies Able to increase the sample population by combining the results Able to increase the sample population by combining the results

Comparison of Current & Future States: Total Estimated Program Costs/Benefits A = Current (As-Is) State Costs = $1,917,148,041 B = Future (To-Be) State Costs = $1,439,926,618 A Current (As-Is) State Costs = $1,917,148,041 – B Future (To-Be) State Costs = $1,439,926,618 = C Net Quantifiable Life Cycle Benefits = $477,221,423

Quantitative Benefits – Statistical Analysis Baseline – Current State Costs 10 Year Average Annual Cost: $191,714,804 IFTN – Future State Costs 10 Year Average Annual Cost: $143,992,662 Delta (Current State Costs vs. Future State Costs) 10 Year Average Annual Savings: $47,722,142

Being VERY Conservative Ensured duplicate survey information was scrubbed Ensured duplicate survey information was scrubbed Only using ACTUAL results from surveys - not attempting to extrapolate across the country Only using ACTUAL results from surveys - not attempting to extrapolate across the country Including a realistic phase-in and program adoption rate in financial calculations Including a realistic phase-in and program adoption rate in financial calculations Striving to be “bullet proof” Striving to be “bullet proof”

Total Government Production Three Year Program Phase-in State & Local Adoption Example of Phase-in & Adoption

Adding Alternatives to Deal with Western States Equity Concerns Option 1 – 1’ program is 50/50 cost share across the entire nation – Requires cost-share Option 1 – 1’ program is 50/50 cost share across the entire nation – Requires cost-share Option 2 – 1’ program is 50% coverage every three years, paid by federal program, and directed by statewide business plans – Does not require cost-share Option 2 – 1’ program is 50% coverage every three years, paid by federal program, and directed by statewide business plans – Does not require cost-share

CBA - What’s Next Second task order established for “alternatives”. Second task order established for “alternatives”. FGDC Steering Committee to receive preliminary briefing. FGDC Steering Committee to receive preliminary briefing. Distribute CBA after deliverable acceptance (July timeframe). Distribute CBA after deliverable acceptance (July timeframe). Incorporate results into Business Plan and ongoing subcommittee activities Incorporate results into Business Plan and ongoing subcommittee activities

What is Needed for IFTN Planning to Progress NDOP needs to meet with an Executive Committee from SC agencies NDOP needs to meet with an Executive Committee from SC agencies Provide a full briefing on CBA and program issuesProvide a full briefing on CBA and program issues Executive Committee needs to develop funding strategies and assist with implementation Executive Committee needs to develop funding strategies and assist with implementation

Questions ?